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(Stroke. 1999;30:2008-2012.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions |
From the Department of Neurology, Bispebjerg Hospital, and Department of Neurology, Gentofte Hospital (T.S.O.), Copenhagen, Denmark.
Background and PurposeEven patients with the most severe strokes sometimes experience a remarkably good recovery. We evaluated possible predictors of a good outcome to search for new therapeutic strategies.
MethodsWe included the 223 patients (19%) with the most severe
strokes (Scandinavian Stroke Scale score <15 points) from the 1197
unselected patients in the Copenhagen Stroke Study. Of these, 139
(62%) died in the hospital and were excluded. The 26 survivors (31%)
with a good functional outcome (Barthel Index
50 points) were
compared with the 58 survivors (69%) with a poor functional
outcome (Barthel Index <50 points). The predictive value of the
following factors was examined in a multivariate
logistic regression model: age; sex; a spouse; work; home care before
stroke; initial stroke severity; blood pressure, blood glucose, and
body temperature on admission; stroke subtype; neurological impairment
1 week after onset; diabetes; hypertension; atrial fibrillation;
ischemic heart disease; previous stroke; and other disabling
disease.
ResultsDecreasing age (odds ratio [OR], 0.50 per 10-year decrease; 95% CI, 0.25 to 0.99; P=0.04), a spouse (OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.1 to 8.8; P=0.03), decreasing body temperature on admission (OR, 1.8 per 1°C decrease; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.1; P=0.01), and neurological recovery after 1 week (OR, 3.2 per 10-point increase in Scandinavian Stroke Scale score; 95% CI, 1.1 to 7.8; P=0.01) were all independent predictors of good functional outcome.
ConclusionsPatients with the most severe strokes who achieve a good functional outcome are generally characterized by younger age, the presence of a spouse at home, and early neurological recovery. Body temperature was a strong predictor of good functional outcome and the only potentially modifiable factor. We suggest that a randomized controlled trial be undertaken to evaluate whether active reduction of body temperature can improve the generally poor prognosis of patients with the most severe strokes.
Key Words: neuropsychological tests outcome prognosis stroke
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