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(Stroke. 1999;30:2008-2012.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.


Original Contributions

What Determines Good Recovery in Patients With the Most Severe Strokes?

The Copenhagen Stroke Study

Henrik S. Jørgensen, MD, DMSci; Jakob Reith, MD; Hirofumi Nakayama, MD, PhD; Lars P. Kammersgaard, MD; Hans O. Raaschou, MD Tom Skyhøj Olsen, MD, DMSci

From the Department of Neurology, Bispebjerg Hospital, and Department of Neurology, Gentofte Hospital (T.S.O.), Copenhagen, Denmark.

Background and Purpose—Even patients with the most severe strokes sometimes experience a remarkably good recovery. We evaluated possible predictors of a good outcome to search for new therapeutic strategies.

Methods—We included the 223 patients (19%) with the most severe strokes (Scandinavian Stroke Scale score <15 points) from the 1197 unselected patients in the Copenhagen Stroke Study. Of these, 139 (62%) died in the hospital and were excluded. The 26 survivors (31%) with a good functional outcome (Barthel Index >=50 points) were compared with the 58 survivors (69%) with a poor functional outcome (Barthel Index <50 points). The predictive value of the following factors was examined in a multivariate logistic regression model: age; sex; a spouse; work; home care before stroke; initial stroke severity; blood pressure, blood glucose, and body temperature on admission; stroke subtype; neurological impairment 1 week after onset; diabetes; hypertension; atrial fibrillation; ischemic heart disease; previous stroke; and other disabling disease.

Results—Decreasing age (odds ratio [OR], 0.50 per 10-year decrease; 95% CI, 0.25 to 0.99; P=0.04), a spouse (OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.1 to 8.8; P=0.03), decreasing body temperature on admission (OR, 1.8 per 1°C decrease; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.1; P=0.01), and neurological recovery after 1 week (OR, 3.2 per 10-point increase in Scandinavian Stroke Scale score; 95% CI, 1.1 to 7.8; P=0.01) were all independent predictors of good functional outcome.

Conclusions—Patients with the most severe strokes who achieve a good functional outcome are generally characterized by younger age, the presence of a spouse at home, and early neurological recovery. Body temperature was a strong predictor of good functional outcome and the only potentially modifiable factor. We suggest that a randomized controlled trial be undertaken to evaluate whether active reduction of body temperature can improve the generally poor prognosis of patients with the most severe strokes.


Key Words: neuropsychological tests • outcome • prognosis • stroke




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