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(Stroke. 1999;30:389-392.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions |
From Stanford University, Stanford, Calif (M.P.M.); Genentech, South San Francisco, Calif (E.B.H., J.F.); University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada (A.J.F.); Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, Mich (S.P) ; and the University of Dresden (R.von K.), Dresden, Germany.
Correspondence and reprint requests to Michael P. Marks, MD, Director of Neuroradiology, Stanford Stroke Center, Stanford University Medical Center, 300 Pasteur Dr, Stanford, CA 94305-5105. E-mail: m.marks{at}stanford.edu
| Abstract |
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MethodsFifty hyperacute CT scans (<6 hours after ictus) were selected from a randomized trial evaluating IV-tPA (ATLANTIS trial). Three neuroradiologists blinded to all clinical information evaluated scans for degree of MCA territory involvement (<33% or >33%) and the presence of a hyperdense MCA. Evaluations were compared with 24-hour scan results, 30-day infarct volumes, and baseline NIH stroke scale scores (NIHSS).
ResultsReaders reliably evaluated the degree of MCA territory hypodensity (intraclass correlation=0.53, P<0.001), with all 3 readers agreeing in 36 of 50 cases (72%). They correctly called >33% involvement with a sensitivity of 60% to 85% and a specificity of 86% to 97%. The baseline NIHSS was higher when >33% MCA hypodensity was seen (P=0.021). Detection of significant hypodensity (>33%) correlated with poorer outcome. When >33% hypodensity was not detected, mean 30-day infarct volumes were 27.0 to 33.0 cm3, versus 84.3 to 123.1 cm3 when >33% hypodensity was present (P=0.002).
ConclusionsDetection of MCA territory hypodensity on hyperacute CT scans is a sensitive, prognostic, and reliable indicator of the amount of MCA territory undergoing infarction.
Key Words: cerebral infarction cerebral ischemia tomography, x-ray computed
| Introduction |
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| Subjects and Methods |
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The blinded baseline scan evaluations were compared with 24-hour and 30-day scan results. The 24-hour scans were evaluated for the vascular territories involved (MCA, anterior cerebral artery, posterior cerebral artery, or vertebrobasilar artery). If the MCA territory was involved, this was evaluated as showing <33% or >33% hypodensity at 24 hours. These 24-hour scan results were used as a "gold standard" to evaluate sensitivity and specificity for the observation of hypoattenuation on the baseline scans.
Baseline scan evaluations for hypodensity in the MCA territory and an HMCAS sign were also compared with the volume of the infarct as determined on the 30-day scan. To determine infarct volume the region of hypodensity was outlined on the individual slices of the 30-day scan. Individual regions of interest were then measured for area using a digitizing tablet (Sigma Scan, Jandel Scientific). These regions were corrected for CT slice thickness and summed to determine a volume of tissue infarcted. In addition baseline scan readings were correlated with clinical presentation using the NIH stroke scale (NIHSS) at the time of baseline scanning. The 30-day stroke volumes were done on 44 subjects. Four patients died before 30 days of follow-up, and 2 patients did not have scans at 30 days. NIHSS was available for all 50 subjects.
The interrater reliability of the evaluations of the baseline scans was
assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient.
coefficients
were calculated as well for each pair of raters.6
Comparisons of infarct volume and NIHSS between those subjects with
<33% and >33% hypodensity in the MCA territory were made using a
2-sample t test. The overall assessment of the relationship
between the raters' evaluations and the stroke volume as well as the
NIHSS was made using generalized estimating
equations.7 In this model the rater's evaluations
were treated as dependent binary variables and the stroke volume as
well as the NIHSS were treated separately, as explanatory
variables. The probability value reported from the generalized
estimating equations model assesses the significance of the
regression coefficients for stroke volume and for the NIHSS.
| Results |
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Table 2
compares the baseline MCA
hypodensity readings with the 24-hour MCA hypodensity scan results. The
sensitivity of the baseline scan readings for the detection of >33%
MCA territory hypodensity was 60%, 67%, and 87% for the 3 readers
while the specificities were 86%, 92%, and 97%. The table groups
rater evaluations of baseline scans based on the 2 possible 24-hour
scan results (<33% or >33% MCA hypodensity). There was a
statistically significant difference in the proportion of patients
identified with <33% involvement on the baseline scans when patients
were grouped based on the 2 outcomes at 24 hours. For example, reader 1
correctly identified 92% (32 of 35 cases) in the group as having
<33% MCA territory involvement at 24 hours. On the other hand, reader
1 incorrectly identified <33% MCA hypodensity in only 5 of 15 cases
(33%) in the group with >33% involvement at 24 hours. The
statistically significant difference in these proportions indicates
that the readings are not based on random choice or guessing for any of
the 3 readers.
|
Table 3
shows the extent of agreement
among the 3 readers in assessing whether >33% hypodensity existed in
the MCA territory and in evaluating for HMCAS. Overall, the 3 readers
completely agreed about MCA hypodensity in 36 of 50 cases (72%). In 28
of 50 subjects (56%) none of the readers found >33% involvement in
the MCA territory, and in 8 of 50 subjects (16%) all 3 readers found
>33% MCA territory involvement. At least 1 reader found >33% MCA
involvement in 22 of 50 subjects (44%), and in 11 of 50 subjects
(22%) at least 2 readers found >33% MCA involvement. As shown in
Table 4
, this level of agreement for MCA
hypodensity corresponds to an intraclass correlation of 0.53
(P<0.0001), indicating that the amount of agreement seen is
more than what would be expected from chance alone. The pairwise
coefficients were 0.65, 0.44, and 0.50, each of which is significantly
different from zero.
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Strong agreement did not exist among the 3 readers in their evaluations
of HMCAS. As shown in Table 3
, 13 of 50 subjects (26%) were
counted as having an HMCAS by none of the readers, 34 of 50 subjects
(68%) by at least 1 of the readers, 18 of 50 subjects (36%) by at
least 2 of the readers, and 11 of 50 subjects (22%) by all 3 readers.
Overall, the readers agreed in 48% of the subjects, which is a lower
rate than for the presence of tissue hypoattenuation in the MCA
territory. The intraclass correlation coefficient (Table 4
)
corresponding to this level of agreement is 0.36 (P<0.001),
indicating a statistically significant degree of agreement among the
readers. No significant relationship could be found between the HMCAS
and infarct volume at 30 days or baseline NIHSS.
The correlation of the MCA territory readings for all 3 readers taken
together with the final 30-day infarct volume was found to be
statistically significant (P=0.0002), with a greater final
infarct volume associated with a greater probability of declaring
>33% MCA territory hypodensity involvement. This correlation is
illustrated in Table 5
for each
individual reader.
|
The correlation of the MCA territory readings of all 3 readers taken
together was also found to be associated with the NIHSS at baseline
(P=0.021), with a greater NIHSS associated with a greater
probability of declaring >33% MCA territory involvement. The
associations are illustrated in Table 6
.
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| Discussion |
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A few studies have attempted to look at the reliability of early CT and
the interobserver agreement for the detection of hypoattenuation and
have shown mixed results.3 8 9 10 von Kummer et
al8 9 in 2 separate publications have suggested that
neuroradiologists are capable of detecting hypodensity in the MCA
territory with good interobserver agreement. However, complete pairwise
agreement between readers was low in a study that evaluated the ability
of readers to categorize the percent of MCA territory
involved.8 The authors did suggest that this may be due to
the fact that readers were asked to judge 20% increments of
territorial involvement rather than a simpler formula, such as >33%
or <33% of the MCA territory. In a more recent article (also using
ECASS study patients) evaluations for >33% or <33% involvement of
the MCA territory, von Kummer et al3 found a low
value
(
=0.36), despite a high interobserver agreement (86%). This
apparent paradox can be partly explained by the fact that a low
can
be seen with a low prevalence of patients with significant
hypoattenuation in the MCA.3 Most of those patients with
significant MCA hypodensity were excluded from the ECASS study before
treatment. In addition the fact that 20% of the scans evaluated were
rated as being of poor quality despite being readable was implicated in
the low
observed. A recently published study by Schriger et
al10 evaluated the ability of nonneuroradiologists to
primarily detect intracranial hemorrhage in acute stroke scans;
however, the ability to evaluate acute infarction on the basis of
hypoattenuation was also rated. Scans in this study were divided on the
basis of consensus processing into easy, intermediate, or difficult to
detect acute infarctions. The percentage of physicians correctly
determining acute infarction varied greatly across subspecialties and
with the type of infarction present.
This study differs from previous studies in that scans were preselected to be of good quality and to provide a significant percentage of scans, with the finding of >33% hypoattenuation in the MCA territory. The data suggest good to excellent interobserver reliability in the detection of >33% or <33% hypoattenuation of the MCA territory for neuroradiologists evaluating acute-phase scans without clinical information when evaluating the baseline CT scan.11 In addition this study used the short-interval (24-hour) scan as a gold standard for the detection of significant hypoattenuation. This has allowed for a measure of accuracy in the ability of the early CT scan to discriminate >33% or <33% hypoattenuation in the MCA territory. Assuming the 24-hour scan is the gold standard, a high degree of sensitivity and specificity exists for the evaluation of >33% hypodensity in the MCA territory. The early hypoattenuation that is visualized may represent cytotoxic edema.12 13 It has been argued that brain edema such as this does not resolve with reperfusion and that these changes are most likely permanent.13 Therefore, the use of the 24-hour scan is unlikely to underestimate those cases in which extensive hypoattenuation is present on the initial scan. However, 1 source of possible error is that reperfusion can cause more extensive edema to be present.14 Therefore, it is always possible that the number of cases with >33% hypoattenuation, based on the 24-hour scan, represents an overestimate of the scans that would have shown involvement at baseline. Nevertheless, data presented here also show a significant correlation with >33% MCA territory involvement and the final infarct volume (at 30 days). All 3 of the readers identified a subset of patients with significantly larger final infarcts based on the initial scan.
The HMCAS has also been evaluated for its prognostic ability in the
setting of thrombolytic treatment.15 When
the HMCAS has been coupled with a high NIHSS score (
10), patients
were less likely to be clinically improved and had larger infarcts than
those who had similar NIHSS scores but no evidence of an
HMCAS.15 However, the authors in this study found that the
presence of an early major neurological deficit was a better predictor
of poor outcome than a positive HMCAS. von Kummer et al8
have reported that there is moderate to substantial interobserver
agreement for the detection of HMCAS even when the observers are
clinically blinded. While this study did find a statistically
significant degree of agreement among the readers for HMCAS, the degree
of agreement was not as strong for HMCAS as it was for >33% or <33%
MCA territory hypodensity. This study did not use a gold standard such
as angiography to confirm the presence of MCA thrombosis, making
sensitivity and specificity data unavailable.
In conclusion this study has shown that well-trained blinded observers are capable of assessing the degree of MCA hypodensity for >33% or <33% involvement with a good deal of interobserver reliability. In addition when these results are measured against a gold standard there is a high specificity for these readings. The sensitivities obtained for >33% MCA involvement (60% to 87%) indicate that there is room to improve detection of >33% MCA hypodensity. This study underscores the need to have well-trained physicians evaluating scans and to have high-quality scans for these interpretations. Tools capable of showing higher contrast between ischemic and nonischemic tissue, such as diffusion-weighted MR imagers,15 16 17 18 may replace these techniques. However, with the widespread availability of CT scanning, studies such as this suggest that CT can be applied as a screening tool in the setting of acute ischemic stroke. In addition, coupling the noncontrast CT scan to another CT technique, xenon-CT cerebral blood flow, recently has been shown to improve sensitivity in the detection of acute stroke19 and may benefit the prognostic reliability of CT scanning.
| Footnotes |
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Received June 18, 1998; revision received November 9, 1998; accepted November 20, 1998.
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