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(Stroke. 1996;27:544-549.)
© 1996 American Heart Association, Inc.


Articles

Risk Factors for Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

A Systematic Review

Laurien L. Teunissen, MD; Gabriel J.E. Rinkel, MD; Ale Algra, MD J. van Gijn, MD FRCPE

From the University Department of Neurology, Utrecht, Netherlands.

Correspondence to Laurien L. Teunissen, MD, University Department of Neurology, Heidelberglaan 100, 3584 CX Utrecht, Netherlands.


*    Abstract
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*Abstract
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Background and Purpose Knowledge of modifiable risk factors for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is important in terms of prevention. We therefore conducted a systematic review of studies on risk factors for SAH, with emphasis on sufficiently precise criteria for the diagnosis of SAH.

Methods To identify studies we performed a Medline search from 1966 to 1994 and searched the reference lists of all relevant publications. Studies were included only if they fulfilled predefined methodological criteria. Case-control studies were included if the diagnosis of SAH was proved by CT, angiography, or autopsy in at least 70% of patients. Longitudinal studies were included if the criteria for SAH were based on a review of the medical records.

Results Nine longitudinal studies and 11 case-control studies were included. Significant risk factors were as follows: (1) smoking (relative risk [RR] for longitudinal studies, 1.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5 to 2.3; odds ratio [OR] for case-control studies, 3.5; 95% CI, 2.9 to 4.3); (2) hypertension (RR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.1 to 3.6; OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 2.4 to 3.7) and (3) drinking 150 g or more of alcohol per week (RR, 4.7; 95% CI, 2.1 to 10.5; OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.9). Use of oral contraceptives, hormone replacement therapy, hypercholesterolemia, and physical activity were not significantly related to the risk of SAH.

Conclusions We conclude that smoking, hypertension, and alcohol abuse are important risk factors for SAH. Reduction of exposure to these risk factors might result in a decreased incidence of SAH.


Key Words: gender • meta-analysis • risk factors • subarachnoid hemorrhage


*    Introduction
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*Introduction
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In population-based studies, the case-fatality rate of SAH is still 40% to 50%1 2 3 despite continuing improvements in the management of patients with SAH.4 5 The predominant cause of death after SAH is the initial impact of the hemorrhage.2 Major improvement in terms of SAH can therefore be achieved only by reducing the incidence of aneurysmal rupture. To achieve primary prevention, knowledge of modifiable risk factors for SAH is pivotal. In a recently published set of guidelines for SAH, only smoking was accepted as a risk factor; the data on hypertension and oral contraceptives were considered inconsistent.6

Many studies on risk factors for SAH suffer from small numbers of patients and loose diagnostic criteria; in the majority of longitudinal studies, the diagnosis of SAH is not verified at all. Lack of verification of the diagnosis SAH may result in inclusion of many patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, since intracerebral hemorrhage occurs twice as often as SAH,7 and distinction between these two types of hemorrhage without CT scanning is erroneous in approximately 20% of patients.8 Since SAH and intracerebral hemorrhage may have different risk factors, series with a substantial proportion of patients in whom the diagnosis is not confirmed by CT, angiography, or autopsy may provide inaccurate data.

We therefore conducted a systematic review of all studies on risk factors for SAH to identify robust risk factors for SAH. We emphasized the use of sufficiently precise criteria for the diagnosis of SAH.


*    Methods
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up arrowAbstract
up arrowIntroduction
*Methods
down arrowResults
down arrowDiscussion
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To identify studies on risk factors for SAH, we performed a Medline search from 1966 through 1994. We also searched the reference lists of all relevant publications for additional studies on risk factors for SAH. In case of multiple publications on the same study population and risk factor, we used the most recent publication. To assess eligibility of the studies, two authors (L.L.T. and G.J.E.R.) independently assessed the studies according to a set of predefined criteria. In case of disagreement, the data were reviewed by the other authors. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) SAH had to be recognized and analyzed as a separate stroke entity and not be included in a hemorrhagic stroke group; (2) studies had to present crude data that could be recalculated in the analysis; (3) case and control subjects had to be comparable, without additional criteria for control subjects; and (4) for case-control studies the diagnosis of SAH had to be confirmed in more than 70% of the cases by the presence of subarachnoid blood on CT or by demonstration of an aneurysm during angiography or autopsy. For the longitudinal studies the diagnosis had to be based on a review of the medical records and not only on ICD codes. Case-control studies were distinguished in population-based and hospital-based studies.

We found data on the following risk factors: alcohol, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, physical activity, oral contraceptives, and hormone replacement therapy. To allow comparison of data from different studies, we recategorized some of the risk factors. Alcohol consumption was recalculated in grams per week. We divided alcohol use into three groups as follows: (1) no alcohol consumption; (2) <150 g/wk; and (3) >=150 g/wk. One average drink contains 12 g of alcohol. No alcohol consumption was taken as reference in the comparison with the other two categories. For smoking, case and control subjects were divided into three groups: (1) never smokers; 2) former smokers; and (3) current smokers. Since not all studies distinguished between never smokers and former smokers, we performed a separate analysis with a dichotomy into (1) current smokers and (2) previous smokers or nonsmokers. For hypertension and hypercholesterolemia, case and control subjects were divided according to the criteria used in the separate studies. Insufficient data on type or dosage were available to recategorize oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy. Case and control subjects were divided in three groups: (1) never, (2) former, and (3) current users. Since not all studies distinguished between never users and former users, we performed a separate analysis with a dichotomy into (1) current users and (2) never and former users.

Regional Differences
Since the incidence of SAH in Finland is higher than anywhere else,9 risk factors for SAH might also be different in Finland. We therefore performed a separate analysis after exclusion of all three Finnish studies.10 11 12 These Finnish case-control studies addressed smoking,10 11 12 hypertension,11 12 and alcohol12 as risk factors.

Data Analysis
RR and OR estimates from individual studies were combined with the Mantel-Haenszel method into combined estimates. For case-control studies, population-based studies were considered separately and in combination with hospital-based studies.


*    Results
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We included in the analyses 9 longitudinal studies11 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 and 11 case-control studies, of which 7 were population based10 21 22 23 24 25 26 and 4 hospital based.12 27 28 29 Details on the studies are given in Tables 1Down and 2Down.


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Table 1. Diagnostic Criteria and Risk Factors Assessed in Longitudinal Studies of SAH


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Table 2. Diagnostic Criteria and Risk Factors Assessed in Case-Control Studies of SAH

Analysis of Studies
Smoking
Smoking was assessed in 2 longitudinal studies,11 14 4 population-based case-control studies,10 23 24 25 26 and 3 hospital-based case-control studies.12 27 28 The risk of SAH for current smoking was increased in both the longitudinal studies (RR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.5 to 2.3), and the case-control studies (OR, 3.5; 95% CI, 2.9 to 4.3). Ever smoking also elevated the risk of SAH in the case-control studies (OR, 3.2; 95% CI, 2.5 to 4.1).12 23 27 (FigureDown).



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Figure 1. RRs for longitudinal studies, ORs for case-control studies, and 95% CIs for alcohol use, smoking, hypertension, oral contraception, hormone replacement therapy, and hypercholesterolemia.10 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

Hypertension
Hypertension was assessed in 3 longitudinal studies,11 16 18 4 population-based case-control studies,22 24 25 26 and 3 hospital-based case-control studies.12 27 28 Hypertension significantly increased the risk of SAH in the longitudinal studies (RR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.1 to 3.6) as well as the case-control studies (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 2.4 to 3.7) (FigureUp).

Alcohol
Risk implications of alcohol intake were assessed in 2 longitudinal studies,19 20 1 population-based case-control study,23 and 2 hospital-based case-control studies.12 29 In the longitudinal studies the RR of SAH for drinking <150 g/wk was 2.8 (95% CI, 1.3 to 6.3), and that for drinking >=150 g/wk was 4.7 (95% CI, 2.1 to 10.5). In the case-control studies, the OR for drinking >=150 g/wk was 1.5 (95% CI, 1.1 to 1.9), and that for drinking <150 g/wk was 0.8 (95% CI, 0.6 to 1.0) (FigureUp).

Oral Contraceptives
Use of oral contraceptives was assessed in 1 longitudinal study17 and 5 case-control studies, all population based.21 22 24 25 26 In the longitudinal study, based on only eight cases, the risk for ever use of oral contraception was inconclusive (RR, 5.4; 95% CI, 0.7 to 43.5). In the case-control studies, the risks were not elevated for either current use (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.9) or ever use (OR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.3) (FigureUp).

Hormone Replacement Therapy
In the single longitudinal study that addressed hormone replacement as a risk factor for SAH,15 the risk was not altered for either current use (RR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.2 to 1.5) or ever use (RR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.5 to 1.9). In one small population-based case-control study, the risks for current use (OR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.2 to 1.0) and ever use (OR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3 to 1.0) tended to be lower.22 (FigureUp).

Cholesterol
In 2 longitudinal studies16 18 and 1 hospital-based case-control study,28 hypercholesterolemia was studied as a possible risk factor for SAH. Hypercholesterolemia did not alter the risk of SAH in either the longitudinal studies (RR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.4 to 1.9) or the case-control study (OR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.5 to 1.7) (FigureUp).

Physical Activity
In a longitudinal study with 37 patients,13 physical activity was almost significant as a protective factor (RR for activity, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3 to 1.0), despite a small number of cases.

Regional Differences
In separate analyses after exclusion of the Finnish studies, smoking and hypertension were still significant risk factors for SAH, but the use of alcohol at >=150 g/wk was no longer significantly associated with SAH.

Sex Differences
In separate analyses, the risks for alcohol use, smoking, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia were not different for men and women (Table 3Down).


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Table 3. Risk Factors of SAH for Men and Women Separately1 and Total


*    Discussion
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up arrowAbstract
up arrowIntroduction
up arrowMethods
up arrowResults
*Discussion
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In our systematic review, we identified three significant risk factors for SAH in both case-control and longitudinal studies. RRs for smoking and hypertension were homogeneous between studies. An alcohol intake of >=150 g/wk was also a significant although less constant risk factor. The use of smaller amounts of alcohol seemed to have a protective effect in the case-control studies, but this effect was not supported by the longitudinal studies. Our analysis therefore does not support a J-shaped association between the dose of alcohol and the risk of SAH, as was found for the association between alcohol and hemorrhagic stroke in general.30 The results regarding alcohol are of course influenced by the stratification we used. This restratification explains why data we extracted from studies differ in some instances from those in the original publications. For example, a single study found that alcohol was a risk factor only when >400 g/wk,29 but this finding was not included in our analysis because our stratification precludes subdivision into categories of >=150 to 400 and >400 g/wk. Also, we did not consider drinking patterns in our analysis. There is some evidence that binge drinking might increase the risk of SAH, but these studies did not meet the predefined criteria and were therefore not included.31 32 Another explanation for the higher risk of alcohol consumption is confounding, since smoking and alcohol use are often combined and hypertension can be caused by smoking and alcohol use.33 Since the individual studies did not always provide information on combinations of risk factors in one patient, it was not possible to study the effect of confounding in this systematic review.

A remarkable result of this review is the lack of evidence that oral contraceptives and cholesterol are risk factors for SAH. In two studies oral contraceptives were a significant risk factor for SAH,17 26 but the remaining four studies did not support this finding.21 22 24 25 In one of these four studies oral contraceptives even had a significant protective effect.24 The variation between the studies might be explained by different dosages of estrogen, but none of the studies provided information about type of oral contraceptive or amount of estrogen. In the two studies in which oral contraceptives were found to be a risk factor, the periods of follow-up were from 1969 to 1977 and from 1968 to 1987; in these periods the majority of patients used oral contraceptives with high estrogen levels. In all but one of the remaining studies, follow-up included a more recent period during which oral contraceptives with lower estrogen levels were used. The notion that estrogen use is a dose-dependent risk factor for SAH is further supported by the finding that hormone replacement therapy had a protective albeit nonsignificant effect on the risk for SAH.

This review is based on a total of 20 studies. Many other studies were not included in our analysis because they did not meet our predefined criteria. These include, among others, two often-cited Finnish studies on alcohol use and SAH, because they used estimated data of the general population as control.31 32 The well-known Framingham Study did not analyze SAH and intracerebral hemorrhage separately.34 Moreover, we have excluded many case-control studies in which fewer than 70% of the diagnoses of SAH were confirmed by CT, angiography, or autopsy and longitudinal studies in which medical records were not reviewed and diagnosis of SAH was based only on ICD codes. Additionally, many studies were excluded because it was impossible to recalculate the data into RRs. (A list of studies that were considered for this systematic review but did not meet our predefined criteria can be obtained on request from the authors.) For future studies of risk factors for aneurysmal SAH, we recommend CT scanning in as large a proportion of patients as possible and exclusion of patients with perimesencephalic hemorrhage. This benign subset of SAH is characterized by mild symptoms at onset, a typical pattern of hemorrhage on CT, absence of an aneurysm, an uneventful clinical course, and an excellent outcome.35 36 37 The risk factors for this nonaneurysmal type of SAH might be quite different from those for aneurysmal SAH. In the analysis we recommend reporting the RR of each risk factor separately in addition to the results of multivariate analysis. We divided the case-control studies into population-based and hospital-based studies, since hospital-based studies may contain a selected sample of the population with different risk factors. However, the analysis of population-based studies alone did not show important differences compared with the analysis of population-based and hospital-based studies together. The diagnostic criteria in the longitudinal studies were less strict than in the case-control studies. When longitudinal and case-control studies were compared, smoking and hypertension emerged as risk factors in every analysis, but for smoking the observed risk was higher in the case-control studies than in the longitudinal studies. Only two longitudinal studies considered alcohol as a risk factor, and in these studies alcohol was a stronger risk factor than in the case-control studies. Therefore, differences between longitudinal and case-control studies exist only in magnitude and not in the direction of the effect. An explanation for the different results obtained from longitudinal and case-control studies is that in longitudinal studies exposure status may be determined many years before the onset of the SAH, whereas in case-control studies exposures occur closer in time to stroke onset. The difference between longitudinal and case-control studies might also be explained by chance, since only two longitudinal studies considered smoking as a risk factor.

In a separate analysis after exclusion of the three Finnish studies, alcohol intake of >=150 g/wk was no longer a risk factor for SAH. Although there might be loss of information caused by stratification with this small number of studies, these data suggest that alcohol abuse is more important a risk factor for SAH in Finland than in other countries.

Our analysis of studies in which the diagnosis of SAH was verified in the majority of patients indicates that smoking, hypertension, and to a lesser extent alcohol abuse are significant risk factors for SAH. The decline in incidence of stroke in general, brought about by the reduction in these cardiovascular risk factors,38 39 has not been found for SAH: both a community study as well as a recent compilation disproved a decline in incidence of SAH over the last 30 years.9 40 The apparent lack of reduction in the incidence of SAH despite the reduction of its risk factors can be at least partly explained by the low incidence of SAH. The SAH incidence studies of the last few decades have been based on so few patients that even substantial reductions in incidence may not have been detected. Given an SAH incidence of 6/100 000 person-years,9 a prevalence of hypertension approximating 10%, and an RR of hypertension of 3, the incidence of SAH in patients without hypertension is 5/100 000 person-years and that of patients with hypertension 15/100 000 person-years. This means that hypertension should be effectively treated in 100 000 hypertensive patients to prevent 10 cases of SAH per year. The absence of a decline in SAH incidence might also be related to the presence of nonmodifiable risk factors, such as a familial, probably genetic factor,41 and a sex-related factor. SAH is more common in women, although smoking, hypertension, and alcohol use are more common in men, and the influence of the risk factors is equal in men and women. Since the genetic and sex-related risk factors are thus far unknown, the only method at present to decrease the incidence of SAH is the reduction of the major cardiovascular risk factors.


*    Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms
 
CI = confidence interval
ICD = International Classification of Diseases
OR = odds ratio
RR = relative risk
SAH = subarachnoid hemorrhage


*    Acknowledgments
 
We wish to express special thanks to F. Bominaar for her assistance in creating the FigureUp and tables.

Received October 2, 1995; revision received November 27, 1995; accepted November 27, 1995.


*    References
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up arrowAbstract
up arrowIntroduction
up arrowMethods
up arrowResults
up arrowDiscussion
*References
 
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