From the Department of Neurology (J.T.M., R.L.S., D.W.D.), the Gertrude
H. Sergievsky Center (J.T.M., R.L.S.), and the Division of Biostatistics
(E.B., M.C.P.), Columbia University, College of Physicians and Surgeons, New
York, NY.
Background and
PurposeInformation regarding risk factors for early
recurrence is limited. Our aim was to identify the clinical
predictors of early recurrence after ischemic stroke.
MethodsWe prospectively examined 297 patients (mean age,
72.0±8.4 years) hospitalized with ischemic stroke to identify
recurrent strokes occurring within 90 days of the index stroke.
Survival free of recurrence was estimated using Kaplan-Meier
analysis stratified by demographic variables; vascular risk
factors; stroke syndrome, subtype, vascular territory, and severity;
scores on the Barthel Index and Mini-Mental State Examination during
hospitalization; blood pressure on admission; and selected laboratory
data. We estimated the relative risk (RR) of early recurrence
associated with those variables using proportional hazards
analysis.
ResultsWe identified 22 recurrent events in the first 90 days
after the index stroke, resulting in an early stroke recurrence
rate of 7.4%, and death occurred immediately after recurrence
in 6 of the 22 patients. A major hemispheric stroke syndrome (RR=2.9;
95% confidence interval [CI]=1.2 to 7.1), atherothrombotic stroke
mechanism (RR=3.3; CI=1.3 to 8.3), and atrial fibrillation (RR=2.2;
CI=0.8 to 6.1) were independent predictors of early recurrence,
after adjustment for demographic variables.
ConclusionsEarly recurrence was frequent and resulted in
increased mortality. Attention to the clinical features of the index
stroke, including the presenting syndrome and the ischemic
mechanism, and the recognition of atrial fibrillation may help in the
selection of patients for the initiation of targeted interventions to
prevent early recurrence and subsequent mortality.
© 1998 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions
Risk Factors for Early Recurrence After Ischemic Stroke
The Role of Stroke Syndrome and Subtype
Key Words: mortality risk factors stroke, ischemic stroke outcome
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