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Published Online
on June 26, 2008

Stroke. 2008
Published online before print June 26, 2008, doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.107.513499
A more recent version of this article appeared on August 1, 2008
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Submitted on January 8, 2008
Accepted on January 16, 2008

Serum Calcium as Prognosticator in Ischemic Stroke

Bruce Ovbiagele MD*; Sidney Starkman MD; Philip Teal MD; Patrick Lyden MD; Markku Kaste MD, PhD; Stephen M. Davis MD; Werner Hacke MD, PhD; Monika Fierus MD; Jeffrey L. Saver MD; on behalf of the VISTA Investigators

From the Stroke Center and Department of Neurology (B.O., S.S., J.L.S.), and the Department of Emergency Medicine (S.S.), UCLA Medical Center, Los Angeles, Calif; the Division of Neurology (P.T.), University of British Columbia, Canada; the UCSD Stroke Center (P.L.), San Diego, Calif; the Department of Neurology (M.K.), Helsinki University Central Hospital, University of Helsinki, Finland; the Department of Neurology (S.M.D.), Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Australia; the Department of Neurology (W.H.), University of Heidelberg, Germany; and Bayer HealthCare AG (M.F.), Leverkusen, Germany.

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: Ovibes{at}mednet.ucla.edu.

Background and Purpose—Calcium (Ca2+) plays a role in the cellular and molecular pathways of ischemic neuronal death. We evaluated the impact of both early and delayed Ca2+ levels on clinical outcomes from acute ischemic stroke.

Methods—The relations between blood calcium level obtained early (<4.5 hours), and delayed (72 to 96 hours) after ischemic stroke onset versus clinical outcomes were analyzed in 826 subjects enrolled in an international trial in the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive. Subjects were categorized into Ca2+ quartiles. Outcome measures analyzed included baseline and 72- to 96-hour stroke severity, as well as 3-month functional and global disability scales. The independent effect of calcium on outcome was evaluated by median and logistic regression analysis.

Results—Six hundred and fifty-nine (80%) of the trial subjects had complete baseline data including Ca2+ levels. Bivariately, the highest delayed Ca2+ quartile (versus lowest) was associated with lesser stroke severity and better 3-month functional and independence scale outcomes (all P<0.001), but no significant outcome differences were noted among early Ca2+ levels. In multivariable analysis, delayed Ca2+ in the highest quartile (versus lowest quartile) was associated with greater 3-month independence score on the Barthel Index scale (76.9 versus 55.4, P=0.006). No other significant outcome differences were noted between highest and lowest quartiles for both early and delayed Ca2+ quartiles.

Conclusions—Elevated 72- to 96-hour serum Ca2+ levels independently predict greater independence 3 months after ischemic stroke, but very early serum Ca2+ appear not to have any prognostic significance.


Key words: acute care • acute stroke • cerebrovascular disease • outcomes • prognosis • stroke • stroke care