(Stroke. 1995;26:1691-1696.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From Clinica Neurologica e Istituto di Scienze Biomediche, Ospedale "San Gerardo," Monza (E.B., G.B.); Clinica Medica, Istituto di Scienze Biomediche, Ospedale "San Gerardo," Monza (P.C., G.F., C.L., M.M.); and Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche "Mario Negri," Milan (E.B., A.B.), Italy.
Correspondence to Dr Ettore Beghi, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche "Mario Negri," Via Eritrea 62, 20157 Milan, Italy.
| Abstract |
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Methods A case-control study was undertaken in 200 consecutive
ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke patients and 372 age- and
sex-matched control subjects (170 hospital-based and 202
community-based individuals). Data were collected through direct
interview regarding demographics, risk factors for stroke, current
daily alcohol consumption, and diagnosis of alcoholism. Blood was also
taken to test the common biological markers of alcohol intake
(erythrocyte mean cell volume, uric acid, aspartate aminotransferase,
and
-glutamyl transferase).
Results After controlling for the most significant risk factors
(antecedent strokes, hypertension, diabetes, smoking) and using
hospital control subjects for reference, we determined the risk of
stroke to be 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2 to 4.0) in
moderate drinkers (men,
60 g/d; women,
40 g/d) and 2.9 (95% CI,
1.4 to 6.1) in heavy drinkers (men, >60 g/d; women, >40 g/d). The
corresponding risk values obtained when we compared case subjects and
external control subjects were 1.4 (95% CI, 0.8 to 2.7) and 3.0 (95%
CI, 1.3 to 7.0). Even with some fluctuations across groups, the risk
did not change significantly after subgroup analysis in men,
patients with first-ever stroke, patients with ischemic stroke,
and after exclusion of subjects with risk factors for stroke. Compared
with hospital and external control subjects, stroke patients included a
higher proportion of heavy drinkers (26.6% versus 20.6% versus
10.8%), alcoholics (14.6% versus 7.7% versus 2.5%), and cases with
abnormal erythrocyte mean cell volume (63.0% versus 47.6% versus
34.2%) or
-glutamyl transferase (35.5% versus 32.4% versus
12.9%). Mean alcohol consumption was 42.2 g/d in the case subjects,
30.8 g/d in the hospital control subjects, and 23.2 g/d in the external
control subjects.
Conclusions The study indicates that alcohol can be considered an independent risk factor for stroke in Italy.
Key Words: alcohol drinking Italy risk factors stroke
| Introduction |
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The preliminary results of the present study, which focused on hospitalized stroke case subjects and hospital control subjects, have been reported elsewhere.15 In that report the role of alcohol as a risk factor for stroke proved to be small and was practically lost after adjustment for the most common risk factors for cerebrovascular disease. Here the results of an extended study are presented, with inclusion of a group of external control subjects.
| Subjects and Methods |
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Case and control subjects were interviewed directly. When disability
prevented an adequate response (17 case subjects and 7 hospital control
subjects), the closest relative or accompanying person was interviewed.
The following data were collected on ad hoc forms: main demographic
variables, principal risk factors for stroke (see below), current
daily alcohol consumption (expressed in grams per day according to a
standard nomogram),17 and biological markers of alcohol
intake: erythrocyte mean cell volume, aspartate aminotransferase, uric
acid, and
-glutamyl transferase.
A diagnosis of alcoholism was made with the use of the Michigan
Alcoholism Screening Test (MAST),18 a 25-item
questionnaire evaluating the social, legal, and health consequences of
drinking. Each answer was assigned a weighted score. A total score of 5
points or more defined an alcoholic. According to the amount of
ingested alcohol and with reference to the suggestions of the Italian
Alcohol Society,19 case and control subjects were grouped
in three classes: abstainers, moderate drinkers (men,
60 g/d; women,
40 g/d), and heavy drinkers (men, >60 g/d; women, >40 g/d). The
most widely recognized risk factors for stroke20 were
defined in accordance with clinical and laboratory criteria. Previous
TIA or strokes, use of oral contraceptives, smoking,
cardiovascular disorders, diabetes,
arterial hypertension, and dyslipidemia were
assessed through direct interview supplemented by examination of
hospital records and those of the general practitioner.
Obesity was assessed by clinical examination, which included blood
pressure measurement. Specific treatments were required to support the
diagnosis of hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular
disorders. Cardiovascular disorders included angina,
myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation and other cardiac
arrhythmias, congestive heart failure, and valvular
disease.
Case and control subjects were interviewed by three of us (P.C., C.L.,
M.M.). Interrater agreement for all the interview items was previously
tested on 9 subjects (3 abstainers, 4 moderate drinkers, and 2 heavy
drinkers). The overall
21 documented a satisfactory
interrater agreement, as it was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI],
0.54 to 1) for risk factors for stroke and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.64 to 1)
for alcohol intake. Concordance among raters was complete for the
diagnosis of alcoholism according to the MAST questionnaire.
Case subjects and hospital control subjects (or their relatives or friends when cooperation was impossible) were assessed at the bedside. External control subjects were examined in the general practitioner's office. Blood was taken from venipuncture for case subjects and hospital control subjects and for most of the external control subjects.
Data were analyzed with the use of univariate and multivariate techniques. Mantel-Haenszel odds ratios22 were used to measure relative risks. Data were also stratified in relation to selected variables thought to influence the drinking habits of our population (men versus women, presence or absence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease, first-ever stroke, and ischemic stroke). Multiple logistic regression analysis was used, with the principal risk factors for stroke as confounders. All the statistical analyses were performed after exclusion of hospital control subjects with alcohol-related disorders and cerebrovascular disease and were then repeated after these individuals were retained. The latter analysis was made to provide confirmatory evidence of our data after we adjusted for a possible underrepresentation of heavy drinkers in the control population.
| Results |
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-glutamyl transferase. Hypertension was the most common disease in
the three groups. Cardiovascular disorders prevailed
among hospital control subjects and obesity among external control
subjects. Compared with both control groups, stroke index case subjects
included a significantly higher proportion with antecedent TIA/strokes,
diabetes, and hypertension. Compared with abstainers, moderate drinkers
were at slightly higher risk of stroke and heavy drinkers at a
significantly higher risk (Table 2
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Along with alcohol intake, other factors were associated with a higher risk of stroke. These included antecedent TIA/stroke, diabetes, and hypertension. Smoking seemed to affect the risk of stroke only when the case subjects were compared with the external control subjects. The role of obesity as a risk factor seemed limited to the hospital control subjects. When we adjusted for age, sex, history of TIA or stroke, diabetes, hypertension, and smoking and used the hospital control subjects for reference, the risk was 2.2 (95% CI, 1.2 to 4.0) in moderate drinkers and 2.9 (95% CI, 1.4 to 6.1) in heavy drinkers. The corresponding risk values obtained when we used the external control subjects for reference were 1.4 (95% CI, 0.8 to 2.7) and 3.0 (95% CI, 1.3 to 7.0).
The analysis was then repeated after exclusion of hypertension in the model, under the assumption that hypertension could mediate the effect of alcohol on stroke. When we used hospital control subjects for reference, the risk of stroke was 2.3 (95% CI, 1.0 to 5.3) for moderate drinkers and 2.9 (95% CI, 1.1 to 7.6) for heavy drinkers. The corresponding values for external control subjects were 1.7 (95% CI, 0.7 to 4.2) and 6.0 (95% CI, 2.1 to 17.2).
The risk tended to decrease slightly and became of borderline significance after we added the 30 hospital control subjects with disease or exposure-related conditions. In that case, the risk of stroke for moderate drinkers was 1.5 (95% CI, 0.9 to 2.6) and 2.0 for heavy drinkers (95% CI, 1.1 to 3.7). No interaction was detected between smoking and alcohol intake.
Selected categories of patients were then considered to assess the risk
of stroke according to the level of alcohol consumption (Table 3
). Although some fluctuations were noted, an elevated
risk of stroke among heavy drinkers was confirmed for men, patients
with first-ever stroke, patients with ischemic stroke, and
those with none of the most common risk factors for cerebrovascular
disease.
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Cerebral infarction was the most common stroke subtype (59%), followed by lacunarity (15%) and cerebral hemorrhage (9.5%). Among patients with cerebral infarction, heavy drinkers amounted to 29%. The corresponding percentages for patients with cerebral hemorrhage and lacunes were 26% and 30%. CT scan was normal in 18% of the patients. Cerebral atrophy was present in 33% of cases. CT scan was not available for 10 patients who died before they were examined. Eighteen patients died during the acute phase of the disease. Overall, stroke was mild in 44% of the patients, moderate in 37%, and severe in 19%. Heavy drinkers constituted 24% of those with mild stroke, 32% of those with moderate stroke, and 22% of those with severe stroke.
| Discussion |
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A closer look at the two control groups showed moderate differences in the risk values, which in some respects depend on the different degree of exposure to alcohol and the different proportion of individuals with a diagnosis of alcoholism. As expected, the proportion of heavy drinkers and alcoholics was higher among the hospital control subjects than the external control subjects. The hospital control subjects also included a higher percentage of smokers and patients with cardiovascular disorders, hypertension, and diabetes. These differences may partly explain the differences in the risk values when comparisons were made between case subjects and the two control groups separately. However, the differences in the risk values across groups cannot be explained by a different distribution of alcohol-related disorders, since patients with alcohol-related conditions leading to hospital admission were excluded. This decision did not preclude inclusion of patients with alcohol-related disorders that did not require hospitalization (case subjects and hospital control subjects) or medical consultation (external control subjects) who were equally eligible for enrollment in the study.
Several pieces of evidence seem to support the concept of a causal relationship between alcohol consumption and stroke: the index case subjects included a larger proportion of heavy alcohol consumers and revealed a higher quantity of daily alcohol ingestion. The results were fairly similar when the case subjects were compared with the two control groups. The risk values did not change when data were adjusted for the principal confounders, including smoking, and (although with some fluctuations) when the analysis was repeated within selected subgroups of case and control subjects. Stroke patients also included a larger proportion of individuals with a diagnosis of alcoholism, although significant differences were detected when the index case subjects were compared with the two control groups separately.
Two other studies may be compared with our investigation because of the similarity of the study design. In a retrospective case-control study of 230 ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke patients and 230 matched control subjects with a mean age of 59 years, a significant correlation was found between heavy alcohol consumption and stroke in men, after adjustment for smoking, arterial hypertension, and medications.23 In a larger stroke population, the same authors showed that the relative risks of stroke according to the extent of alcohol consumption followed a J-shaped association curve, suggesting that lower levels of alcohol intake may have a protective effect on the vascular system, whereas heavy alcohol intake may predispose to stroke of any type.24 These data fit in part with our results and suggest that in a mixed stroke population, heavy alcohol intake may be an independent risk factor for cerebrovascular disease. In another study of predominantly black middle-aged and elderly patients an apparent association was found between acute alcohol intake and stroke; however, the association disappeared when the investigators adjusted for smoking and hypertension.25 In a subsequent analysis of customary alcohol intake and smoking, the authors concluded that alcohol consumption may not be an independent risk factor for cerebral infarction in middle-aged and elderly patients when the confounding effects of smoking are accounted for.26 We confirmed the presence of a higher risk of stroke among heavy alcohol consumers, even limiting the analysis to ischemic stroke patients and after adjusting for smoking. In the study by Gorelick and colleagues,25 the inclusion of patients enrolled in a general medicine outpatient service may reflect the inclusion of a higher proportion of subjects with alcohol-related diseases than expected in the general population. An explanation of this assumption comes from our previous report, when we limited the analysis to hospitalized control subjects, including subjects with disease- and exposure-related conditions.15 Likewise, in the present investigation the risk of stroke in heavy drinkers became of borderline significance after inclusion of exposure- or disease-related conditions in hospital and external control subjects. As recently shown,27 the risk associated with alcohol consumption varies depending on the selection of the control groups and may partly explain the fluctuations in our risk values and the contradictory results from previous case-control studies.
This study population included first-ever strokes and stroke recurrences. The inclusion of repeated strokes may introduce a selection bias because this group may include survivors of previous strokes who may have reduced alcohol intake as a consequence of the disease. The same holds true for the oldest patients and those with arterial hypertension, diabetes, and other chronic disorders, which may alter personal lifestyles. In this study arterial hypertension was considered a confounding factor because it is commonly accepted as an independent risk factor for stroke. However, in studies on alcohol consumption and alcoholism, adjustment on the basis of hypertension may not be justified since hypertension could mediate the effect of alcohol on stroke.4 28 This assumption seems confirmed by the increased risk values when our case subjects were compared with the external control subjects after exclusion of hypertension from the logistic regression model. We may similarly explain the slightly higher risk of first-ever stroke among heavy alcohol consumers and the higher estimated relative risk in the individuals without risk factors for cerebrovascular disease.
Contrary to the findings of Gill et al,23 stroke subtypes have been detected in the present study by neuroradiological assessment in almost all cases. No significant differences were present when ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke and alcohol consumption were compared, nor was an association found between alcohol intake and the severity of stroke. However, the small numbers in some diagnostic and prognostic categories, the different distribution of stroke subtypes in the present series, and the low proportion of cases with hemorrhagic strokes may prevent definite conclusions.
Our findings confirm the results of certain English authors,23 according to whom the higher risk of stroke was limited to men. However, consistent with their results, the numbers in the female group were small, thus preventing any meaningful conclusion.
The different sources of case subjects and the presumedly different control populations may explain the difference between our results and those of the West Birmingham Stroke Project,29 which showed a lack of association between alcohol consumption and cardiovascular risk factors and stroke.
The results of the present study provide epidemiological and biochemical confirmation of the effects of alcohol on the vascular system, which have been repeatedly emphasized by experimental and clinical reports. In that sense, the significant increase of some biochemical markers of excessive alcohol intake among our stroke index cases is worth noting. We do not know to what extent our findings can be generalized to other countries and populations, which may have different social and alimentary habits. However, even with the limitations of the different methodological approaches, our findings are consistent with the results of other clinical series showing that ischemic stroke30 31 32 33 and stroke of undetermined origin34 35 36 37 may be related to heavy alcohol intake.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received November 10, 1994; revision received April 11, 1995; accepted June 12, 1995.
| References |
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