Stroke, Vol 19, 669-673, Copyright © 1988 by American Heart Association
R Bonita, MA Ford and AW Stewart
We examined characteristics associated with a high risk of mortality within
3 years after a stroke. Analyses are based on data from a population-based
register of stroke events that occurred in Auckland (total population
829,545), New Zealand during a 1-year period in 1981- 1982 and a 3-year
follow-up study of all survivors (97% complete). Statistical techniques
that allow for the simultaneous evaluation of multiple factors indicated
that retention of consciousness, decreasing age, and place of residence at
the onset of the stroke were the strongest predictors of survival over 3
years. The survival rate for those living at home at the onset of the
stroke who did not lose consciousness was 58% compared with 5% for people
in institutional care who lost consciousness. Marital status, history of
stroke, and ethnic group also predicted survival. Most of the important
prognostic factors we identified in our study cannot be modified,
testifying to the importance of the prevention of stroke in the first
place.
ARTICLES
Predicting survival after stroke: a three-year follow-up
Department of Medicine, University of Auckland, New Zealand.
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