(Stroke. 1998;29:2371-2376.)
© 1998 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions |
From the Departments of Neurology (W.T.L.), Epidemiology (W.T.L.), and Biostatistics (L.S.), University of Washington, Seattle, Wash; Department of Neurology (D.L.), Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC; Department of Radiology (D.H.O.), TuftsNew England Medical Center, Boston, Mass; Department of Radiology (J.F.P.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass; and Departments of Surgery and Neurosurgery (S.K.W.), University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pa. Participating institutions and principal staff are listed in the Appendix.
Correspondence to W.T. Longstreth, Jr, MD, Department of Neurology, Box 359775, Harborview Medical Center, 325 Ninth Ave, Seattle WA 98104-2499. E-mail wl{at}u.washington.edu
Background and PurposeWe sought in this study to relate carotid ultrasound findings in asymptomatic older adults to the 5-year risk of various cerebrovascular outcomes used in the Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study (ACAS).
MethodsThe Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a longitudinal study of people 65 years and older. Analyses of internal carotid artery stenosis defined by multiple different cutoffs of peak systolic velocity, rather than one particular cutoff, were performed in the 5441 participants who underwent carotid ultrasound and lacked a history of transient ischemic attack or stroke. The 5-year risks of 7 cerebrovascular disease outcomes used in ACAS were estimated for each cutoff.
ResultsAssociations with the 5-year risk of outcomes were substantially elevated only at cutoffs with high peak systolic velocities. In this population, the number of people with such high velocities was small. For example, with a cutoff of approximately 2.5 m/s, suggesting a stenosis of >70%, the 5-year risk of an ipsilateral fatal or nonfatal stroke was 5%, and only 0.5% of the group had velocities at least this high.
ConclusionsIn a group of older adults likely to participate in a screening program, as evidenced by willingness to participate in CHS, high peak systolic velocities consistent with high-grade carotid stenosis were uncommon and risk of subsequent cerebrovascular disease outcomes was relatively low. These findings do not suggest that similar populations of older adults would benefit from a program using ultrasound to screen for asymptomatic carotid stenosis.
Key Words: aged carotid artery diseases ultrasonography, Doppler
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