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Stroke. 2004;35:1842-1846
Published online before print June 10, 2004, doi: 10.1161/01.STR.0000134416.89389.9d
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(Stroke. 2004;35:1842.)
© 2004 American Heart Association, Inc.


Original Contributions

Stroke Risk After Transient Ischemic Attack in a Population-Based Setting

Lynda D. Lisabeth, PhD; Jennifer K. Ireland, MD; Jan M.H. Risser, PhD; Devin L. Brown, MD; Melinda A. Smith, MPH; Nelda M. Garcia, BS Lewis B. Morgenstern, MD

From the Stroke Program (L.D.L., D.L.B., M.A.S., N.M.G., L.B.M.), University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Mich.; the Stroke Program (J.K.I.), University of Texas Medical School at Houston; the Department of Epidemiology (J.M.H.R.), University of Texas School of Public Health at Houston; and the Department of Epidemiology (L.B.M.), University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, Mich.

Correspondence to Dr Lewis B. Morgenstern, Stroke Program, University of Michigan Medical School, 1500 East Medical Center Drive, TC 1920/0316, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-0316. E-mail LMorgens{at}umich.edu

Background and Purpose— Stroke risk after transient ischemic attack (TIA) has not been examined in an ethnically diverse population-based community setting. The purpose of this study was to identify stroke risk among TIA patients in a population-based cerebrovascular disease surveillance project.

Methods— The Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) Project prospectively ascertains stroke and TIA cases in a geographically isolated Southeast Texas County. The community is approximately half Mexican American and half nonHispanic white. Cases are validated by board-certified neurologists using source documentation. Cumulative risk for stroke after TIA was determined using Kaplan-Meier estimates. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to test for associations between stroke risk after TIA and demographics, symptoms, risk factors, and history of stroke/TIA.

Results— BASIC identified 612 TIA cases between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2002; 60.9% were female and 48.0% were Mexican American. Median age was 73.8 years. Stroke risk within 2 days, 7 days, 30 days, 90 days, and 12 months was 1.64%, 1.97%, 3.15%, 4.03%, and 7.27%, respectively. Stroke risk was not influenced by ethnicity, symptoms, or risk factors.

Conclusions— Using a population-based design, we found that early stroke risk after TIA was less than previously reported in this bi-ethnic population of Mexican Americans and nonHispanic whites. Approximately half of the 90-day stroke risk after TIA occurred within 2 days.


Key Words: cerebral ischemia, transient • stroke • population surveillance • Hispanic Americans • Mexican Americans • risk • mortality




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