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(Stroke. 1995;26:1348-1352.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Department of Neurology, Landesnervenklinik Gugging (M.B., M.S., A.S.), and the Institute for Stroke Research and Stroke Prevention, Danube University (M.B., M.S., A.D.), Gugging, Austria, and the Biometry and Field Studies Branch, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, Bethesda, Md (L.M.M.).
Correspondence to M. Brainin, MD, Institute for Stroke Research and Stroke Prevention, Department of Neurology, Landesnervenklinik Gugging, Hauptstrasse 2, A-3400 Ma. Gugging, Austria.
| Abstract |
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Methods We performed univariate and multivariate analyses of data prospectively collected in the Klosterneuburg Stroke Data Bank, a hospital-based registry in Austria that includes a 3-year follow-up program.
Results Of 728 patients (mean age, 68±10 years) with a first-ever ischemic stroke, 110 (15%) had had a previous TIA, and 66/618 (11%) patients did not have a history of TIA but showed evidence of silent brain infarct on CT. Outcome variables of neurological interest were not significantly different between groups, including time between stroke and study entry, activities of daily living status at first presentation, median time of hospitalization, 30-day mortality, or 3-year mortality. Univariate analyses of epidemiologically important risk factors showed either history of TIA or evidence of silent infarct to be more frequently associated with hypertension (P=.007). Cox models of survival showed that neither history of TIA nor evidence of silent infarct were significantly associated with an increase in 3-year mortality.
Conclusions Over a period of 3 years, neither history of TIA nor evidence of silent infarct diagnosed at the time of the presenting major stroke in first-ever ischemic stroke patients exert an important influence on neurological or epidemiological outcome variables.
Key Words: cerebral ischemia, transient epidemiology tomography, x-ray computed
| Introduction |
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We report a 3-year longitudinal study of a series of hospitalized stroke patients from the Klosterneuburg Stroke Data Bank in Austria.4 Examining risk factor patterns, clinical characteristics at presentation, and outcome measures, we compared groups of patients who had previously suffered a clinically silent stroke or had a history of TIA, both individually and combined, with a group of first-ever stroke patients who had neither a history of TIA nor evidence of a clinically silent stroke.
| Subjects and Methods |
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The first 1000 consecutive patients treated for completed stroke at the Department of Neurology at the Landesnervenklinik Gugging between March 1988 and September 1992 represented the data set for this analysis. These patients were grouped according to the following criteria. (1) Group 1A included patients who had suffered a TIA before the onset of their presenting stroke. A history of the TIA was taken from the patient and/or spouse according to a semistructured interview, which included the time elapsed since their (last) TIA, number of attacks, type of TIA, and vascular territory involved. (2) Group 1B included patients with evidence of a previous silent stroke, ie, those who to their knowledge (and to the knowledge of their spouse) had not previously suffered a TIA or stroke and were admitted for a first-ever stroke but whose CT scan showed evidence of a previous ischemic infarction that was not thought to relate to their presenting stroke. A silent infarct was defined as any circumscribed low attenuation consistent with cerebral infarction. The analysis of CT scans for the detection of additional ischemic lesions that were not attributable to the presenting stroke syndrome was planned as an integral part of the prospective data acquisition and performed to the best of our knowledge.4 Despite this, it is clear that retrospective analysis of CT scans in patients who have recently suffered a major stroke cannot exclude patients with early stroke recurrence, especially recurring embolism. Although virtually all patients had at least one CT (99.6%), patients with CTs performed within 24 hours had, as a rule, a second CT within the first week. To avoid false-negative interpretations of CT scans performed after day 14 (due to the "fogging effect"), contrast-enhanced scans are routinely performed. Since 1990 many patients also had had an MRI, especially in cases of brain stem strokes but also in other cases of diagnostic relevance. The MRI data are not considered in this analysis, although it would be tempting to do so because the rates for silent ischemia would be expected to be higher. On the other hand, MRI-anatomic correlations are still largely lacking, and therefore no definite conclusions can be drawn from such data. (3) Group 2 included all first-ever stroke patients without a history of TIA or signs of silent cerebral ischemia as seen by means of CT.
Statistical Analysis
Group comparisons for risk factors and outcome characteristics
were made by univariate methods applying
2 tests, ANOVA, and nonparametric
statistical methods as appropriate. Multiple logistic regression
analysis was used to examine for associations between risk
factors and silent strokes. Statistical significance was defined as
P<.05, although because many tests were performed and no
multiple comparison adjustments were made to control the overall type I
error rate, significant results should be interpreted descriptively. To
compare survival across groups, nonparametric estimates of
the survival functions were computed using the Kaplan-Meier method.
Losses to follow-up were censored at the date of the last contact. The
log-rank test was used to test for overall group differences in
survival, without adjusting for other covariates.
Multivariate analyses to assess the effects of
covariates on survival were performed using Cox proportional hazards
regression. Incorporation of indicator variables for group
membership (after checking the proportional hazards assumption) allowed
for testing of group differences after adjusting for other covariates.
Point estimates and confidence intervals for relative risks associated
with various covariates were obtained from the resulting regression
coefficients and their standard errors.
| Results |
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The demographic characteristics of the remaining 728 patients are
summarized in Table 1
. The ANOVA test for age showed no
significant group differences.
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Group 1A comprised 110 patients. Sixty-seven of them (60.9%) had had a single TIA, 32 (29.1%) had had between two and five attacks, 5 (4.5%) had a history of more than five attacks, and in 6 cases (5.4%) no frequency could be determined. The TIA types were pure motor hemiparesis (31), pure sensory hemiparesis (18), isolated anarthria or dysphasia (17), brachiocephalic motor paresis (11), monocular blindness (10), brain stem syndrome (4), other (7), and unspecified (12). Additional ischemic lesions (not attributed to their presenting stroke syndrome) seen on CT showed a left-sided preponderance: 14 left-sided versus 7 on the right, mostly small, deep and small cerebellar infarctions. Altogether, the rate of ischemic lesions as either the correlate of the TIA or the result of an additional silent stroke was 20.0% (22/110 patients). Two of those patients had two ischemic lesions. In only five cases was the presenting stroke located within the same vascular territory as one of the additional lesions seen on CT. The laterality of lesions of the presenting stroke was evenly distributed between the hemispheres (40 left, 38 right, 9 bilateral, 2 median) and did not differ from the other groups.
Group 1B comprised 66 patients. The distribution of silent lesions (58 patients had one silent lesion and 8 patients had two) was deep, small periventricular (14), putamen or globus pallidus (4), small, deep thalamic (3), caudate head (9), cortical ACA (1), cortical MCA (4), cortical-subcortical MCA (2), median PCA (1), lateral PCA (2), corona radiata (1), pontine (3), midbrain (1), cerebellar (7), and other infarcts (8); border zones: internal MCA (4), external MCA anterior (1), external MCA posterior (5); multiple lesions: lacunar state (1) and Binswanger (3). The distribution between hemispheres was 33 on the left and 30 on the right, 7 bilateral and 4 median. Of the 49 patients with single hemispheric lesions, 19 patients had their presenting stroke in the same hemisphere as their silent stroke lesion.
Group 2 comprised 552 patients according to the definition above.
Group comparisons of variables of neurological interest showed no significant differences for the time between stroke and study entry (median for all groups, 13±9 days; Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test, P=.06, NS), as well as for the length of hospital stay (median for all groups, 39±23 days; Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test, P=.08, NS). No significant group differences were found for stroke severity (applying a simplified six-grade stroke severity scale, moderate deficits found in groups 1A, 1B, and 2 were 60.9%, 66.7%, and 56.9%, respectively [NS]; severe deficits found were 11.8%, 4.5%, and 13.0%, respectively [NS]), median values of the ADL status at presentation (median for all groups, 50±34; Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test, P=.17, NS), or for 30-day mortality (overall mortality, 5.6%). The laterality of the lesion of the presenting stroke showed no group difference by brain hemisphere or by infratentorial location of the presenting stroke. When comparing stroke etiologies between groups, group 1A showed a suggestive preponderance of atherothrombotic strokes versus cryptogenic, cardiac embolic, and lacunar strokes, but no differences occurred in an overall test for differences among the three groups (P=.28). Also, no major differences were found when comparing the most frequent stroke syndromes among groups.
Group comparisons of variables of epidemiological interest included
the prevalence of single and combined potential risk factors for silent
infarcts and TIAs and their relation to the characteristics of the
presenting stroke (Tables 2
and 3
).
No group differences were found, but group 1A tended to have a higher
rate of atherothrombotic strokes in combination with a higher
prevalence of peripheral arterial disease,
although the rates in all three groups were rather low.
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In a combined analysis of groups 1A and 1B versus group 2, only
a history of hypertension was more common in patients with either a
history of TIA or evidence of silent infarct (P=.007) (Table 4
). In a multiple logistic regression analysis
relating various risk factors to the presence of silent stroke lesions,
old age (>65 years) and a history of myocardial infarction were
significantly associated with the presence of silent strokes, even
after adjusting for sex, hypertension, and diabetes, none of which were
significantly associated with the presence of silent strokes.
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Follow-up investigations were performed on all but 4 patients. Survival
rates in the three groups were compared, and the effects of various
covariates on survival were examined. A log-rank test for differences
in survival among the three groups, without taking into consideration
additional covariates, showed no statistically significant difference.
Using available covariate information from before the index stroke, Cox
proportional hazards regression techniques identified old age,
diabetes, and ischemic heart disease as important negative
predictors for survival, although hypertension was not a significant
contributor to mortality (Table 5
). A second model
included additional information known at the time of the presenting
stroke and showed the diagnosis of a lacunar stroke (versus nonlacunar
stroke) and an ADL level >50 (versus ADL level <50) to be significant
positive prognostic indicators for survival (Table 6
).
In both models, neither silent infarcts nor history of TIA played a
major role in survival after adjusting for other covariates.
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| Discussion |
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With the exception of two studies,2 3 all others were cross-sectional and did not evaluate follow-up examinations of their stroke patients. Ricci et al2 found that the 12-month outcome was not influenced by the presence of a silent infarct. Boon et al3 do not specify their follow-up data but state globally that they found no influence of silent infarcts on the 12-month mortality in their cohort of 755 patients. The present study represents the longest follow-up study of stroke patients with evidence of a silent stroke and does not show any differences in mortality between patients with a silent stroke and those with a first-ever stroke and no evidence of a silent infarct within 3 years of the index stroke. In addition, we did not find differences in the severity of the presenting index stroke that would be reflected in the ADL status or the stroke severity. These findings are corroborated by the study of Boon et al, who measured the initial handicap by means of the Rankin Scale. Our study also found no differences in the duration of hospitalization, which is an important indicator for the costs of health care for stroke patients.
Due to individual differences in the observation and self-recognition of such short-lasting or nonspecific signs, a variable number of pathophysiologically identical episodes associated with cerebral infarction might pass either as silent stroke or TIA. Since it has been shown that the majority of TIAs also are associated with cerebral infarcts, especially when investigated by means of MRI,12 13 14 15 16 such a continuum might be postulated. Although cerebral infarcts are most often seen when TIA lasts longer than 1 hour, when signs during attacks clear more slowly, when the TIAs are multiple versus single, and in those with speech dysfunction as a component of the attack,17 18 no strict separation in terms of pathophysiology has been possible to determine which TIA in a single patient will be associated with an infarct. Similarly, in studies of patients who have suffered a TIA, no single important factor indicated whether a patient is going to suffer a further vascular event.19 One other study showed that risk of cardiac death in patients who have suffered a TIA depends mainly on the cardiac risk factors and that none of the neurological variables predict cardiac death.20 21
In conclusion, neither clinically silent infarcts nor TIAs exert an important influence on neurological or epidemiological outcome variables when studied in first-ever stroke patients over a period of 3 years. This also holds for a combined analysis when first-ever ischemic stroke patients that had either previously suffered a TIA or showed evidence of a silent infarct on CT were grouped together and compared with first-ever ischemic stroke patients without a previous TIA and without a silent stroke. No influence on the severity of a first-ever ischemic stroke, the many characteristics of the presenting stroke, or duration of hospital stay was found. The predictors of mortality are the same as in most studies of ischemic stroke. It remains to be studied, however, whether silent infarcts exert an influence on prognosis for asymptomatic individuals who have not yet suffered a stroke.
| Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms |
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| Acknowledgments |
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Received March 30, 1995; revision received May 11, 1995; accepted May 12, 1995.
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