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Published Online
on November 5, 2009

Stroke. 2009
Published online before print November 5, 2009, doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.109.565440
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Submitted on August 12, 2009
Revised on September 14, 2009
Accepted on September 28, 2009

Low Pessimism Protects Against Stroke. The Health and Social Support (HeSSup) Prospective Cohort Study

Hermann Nabi PhD*; Markku Koskenvuo MD, PhD; Archana Singh-Manoux PhD; Jyrki Korkeila MD, PhD; Sakari Suominen MD, PhD; Katariina Korkeila MD, PhD; Jussi Vahtera MD, PhD; and Mika Kivimäki PhD

From INSERM U687-IFR69 (H.N., A.S.-M.), Villejuif, France; the Department of Public Health (M. Koshenvuo), University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; the Department of Epidemiology and Public Health (A.S.-M., M. Kivimäki), University College London, London, UK; the Department of Psychiatry (J.K.), University of Turku and Harjavalta Hospital, Turku, Finland; the Department of Public Health (S.S., J.V.), University of Turku and Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland; Municipal Health Care (K.K.), Turku, Finland; and the Finnish Institute of Occupational Health (J.V., M. Kivimäki), Helsinki, Finland.

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: Hermann.Nabi{at}inserm.fr.

Background and Purpose—The association between optimism and pessimism and health outcomes has attracted increasing research interest. To date, the association between these psychological variables and risk of stroke remains unclear. We examined the relationship between pessimism and the 7-year incidence of stroke.

Methods—A random sample of 23 216 adults (9480 men, 13 796 women) aged 20 to 54 years completed the pessimism scale in 1998, that is, at study baseline. Fatal and first nonfatal stroke events during a mean follow-up of 7.0 years were documented by linkage to the national hospital discharge and mortality registers leading to 105 events.

Results—Unadjusted hazard ratio was 0.44 (95% CI, 0.25 to 0.77) for participants in the lowest quartile (a low pessimism level) when compared with those in the highest quartile (a high pessimism level). After serial adjustments for sociodemographic characteristics, cardiovascular biobehavioral risk factors, depression, general feeling of stressfulness, and ischemic heart disease, the fully adjusted hazard ratio was 0.52 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.93).

Conclusions—In this population of adult men and women, low level of pessimism had a robust association with reduced incidence of stroke.


Key words: epidemiology • pessimism • psych & • behavior