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(Stroke. 1999;30:736-743.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.


Original Contributions

Stroke Incidence and Survival Among Middle-Aged Adults

9-Year Follow-Up of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Cohort

Wayne D. Rosamond, PhD; Aaron R. Folsom, MD; Lloyd E. Chambless, PhD; Chin-Hua Wang, PhD; Paul G. McGovern, PhD; George Howard, DrPH; Lawton S. Copper, MD Eyal Shahar, MD

From the Department of Epidemiology (W.D.R.) and Collaborative Studies Coordinating Center, Department of Biostatistics (L.E.C., C.H.W.), University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; Division of Epidemiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN (A.R.F., P.G.M., E.S.); Department of Public Health Science, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC (G.H.); and the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Md (L.S.C.).

Correspondence to Wayne D. Rosamond, PhD, Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, 137 East Franklin St, Suite 306, Chapel Hill, NC 27514. E-mail wayne_rosamond{at}unc.edu

Background and Purpose—Although stroke mortality rates in the United States are well documented, assessment of incidence rates and case fatality are less well studied.

Methods—A cohort of 15 792 men and women aged 45 to 64 years from a population sample of households in 4 US communities was followed from 1987 to 1995, an average of 7.2 years. Incident strokes were identified through annual phone contacts and hospital record searching and were then validated.

Results—Of the 267 incident definite or probable strokes, 83% (n=221) were categorized as ischemic strokes, 10% (n=27) were intracerebral hemorrhages, and 7% (n=19) were subarachnoid hemorrhages. The age-adjusted incidence rate (per 1000 person-years) of total strokes was highest among black men (4.44), followed by black women (3.10), white men (1.78), and white women (1.24). The black versus white age-adjusted rate ratio (RR) for ischemic stroke was 2.41 (95% CI, 1.85 to 3.15), which was attenuated to 1.38 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.89) after adjustment for baseline hypertension, diabetes, education level, smoking status, and prevalent coronary heart disease. There was a tendency for the adjusted case fatality rates to be higher among blacks and men, although none of the case fatality comparisons across sex or race was statistically significant.

Conclusions—After accounting for established baseline risk factors, blacks still had a 38% greater risk of incident ischemic stroke compared with whites. Identification of new individual and community-level risk factors accounting for the elevated incidence of stroke requires further investigation and incorporation into intervention planning.


Key Words: cerebral infarction • epidemiology • intracerebral hemorrhage • racial differences




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J. Am. Soc. Nephrol.Home page
S. L. Seliger, D. L. Gillen, D. Tirschwell, H. Wasse, B. R. Kestenbaum, and C. O. Stehman-Breen
Risk Factors for Incident Stroke among Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease
J. Am. Soc. Nephrol., October 1, 2003; 14(10): 2623 - 2631.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
I. M. van der Meer, A. Iglesias del Sol, A. E. Hak, M. L. Bots, A. Hofman, and J. C.M. Witteman
Risk Factors for Progression of Atherosclerosis Measured at Multiple Sites in the Arterial Tree: The Rotterdam Study
Stroke, October 1, 2003; 34(10): 2374 - 2379.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Clin. Nutr.Home page
L. M Steffen, D. R Jacobs Jr, J. Stevens, E. Shahar, T. Carithers, and A. R Folsom
Associations of whole-grain, refined-grain, and fruit and vegetable consumption with risks of all-cause mortality and incident coronary artery disease and ischemic stroke: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study
Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, September 1, 2003; 78(3): 383 - 390.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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RadiologyHome page
J. E. Stahl, K. L. Furie, S. Gleason, and G. S. Gazelle
Stroke: Effect of Implementing an Evaluation and Treatment Protocol Compliant with NINDS Recommendations
Radiology, September 1, 2003; 228(3): 659 - 668.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ptjournalHome page
J. L Ruhland and P. L. van Kan
Medial Pontine Hemorrhagic Stroke
Physical Therapy, June 1, 2003; 83(6): 552 - 566.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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The Annals of PharmacotherapyHome page
C. A Carroll, M. M Coen, and R. W Piepho
Economic Impact of Ramipril on Hospitalization of High-Risk Cardiovascular Patients
Ann. Pharmacother., March 1, 2003; 37(3): 327 - 331.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
E. Shahar, L. E. Chambless, W. D. Rosamond, L. L. Boland, C. M. Ballantyne, P. G. McGovern, and A. R. Sharrett
Plasma Lipid Profile and Incident Ischemic Stroke: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study
Stroke, March 1, 2003; 34(3): 623 - 631.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
A. T. Schneider, A. M. Pancioli, J. C. Khoury, E. Rademacher, A. Tuchfarber, R. Miller, D. Woo, B. Kissela, and J. P. Broderick
Trends in Community Knowledge of the Warning Signs and Risk Factors for Stroke
JAMA, January 15, 2003; 289(3): 343 - 346.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
P. Piriyawat, M. Smajsova, M. A. Smith, S. Pallegar, A. Al-Wabil, N. M. Garcia, J. M. Risser, L. A. Moye, and L. B. Morgenstern
Comparison of Active and Passive Surveillance for Cerebrovascular Disease: The Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) Project
Am. J. Epidemiol., December 1, 2002; 156(11): 1062 - 1069.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
S. S. Rathore, A. R. Hinn, L. S. Cooper, H. A. Tyroler, and W. D. Rosamond
Characterization of Incident Stroke Signs and Symptoms: Findings From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study
Stroke, November 1, 2002; 33(11): 2718 - 2721.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NeurologyHome page
H.J. Fullerton, D.M. Chetkovich, Y.W. Wu, W.S. Smith, and S.C. Johnston
Deaths from stroke in US children, 1979 to 1998
Neurology, July 9, 2002; 59(1): 34 - 39.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
T. Y. Wong, R. Klein, A. R. Sharrett, D. J. Couper, B. E. K. Klein, D.-P. Liao, L. D. Hubbard, T. H. Mosley, and for the ARIC Investigators
Cerebral White Matter Lesions, Retinopathy, and Incident Clinical Stroke
JAMA, July 3, 2002; 288(1): 67 - 74.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ANN INTERN MEDHome page
L. S. Kinsinger, R. Harris, S. H. Woolf, H. C. Sox, and K. N. Lohr
Chemoprevention of Breast Cancer: A Summary of the Evidence for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force
Ann Intern Med, July 2, 2002; 137(1): 59 - 69.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
S. Fuchs, E. Stabile, T. D. Kinnaird, G. S. Mintz, L. Gruberg, D. A. Canos, E. E. Pinnow, R. Kornowski, W. O. Suddath, L. F. Satler, et al.
Stroke Complicating Percutaneous Coronary Interventions: Incidence, Predictors, and Prognostic Implications
Circulation, July 2, 2002; 106(1): 86 - 91.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
B. G. Vickrey, T. S. Rector, S. L. Wickstrom, P. M. Guzy, E. M. Sloss, P. B. Gorelick, S. Garber, D. F. McCaffrey, M. D. Dake, and R. A. Levin
Occurrence of Secondary Ischemic Events Among Persons With Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease
Stroke, April 1, 2002; 33(4): 901 - 906.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
C D A Wolfe, A G Rudd, R Howard, C Coshall, J Stewart, E Lawrence, C Hajat, and T Hillen
Incidence and case fatality rates of stroke subtypes in a multiethnic population: the South London Stroke Register
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, February 1, 2002; 72(2): 211 - 216.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
J. E. Williams, F. J. Nieto, C. P. Sanford, D. J. Couper, H. A. Tyroler, and A. Algra
The Association Between Trait Anger and Incident Stroke Risk: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study * Editorial Comment: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study
Stroke, January 1, 2002; 33(1): 13 - 20.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
C. D. Lee, A. R. Folsom, F. J. Nieto, L. E. Chambless, E. Shahar, and D. A. Wolfe
White Blood Cell Count and Incidence of Coronary Heart Disease and Ischemic Stroke and Mortality from Cardiovascular Disease in African-American and White Men and Women: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study
Am. J. Epidemiol., October 15, 2001; 154(8): 758 - 764.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
D. Mirchandani and F. Muggia
Re: Prognosis and Treatment of Patients With Breast Tumors of One Centimeter or Less and Negative Axillary Lymph Nodes
J Natl Cancer Inst, September 19, 2001; 93(18): 1420a - 1421a.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
A. W. Tsai, A. R. Folsom, W. D. Rosamond, and D. W. Jones
Ankle-Brachial Index and 7-Year Ischemic Stroke Incidence: The ARIC Study
Stroke, August 1, 2001; 32(8): 1721 - 1724.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
B. J. Quilliam, K. L. Lapane, and C. Leibson
Clinical Correlates and Drug Treatment of Residents With Stroke in Long-Term Care Editorial Comment
Stroke, June 1, 2001; 32(6): 1385 - 1393.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
K. J. Hunt, G. W. Evans, A. R. Folsom, A. R. Sharrett, L. E. Chambless, C. H. Tegeler, and G. Heiss
Acoustic Shadowing on B-Mode Ultrasound of the Carotid Artery Predicts Ischemic Stroke : The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study
Stroke, May 1, 2001; 32(5): 1120 - 1126.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
A. C. Morrison, P. A. Doris, A. R. Folsom, F. J. Nieto, E. Boerwinkle, and R. A. Hegele
G-Protein {beta}3 Subunit and {{alpha}}-Adducin Polymorphisms and Risk of Subclinical and Clinical Stroke Editorial Comment : Candidate Genes for Stroke: If Elected, Will They Serve?
Stroke, April 1, 2001; 32(4): 822 - 829.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NeurologyHome page
W.T. Longstreth Jr., C. Bernick, A. Fitzpatrick, M. Cushman, L. Knepper, J. Lima, and C.D. Furberg
Frequency and predictors of stroke death in 5,888 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study
Neurology, February 13, 2001; 56(3): 368 - 375.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NeurologyHome page
D. Knopman, L.L. Boland, T. Mosley, G. Howard, D. Liao, M. Szklo, P. McGovern, and A. R. Folsom
Cardiovascular risk factors and cognitive decline in middle-aged adults
Neurology, January 9, 2001; 56(1): 42 - 48.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
L. B. Goldstein, R. Adams, K. Becker, C. D. Furberg, P. B. Gorelick, G. Hademenos, M. Hill, G. Howard, V. J. Howard, B. Jacobs, et al.
Primary Prevention of Ischemic Stroke : A Statement for Healthcare Professionals From the Stroke Council of the American Heart Association
Circulation, January 2, 2001; 103(1): 163 - 182.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
L. B. Goldstein, R. Adams, K. Becker, C. D. Furberg, P. B. Gorelick, G. Hademenos, M. Hill, G. Howard, V. J. Howard, B. Jacobs, et al.
Primary Prevention of Ischemic Stroke : A Statement for Healthcare Professionals From the Stroke Council of the American Heart Association
Stroke, January 1, 2001; 32(1): 280 - 299.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
M. L. Eigenbrodt, K. M. Rose, D. J. Couper, D. K. Arnett, R. Smith, and D. Jones
Orthostatic Hypotension as a Risk Factor for Stroke : The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, 1987-1996
Stroke, October 1, 2000; 31(10): 2307 - 2313.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
A. C. Morrison, M. Fornage, D. Liao, and E. Boerwinkle
Parental History of Stroke Predicts Subclinical But Not Clinical Stroke : The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study
Stroke, September 1, 2000; 31(9): 2098 - 2102.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
M. H. Gail, J. P. Costantino, J. Bryant, R. Croyle, L. Freedman, K. Helzlsouer, and V. Vogel
Response
J Natl Cancer Inst, April 5, 2000; 92(7): 574 - 574.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
G. R. Williams, J. G. Jiang, D. B. Matchar, and G. P. Samsa
Incidence and Occurrence of Total (First-Ever and Recurrent) Stroke
Stroke, December 1, 1999; 30(12): 2523 - 2528.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
A. L. Taylor, L. L. Adams-Campbell, and J. T. Wright Jr.
Risk/Benefit Assessment of Tamoxifen to Prevent Breast CancerStill a Work in Progress?
J Natl Cancer Inst, November 3, 1999; 91(21): 1792 - 1793.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
M. H. Gail, J. P. Costantino, J. Bryant, R. Croyle, L. Freedman, K. Helzlsouer, and V. Vogel
Weighing the Risks and Benefits of Tamoxifen Treatment for Preventing Breast Cancer
J Natl Cancer Inst, November 3, 1999; 91(21): 1829 - 1846.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]