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(Stroke. 1997;28:343-347.)
© 1997 American Heart Association, Inc.


Articles

Consistency of Doppler Parameters in Predicting Arteriographically Confirmed Carotid Stenosis

Skai W. Schwartz, PhD; Lloyd E. Chambless, PhD; William H. Baker, MD; Joseph P. Broderick, MD; George Howard, DrPH for the Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study Investigators

the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health of University of South Florida (Tampa) (S.W.S.); the Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (L.E.C.); the Section of Vascular Surgery, Loyola University Medical School, Maywood, Ill (W.H.B.); the Department of Neurology of University of Cincinnati (Ohio) Medical School (J.P.B.); and the Department of Public Health Sciences and Stroke Center, Bowman Gray School of Medicine of Wake Forest University, Winston Salem, NC (G.H.).

Background and Purpose While internal carotid peak systolic velocity (IPSV) is reportedly the best Doppler parameter for predicting lower grades of carotid artery stenosis, the internal carotid end-diastolic velocity (IEDV) or the ratio of IPSV to common carotid end-diastolic velocity (CEDV) is helpful in increasing prediction of higher grade stenoses. It is important to examine the consistency of these findings across machine and technician.

Methods Using data from 10 devices from the Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study, we examined the predictive ability of seven Doppler parameters: IPSV, IEDV, CEDV, common carotid peak systolic velocity (CPSV), and the ratios of IPSV/CEDV, IEDV/CEDV, and IEDV/CEDV. To assess the agreement between Doppler and arteriography in classifying percent stenosis above or below a given criterion, sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating curve, and {kappa} statistics were obtained from logistic models. The single best Doppler parameter for each of two grades of stenosis (60% and 80%) was determined, and its predictive ability was compared with that of IPSV. The usefulness of IEDV or IPSV/CEDV in addition to IPSV to determine higher grade stenosis was examined.

Results IPSV was the best predictor in 9 of 10 devices at 60% and in 4 devices at 80% stenosis. When another parameter was better than IPSV, the improvement was minimal. Including IEDV or IPSV/CEDV in addition to IPSV did not notably improve predictive ability.

Conclusions IPSV is the single best Doppler parameter for distinguishing severe (>80%) from less severe carotid stenosis. Information from other Doppler parameters in addition to IPSV is unlikely to be helpful.


Key Words: angiography • carotid stenosis • Doppler • ultrasonics




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