From the Stoke Unit, The Neurological Institute,
ColumbiaPresbyterian Medical Center, New York, NY (H.M., J.L.P.T.,
A.H., J.P.M., R.L.S.); the Stroke Unit, Neurologische Klinik,
Universitätsklinikum Benjamin Franklin, Freie Universität Berlin,
Berlin, Germany (H.M., C.H., P.M.); and the Department of Public Health
(Epidemiology) in the Sergievsky Center, Columbia University, College of
Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY (R.L.S.).
Correspondence to H. Mast, MD, Stroke Unit, The Neurological Institute, 710 W 168th St, New York, NY, 10032. E-mail ah267{at}columbia.edu
MethodsProspectively collected data from the Northern Manhattan
Stroke Study (NOMASS) (n=431) and the Berlin Cerebral Ischemia
Databank (BCID) (n=483) were used separately for a cross-sectional
study estimating the association between cigarette smoking and
high-grade carotid stenosis (defined as a luminal narrowing of
ResultsHigh-grade carotid stenoses were found in 14% of
the NOMASS and in 21% of the Berlin patients. In Berlin the entire
sample was white, whereas in New York only 19% of the cohort were
white. In both samples, smoking was independently associated with
severe carotid stenosis (NOMASS: odds ratio [OR], 1.5; 95%
confidence interval [CI], 1.1 to 2.0; BCID: OR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.4 to
6.4). Patients smoking 20 pack-years or more showed a significant
association (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.9), whereas no significant
effect was found for lower amounts of cigarette use. In NOMASS, white
smokers displayed a significant (OR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.1 to 8.9)
association with high-grade carotid stenosis, the association
for black smokers was less strong, and no association was found among
Hispanics.
ConclusionsSmoking is an independent determinant of severe
carotid artery stenosis in patients with focal cerebral
ischemia. The association differs by race/ethnicity, with the
greatest effect observed among whites.
Smoking was defined as history of current or past regular cigarette use
(nonsmoking was defined as never having smoked regularly), and the
amount of cigarette consumption was measured by the average number of
packs per day and the duration of smoking in years. For this
analysis hypertension was assumed to be present under the
following conditions: (1) the patient or the patient's family reported
that they had been informed of the diagnosis by a physician before the
classifying stroke event or antihypertensive medication had been
recommended, or (2) the patient's medical documents showed that
hypertension requiring treatment had been diagnosed by a physician
before the classifying event. Diabetes was defined as chronic
hyperglycemia requiring diet, oral medication, or insulin treatment,
diagnosed before stroke onset.
Hypercholesterolemia was diagnosed when
patients had a history of increased blood cholesterol
levels requiring diet or medication or increased blood
cholesterol levels of 240 mg/dL or more measured after
admission. Race/ethnicity was defined by self-identification as
Hispanic, white non-Hispanic, black non-Hispanic, or "other"
non-Hispanic.
The Berlin Cerebral Ischemia Data Bank (BCID) is a prospective,
hospital-based registry for consecutive TIA and ischemic stroke
patients.20 For the present study the 483
consecutive cases with complete Doppler ultrasound studies were
analyzed: 101 (21%) showing unilateral or bilateral carotid
stenosis of 60% or more (including occlusion) and, serving as
a reference group, 382 (79%) revealing no pathological findings
(n=303) or flow changes indicating only a lesser degree of
stenosis (n=79). The degree of carotid stenosis was
assessed by conventional Doppler ultrasound investigations (4- and
8-MHz probe studies, EME TC 2000 machine) of the extracranial neck
vessels, following generally accepted
definitions,18 21 22 validated against
gold-standard conventional angiography.23 Unlike
duplex Doppler ultrasound, conventional Doppler ultrasound does
not detect nonstenosing plaque. Therefore, the number of BCID patients
with no pathological Doppler results is larger than in NOMASS.
In the BCID, smoking was classified into two categories: (1)
nonsmokers/former smokers (never smoked regularly or stopped regular
smoking
In NOMASS, two multivariate logistic regression models
controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity (white versus nonwhite),
hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and
hypercholesterolemia were used to determine
whether (1) history and (2) amount of cigarette consumption measured in
pack-years (dichotomized into 1 to 19 pack-years and
In BCID, one multivariate logistic regression model
controlling for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes,
hypercholesterolemia, and coronary
heart disease was applied to determine whether regular cigarette
smoking within the last 5 years was an independent predictor of
high-grade carotid artery stenosis.
Additional regression models were set up to test the effect of smoking
in strata of different degrees of carotid stenosis/occlusion.
Finally, a regression analysis of a merged data set from both
samples was done. To test for the significance of a difference in the
effect of smoking on carotid stenosis among whites and
nonwhites, an interaction term was introduced into the regression model
of the merged data set.
Both NOMASS and BCID studies revealed that smoking was significantly
associated with high-grade carotid artery stenosis, and this
effect was independent of other risk factors (Table 3
The impact of smoking was further analyzed in subgroups of
different degrees of arterial luminal narrowing. In BCID,
the point estimates for subgroups of 60% to 79% stenosis (38
patients), 80% or more stenosis (27 patients), and carotid
occlusion (36 patients) showed increasing ORs of 2.8 (95% CI, 1.4 to
5.6), 3.7 (95% CI, 1.6 to 8.5), and 4.8 (95% CI, 2.2 to 10.3),
respectively (ORs and CIs are from univariate regression
models). In NOMASS, the number of patients in corresponding subgroups
was too small (only 9 cases in the group of patients with 60% to 79%
stenosis, and only 21 whites with carotid stenosis) for
a meaningful statistical analysis.
The final meta-analysis of a merged data set from both samples
repeated the previous results of a significant association of
high-grade carotid stenosis with cigarette smoking (OR, 2.2;
95% CI, 1.6 to 3.1; adjusted for race/ethnicity). The effect of
smoking was again stronger when the analysis was restricted to
white smokers (OR, 3.5; 95% CI, 2.3 to 5.4). Reclassifying the
stenosis group to include patients with low-grade stenosing
plaques (NOMASS) and flow accelerations indicating low-grade (<60%)
stenosis (BCID) from the reference group such that the
comparison sample now comprised only patients with normal ultrasound
findings of their carotid arteries reduced the OR but did not alter the
significance of the association between carotid stenosis and
cigarette smoking (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.0; adjusted for
race/ethnicity). Finally, in the merged data set analysis the
difference of the effect of smoking on carotid stenosis between
whites and nonwhites became significant (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.6 to 4.5;
P=0.0002).
In principle, data from patient histories on cigarette consumption may
be questioned for their validity. The reported rate and amount of
smoking are likely to be biased by underestimation. The effect of such
misclassification error would most likely be nondifferential because
the patients were unaware of the study hypothesis. Therefore, an
attenuation of the OR toward the null value could be expected, which
implies that the true association may be stronger than shown (we assume
that underestimation affects patients with and without carotid
stenosis evenly and a systematic error of underreported
cigarette smoking in patients without severe carotid stenosis
is not a plausible option). Categorizing former smokers and nonsmokers
together, as has been done in the BCID, may also raise concerns. Prior
studies have suggested a similar and lower stroke risk for nonsmokers
and reformed smokers compared with current
smokers.1 10 11 12 24 25 26 Therefore, the BCID
classification may be reasonable, and any error introduced would result
in an underestimation of the effect of cigarette smoking on carotid
stenosis.
In BCID, the association between smoking and high-grade carotid
stenosis was stronger than in NOMASS. Most likely, this can be
explained by the racial composition of the purely white Berlin sample
and possibly also by the more restricted definition of smoking in the
Berlin study. The effect of smoking was similar in the BCID sample and
the white subgroup of NOMASS (ORs of 3.9 and 3.2, respectively). In
NOMASS (and in the merged analysis), white smokers showed a
stronger association with carotid stenosis than blacks, and no
effect was found for Hispanic smokers. This may indicate an important,
yet unexplained, racial/ethnic difference in the effect of cigarette
smoking. In support of these findings, other analyses from
NOMASS27 have found significantly less carotid
plaques in stroke-free Hispanics than in other racial/ethnic
groups.
Studies analyzing the effect of smoking on carotid artery plaques in
mixed samples of symptomatic and asymptomatic
patients have already suggested an independent link of this particular
risk factor with carotid
arteriosclerosis.13 14 15 16 Our
results further establish this association for ischemic stroke
and TIA patients with high-grade carotid stenosis of potential
surgical relevance. However, the analysis was not restricted to
cases of clinically defined symptomatic stenosis
and did include stroke (or TIA) patients with carotid stenosis
unrelated to the actual clinical pathology. An analysis of
strictly symptomatic stenoses would imply sample
sizes beyond the scope of any database presently available.
Our results are also restricted to a sample of patients with TIA or
stroke and do not include a stroke-free comparison group. Therefore,
the cross-sectional association between cigarette smoking and carotid
stenosis implies that smoking may be more strongly related to
atherogenic strokes rather than nonatherogenic causes such as
cardioembolism and small-vessel disease.
Our results not only showed a similar effect of cigarette smoking on
high-grade carotid stenosis but furthermore indicated against a
significant relevance of other major risk factors of
arteriosclerosis. In a selected sample of 240
patients undergoing cerebral angiography, Homer et
al15 found a strong association of smoking with
luminal narrowing of the carotid arteries. Unlike the results of our
studies, however, hypertension and LDL cholesterol were
also shown to have an impact. On the basis of 752 cases with cerebral
angiography, Whisnant et al14 confirmed the
importance of cigarette smoking and also a less strong effect of other
risk factors. Both investigations did not represent prospective
studies in unselected stroke samples and therefore may not lend
themselves to direct comparisons. Nevertheless, in conjunction with our
findings they support the growing evidence of the major role of
cigarette smoking in the etiology of carotid stenosis.
Clearly, not all carotid stenoses can be attributed to smoking.
Given the prevalence of cigarette exposure in our two samples and the
size of the effect of cigarette smoking on carotid stenosis, we
found that the attributable risk for our white stroke patients can be
estimated at 45% (NOMASS) and 53% (BCID) or 50% when NOMASS and BCID
whites are combined. In contrast, the attributable risk for our black
stroke patients was only 15%, and that for Hispanics was even less
(13%).
Stroke databanks have estimated that approximately 9% of all
ischemic strokes are of carotid
origin.17 28 This suggests that a substantial
proportion of the costs of both stroke treatment and prevention can be
allocated to stenosing carotid disease. Unlike other risk factors,
cigarette smoking is modifiable in a radical fashion. There is ample
evidence that this could positively influence the risk of
stroke1 11 and reduce the burden on healthcare
resources.
We conclude that cigarette smoking is an independent determinant of
high-grade carotid artery stenosis in patients with cerebral
ischemia. The association differs by race/ethnicity, with the
greatest effect observed among whites.
Received October 27, 1997;
revision received February 6, 1998;
accepted February 9, 1998.
2.
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© 1998 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions
Cigarette Smoking as a Determinant of High-Grade Carotid Artery Stenosis in Hispanic, Black, and White Patients With Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack
![]()
Abstract
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
Background and PurposeWe sought to
investigate the association of cigarette smoking with high-grade
carotid artery stenosis in Hispanic, black, and white patients
with cerebral ischemia in two independent samples.
60%, diagnosed by duplex and/or Doppler ultrasound). In both
studies, cerebral ischemia patients with normal sonographic
findings or nonstenosing plaques of their carotid arteries served as a
comparison group. Multivariate logistic regression
models were used for statistical tests to determine the association
between smoking and the dependent variable for high-grade carotid
stenosis. Age, sex, hypertension, diabetes,
hypercholesterolemia, and race/ethnicity were
considered potential confounders. Further analyses of the
NOMASS data estimated the effect of the amount of cigarette use and the
impact of race/ethnicity.
Key Words: carotid stenosis cigarette smoking stroke
![]()
Introduction
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
Recent carotid
endarterectomy trials have demonstrated the
clinical importance of high-grade carotid artery stenosis.
Cigarette smoking is an established risk factor for
arteriosclerosis and ischemic
stroke.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 However, prior stroke
epidemiological studies evaluating the relationship between cigarette
smoking and carotid stenosis have enrolled predominantly white
subjects or had insufficient sample sizes of black or Hispanic
patients. We investigated the effect of cigarette smoking on carotid
stenosis of 60% luminal narrowing or more in two separate
prospective samples of patients from Berlin and northern Manhattan with
ischemic stroke and TIA. The combination of the two data sets,
in addition, allowed for an adequate sample size to address the
relationship of cigarette smoking in three different racial/ethnic
groups.
![]()
Subjects and Methods
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
The Northern Manhattan Stroke Study (NOMASS) is a prospective
study of stroke patients aged over 39 years who are residents of the
northern Manhattan community.17 For the
present investigation 431 consecutive cases of ischemic
infarction with completed duplex Doppler ultrasound studies
enrolled between January 1, 1990, and April 21, 1994, and treated in
the Milstein Hospital wing of the Columbia-Presbyterian Medical Center
were analyzed: 62 (14%) with common/internal carotid artery
stenosis of 60% or more (including occlusion) and, serving as
a reference group, 369 (86%) with bilaterally normal findings (n=78)
or only low-grade (<60%) stenosing carotid plaques (n=291) diagnosed
by duplex Doppler ultrasound investigations (Siemens Quantum 2000
machine). Classification of degree of stenosis was based on
generally accepted definitions18 and quality
control criteria established by the Asymptomatic Carotid
Atherosclerosis Study.19
5 years ago) and (2) smokers (regular smoking within the last
5 years). The BCID definitions of other risk factors (hypertension,
diabetes, hypercholesterolemia) were similar to
the ones used in NOMASS. All BCID subjects were white.
20 pack-years)
were independent predictors of high-grade carotid artery
stenosis. Three further univariate regression
models estimated the effect of history of current or past cigarette
smoking in three different racial/ethnic groups: Hispanics, blacks, and
whites. To test for the significance of a difference in the effect of
smoking on carotid stenosis among whites and nonwhites, an
interaction term was introduced into the first regression model.
![]()
Results
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
In NOMASS, 43% of the patients had a history of current or
reformed cigarette smoking. Of all NOMASS cases, 28% had smoked for 20
or more pack-years. In BCID, 41% of the patients were cigarette
smokers (Table 1
). The two samples
differed significantly with regard to sex, risk factors, and frequency
of carotid stenosis (Table 1
). The frequencies of independent
variables (cigarette smoking, hypertension, diabetes,
hypercholesterolemia, age, sex, and
race/ethnicity) in study groups with carotid stenosis (
60%
or occlusion) and reference cases are shown in Table 2
. Despite similar frequencies of
cigarette smoking across Hispanic, black, and white race subgroups, the
frequency of severe carotid artery stenosis was greater among
whites (25% NOMASS, 21% BCID) than in Hispanics (12%) or blacks
(11%).
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 1. Age, Sex, Risk Factors, and Race/Ethnicity in 431
NOMASS and in 483 BCID Patients
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 2. Age, Sex, Risk Factors, and Race/Ethnicity in
Patients With High-Grade Carotid Artery Stenosis and Reference
Cases With Normal Findings or Low-Grade Stenosis
). In contrast, hypertension, diabetes,
and hypercholesterolemia had no significant
relationship with high-grade carotid stenosis. NOMASS data also
showed that smoking of 20 or more pack-years (Table 4
) and white race (Tables 3 to 5![]()
![]()
)
determined severe carotid artery stenosis. The association for
black smokers was less strong, and no association was found among
Hispanic cigarette smokers (Table 5
). In
NOMASS the difference of the effect of smoking on carotid
stenosis between whites and nonwhites was not significant (OR,
2.5; 95% CI, 0.8 to 7.5; P=0.1).
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 3. Multivariate Logistic Regression
Model Estimating the Effect of Cigarette Smoking on High-Grade Carotid
Artery Stenosis
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 4. Multivariate Logistic Regression
Model Estimating the Effect of Pack-Year Cigarette Consumption on
High-Grade Carotid Artery Stenosis (Data From NOMASS)
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 5. Univariate Logistic Regression Models
Estimating the Effect of History of Cigarette Smoking on Carotid Artery
Stenosis in Different Racial/Ethnic Groups (Data From NOMASS)
![]()
Discussion
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
In our analysis an independent association of smoking with
high-grade carotid artery stenosis was demonstrated. This
finding, showing consistency over two studies, may
strengthen the notion of a causal role of cigarette smoking in
stenosing arteriosclerotic carotid disease.
Comparisons between two studies with the use of nonuniform definitions
for their main variables (smoking and degree of carotid
stenosis) can lead to difficulty with generalizing the results.
However, the stability of the findings across our two independent
samples supports the assumption of a robust effect.
![]()
Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms
BCID
=
Berlin Cerebral Ischemia Databank
CI
=
confidence interval
NOMASS
=
Northern Manhattan Stroke Study
OR
=
odds ratio
TIA
=
transient ischemic attack
![]()
Acknowledgments
The NOMASS is supported by the National Institute of
Neurological Disorders and Stroke (RO1 NS27517 and RO1 NS29993). The
authors thank Q. Gu, MS, for expert statistical advice.
![]()
References
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
1.
Wolf PA, D'Agostino RB, Kannel WB, Bonita R,
Belanger AJ. Cigarette smoking as a risk factor for stroke: the
Framingham Study. JAMA. 1988;259:10251029.
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