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(Stroke. 2000;31:1817.)
© 2000 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions |
From St. Antonius Hospital (R.G.A.A., K.G.M.M., F.L.M., F.E.E.V.), Nieuwegein; Slingeland Hospital (C.J.W.v.d.V.), Doetinchem; Julius Center for General Practice and Patient Oriented Research (A.A.); and the Department of Neurology (A.A.), University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands; and Spencer Technologies (M.P.S.), Seattle, Wash.
Correspondence to R.G.A. Ackerstaff, MD, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Postbus 2500, 3430 EM Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands. E-mail knf{at}antonius.net
| Abstract |
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MethodsBy use of data pooled from 2 hospitals in the United States and the Netherlands, including 1058 patients who underwent CEA, the association of various TCD emboli and velocity variables with operative stroke and stroke-related death was evaluated by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses in combination with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. The impact of basic patient characteristics, such as age, sex, preoperative cerebral symptoms, and ipsilateral and contralateral internal carotid artery stenosis, on the prediction of operative stroke was also evaluated.
ResultsWe observed 31 patients with ischemic and 8
patients with hemorrhagic operative strokes. Four of these patients
died. Emboli during dissection (odds ratio [OR] 1.5, 95% CI 0.8 to
2.9) and wound closure (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.2 to 4.4) as well as
90%
decrease of MCA peak systolic velocity at cross-clamping (OR
3.3, 95% CI 1.3 to 8.5) and
100% increase of the pulsatility index
of the Doppler signal at clamp release (OR 7.1, 95% CI 1.4 to
35.7) were independently associated with stroke. The ROC area of this
model was 0.69. Of the patient characteristics, only preoperative
cerebral ischemia (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0 to 3.7) and
70%
ipsilateral internal carotid artery stenosis (OR 0.5, 95% CI
0.2 to 0.9) were associated with stroke. Adding these patient
characteristics to the model, the area under the ROC curve increased to
0.73.
ConclusionsIn CEA, TCD-detected microemboli during dissection
and wound closure,
90% MCA velocity decrease at cross-clamping, and
100% pulsatility index increase at clamp release are associated with
operative stroke. In combination with the presence of preoperative
cerebral symptoms and
70% ipsilateral internal carotid artery
stenosis, these 4 TCD monitoring variables reasonably
discriminate between patients with and without operative stroke. This
supports the use of TCD as a potential intraoperative monitoring
modality to alter the surgical technique by enhancing a decrease of the
risk of stroke during or immediately after the operation.
Key Words: carotid endarterectomy monitoring, intraoperative stroke surgery ultrasonography, Doppler, transcranial
| Introduction |
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We have previously reported on our separate experience with TCD monitoring and its usefulness with regard to microemboli detection in CEA.4 5 However, these studies were primarily designed to examine the suitability of intraoperative TCD monitoring. Because there were low complication rates and because the clinical relevance of cerebral embolism during CEA still requires further foundation, we performed a pooled data analysis on 2 studies executed in Seattle, Wash, and Nieuwegein, the Netherlands, to increase the number of patients.
In the present study, we analyzed whether intraoperative cerebral embolism as detected by TCD during different stages of CEA was associated with the occurrence of operative stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic) and stroke-related death within 7 days after surgery. Additionally, we evaluated the association of intraoperative TCD velocity variables with outcome. The identification of emboli and velocity variables as predictors of stroke by TCD monitoring may be useful in stratifying patients during surgery according to their risk of operative stroke and can help the surgeon to improve his or her technique.
| Subjects and Methods |
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Carotid Endarterectomy
In the vast majority of patients, the operation was performed by
general anesthesia with the use of nitrous oxide and
halothane or isoflurane. In the American study, in 20 cases, surgery
was performed in conscious patients with local-regional anesthetic
techniques. In both countries, surgery was executed by an experienced
vascular surgeon or by a specialist vascular trainee, and there were no
significant differences with respect to specific qualities in the
performance of CEA. Before cross-clamping, an
intravenous injection of heparin (5000 IU) was
administered; protamine reversal was not used. In Nieuwegein, all
patients were given a standardized preoperative antiplatelet
treatment of 100 mg aspirin daily, whereas in Seattle, aspirin was
always canceled before surgery.
TCD Monitoring
The methods of intraoperative TCD monitoring have been described
elsewhere.6 7 8 9 Besides hemodynamic changes
at cross-clamping and clamp release, in the present study, special
interest was paid to the occurrence of embolic transients according to
the criteria described by the consensus committee.10 With
regard to the criteria for shunting, there were important differences
between the Dutch and American studies. In Nieuwegein, a shunt was
selectively used on the basis of EEG and TCD criteria, as described in
an earlier report.7 In Seattle, some surgeons always
shunted regardless of the information provided by TCD, and some
surgeons developed in the course of time reliance on TCD data to
determine whether or not a shunt was to be placed. In general, in both
countries the criteria for shunting based on TCD consisted of a drop in
MCA velocity to <30% to 40% of intraoperative precross-clamp
value. The Doppler spectra were observed in the operating room by
an experienced sonographer, and the audio Doppler signal was made
audible throughout the entire operation. Moreover, for offline
analysis, the Doppler signals were continuously
recorded on video or digital audiotape. In each stage of the
operation, microemboli were counted. The identification and counting of
microemboli were performed without the use of automatic emboli
detection software. On the basis of previous
experience,4 5 11 the following TCD emboli and TCD
velocity variables that were thought to be associated with adverse
outcome were analyzed in the present study.
TCD Emboli Variables
Emboli occurred during (1) dissection (skin preparation to
carotid clamping), (2) shunt manipulation (shunt introduction to
removal of shunt), (3) clamp release (the first 10 seconds at
restoration of flow through the carotid arteries), and (4) wound
closure (termination of manipulation to the end of recording,
30 minutes after final restoration of flow). In patients who were
not shunted, emboli that occurred during shunting were considered
absent. Additionally, a new variable of the number of stages or
periods during which emboli occurred was evaluated. This number varied
from 0 (no emboli detected) to 4 (emboli occurred during each of the
above 4 stages or periods).The possible impact of microemboli during
the postoperative stage on clinical outcome was not
analyzed.
TCD Velocity Variables
TCD velocity variables were as follows: (1) decrease of peak
systolic velocity (PSV) at cross-clamping, (2) increase of PSV,
and (3) increase of the Gosling pulsatility index (PI) of
the Doppler signal at declamping at the end of the
endarterectomy. All 3 velocity variables were
computed from the envelope of the Doppler spectrum by the TCD
equipment and calculated as the proportional change compared with
intraoperative preclamp values.
Preoperative Patient Characteristics
Age, sex, preoperative cerebral symptoms, and ipsilateral and
contralateral internal carotid artery stenosis assessed by
duplex ultrasonography and digital arteriography were also
documented.
Outcome
In both centers, a complete hospital chart review was performed
to obtain information about clinical outcome. In patients with possible
postoperative cerebral deficit, a neurological consultation was
executed by a neurologist. New cerebral deficits persisting for >24
hours were regarded as stroke. Operative stroke was defined per patient
and not per operation. In the analyses, we focused on the
prediction of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and
stroke-related death within 7 days after surgery.
Data Analysis
First, within each country, the association between the
occurrence of stroke and stroke-related death and each of all
above-mentioned TCD variables and preoperative patient
characteristics was quantified by use of univariable logistic
regression analysis. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI were used
as measures of association. A variable with a 95% CI that does not
include the value 1 can be considered statistically significantly
associated with a value of P<0.05. If a test for
homogeneity showed no major heterogeneity
(P>0.10) of the associations, the ORs were pooled by use of
the Mantel-Haenszel method. Continuous variables were initially
included without categorization as long as a linear relation was
plausible, but various cutoff values and transformations (eg, square
root and log) were assessed as well.12 Age showed a
linear relation with outcome, but the 3 TCD velocity variables did
not. The latter were dichotomized at clinically relevant thresholds on
the basis of previous results13 or marked differences in
actual stroke incidence. Hence, decrease of PSV at cross-clamping was
dichotomized at 90%, and increases of PSV and Gosling PI at clamp
release were dichotomized at 100%.
Our aim was not to develop a prediction model primarily based on
preoperative clinical and angiographic characteristics but to assess
whether and which TCD emboli and velocity variables were associated
with adverse outcome. Accordingly, we first estimated which of the 4
TCD emboli variables was independently associated with outcome by
use of multivariable logistic regression modeling. Because the aim
of these analyses is the prediction of stroke, all
variables contributing prognostic information should be included in
the model.14 Therefore, as is common in prediction
research, we defined an independent association if the OR had a value
of P
0.10. Starting with a model including all 4 TCD emboli
variables, the nonsignificant (P>0.10) ones were
excluded. This model was extended with the univariate
significant (P
0.10) TCD velocity variables, and the
same method of model reduction then was performed. Finally, this last
model was extended with the documented preoperative patient
characteristics that were significant in the univariate
analyses to evaluate whether they additionally contributed to
the TCD variables in the prediction of complications, resulting in
the final model. Of each model, the ability to discriminate between
patients with and without complications was estimated by using the area
under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC)
curve.14 15 The ROC area is a suitable
parameter to summarize the predictive or discriminative
ability of a model and can range from 0.5 (useless model, such as a
coin flip) to 1.0 (perfect discrimination). A value >0.7 can be
interpreted as reasonable, and a value >0.8 can be interpreted as
good.16 Differences in discriminative value between models
were estimated by differences in ROC area with 95% CI, taking into
account the correlation between the models because they were based on
the same cases.17 18
Of all 1058 cases, 108 had missing values on
1 variable (but not
on the outcome or TCD emboli variables). To decrease bias and
increase statistical efficiency, these missing values were filled in
(imputed) by using the expectation maximization
method.19 20 Such imputation is based on the correlation
between each variable with missing values and all other
variables. These correlations were estimated from the 950 complete
cases. The results of the analyses based on the complete
subject data and on all subject data after imputation were compared.
Because this yielded no different results (ie, the same independent
predictors were selected with similar regression coefficients), only
the latter (imputed) approach is presented.
| Results |
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70% ipsilateral internal carotid
artery stenosis. However, the ORs for all variables with
the outcome (stroke), except for sex (OR 2.7 and 95% CI 0.6 to 12.1
for the United States versus OR 0.4 and 95% CI 0.2 to 0.8 for the
Netherlands) and
70% contralateral internal carotid artery
stenosis (OR 0.4 and 95% CI 0.1 to 1.9 for the United States
versus OR 1.9 and 95% CI 0.8 to 4.3 for the Netherlands), were
reasonably homogeneous between the 2 countries. In the
pooled data set, in 39 (3.7%) of 1058 CEAs, surgery resulted in a
stroke. Thirty-one patients developed an ischemic stroke, and 8
patients developed a hemorrhagic stroke. Four patients died from their
strokes.
|
As shown in Table 2
, only emboli during
dissection (P=0.03) and wound closure (P=0.002)
showed a statistically significant association with outcome. Emboli
during shunting were also associated with outcome, although only
borderline significance (P=0.12) was reached. We also
analyzed the impact of the number of embolic periods per
operation. Table 2
delineates that patients with no or only 1
embolic period per operation were less often suffering from stroke than
those with
2 embolic periods. After dichotomization, the TCD emboli
variable
2 embolic periods showed a significant association with
stroke (P=0.01). All 3 TCD velocity variables also
showed a statistically significant association with outcome. Of the
preoperative patient characteristics, only preoperative cerebral
ischemia (excluding amaurosis fugax [AFx]) was associated
with an increased risk of stroke. For
70% ipsilateral internal
carotid artery stenosis, the association was inverse. Age
(whether analyzed as a continuous or as a dichotomous
variable with a cutoff of 75 years), sex, and
70% contralateral
internal carotid artery stenosis were not statistically
significant.
|
After including all 4 TCD emboli variables (dissection, clamp
release, wound closure, and shunting) in a multivariable logistic
regression model, emboli during dissection and wound closure were
independently associated with outcome, whereas emboli during shunting
(OR 1.2, 95% CI 0.6 to 2.5) and during clamp release (OR 0.9, 95% CI
0.4 to 1.7) were far from significant. The model including only emboli
during dissection and wound closure is given in Table 3
(model 1). The ROC area of this model
was 0.66. The association was weaker for emboli during dissection
(P=0.12) than for emboli during wound closure
(P=0.007). Inclusion of the number of embolic periods, as 4
indicator variables or dichotomized at a value of
2 embolic
periods, did not improve the model. After adding the 3 TCD velocity
variables to model 1,
90% decrease of PSV at cross-clamping
(P=0.02) and
100% PI increase at clamp release
(P=0.02) as well as both embolic variables were
associated with outcome (model 2, Table 3
). However, emboli
during dissection became less significant (P=0.18). The ROC
area increased to 0.69. Subsequently, model 2 was extended with the 2
univariably significant preoperative patient characteristics. This
resulted in an ROC area of 0.73 (model 3, Table 3
). Of this
latter model, all variables were associated with outcome; only
emboli during dissection again became less significant
(P=0.20).
|
We also performed the analyses without the 20 patients from the American study who underwent CEA with local-regional anesthesia. However, no differences in the results (ie, the same independent predictors with the same ORs) were found.
| Discussion |
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90% PSV decrease at cross-clamping and
100% PI
increase at clamp release were associated with outcome, independent
from the TCD emboli variables and preoperative patient
characteristics. The independent patient characteristics were
preoperative cerebral ischemia (excluding AFx) and
70%
ipsilateral internal carotid artery stenosis. These results
suggest that intraoperative TCD monitoring can be useful in providing
an early warning of postoperative complications in patients undergoing
CEA.
The results of the present study are consistent with the
literature. Previous studies involving cerebral microembolism during
CEA have shown that microemboli that occur at clamp release are
predominantly gaseous and are not associated with the development of
postoperative cerebral deficits.21 During shunting,
microemboli are mostly a mixture of air and particulate and are
sometimes associated with perioperative
complications.4 On the contrary, microemboli that are
noticed during dissection and wound closure are particulate and are
associated with new mostly transient operative cerebral complications
and psychometric deterioration.21 22 Moreover, Jansen et
al23 demonstrated an association between multiple
microembolism during dissection and new white matter lesions on MRI of
the brain made after surgery. However, in the majority of these
patients, the new MRI lesions were clinically silent. This finding
demonstrates that during CEA the incidence of TCD-detected microemboli
far exceeds the morbidity and mortality rates for the operation.
However, this does not mean that these phenomena are not clinically
important. Strokes that occur during the dissection stage of CEA were
reported before the introduction of TCD monitoring, but this was
previously thought to be due to the development of one large embolus.
Although occlusion of the MCA mainstem by a macroembolus sometimes
occurs,24 most research work involving intraoperative TCD
monitoring in CEA suggests that multiple microembolization is the more
likely mechanism. Microemboli that occur at the end of the operation
are possibly a precursor of the well-known phenomenon of postoperative
platelet aggregation and thrombus formation at the
endarterectomy and clamping sites. This supports
the hypothesis that multiple microembolization may result in sustaining
postoperative embolization and occlusion.25 26 27 28 29 The latter
could not be verified in the present study because postoperative
TCD monitoring was not performed in the majority of our patients. The
associations we have found between
90% PSV decrease at
cross-clamping and
100% PI increase at clamp release with
postoperative stroke are also supported by earlier
evidence.6 13 30 31 32 In a multicenter study of CEA with
intraoperative TCD monitoring, Halsey30 showed that severe
persisting ischemia without shunting often results in an
operative stroke. With respect to a postoperative hyperperfusion
syndrome, Dalman et al13 demonstrated that TCD monitoring
is a practical and sensitive method to identify intraoperatively the
patients who are at risk for this serious postoperative complication.
The association of
70% ipsilateral internal carotid artery
stenosis with outcome was inverse, as described
previously.33 Although this seems paradoxical, it can be
explained from a hemodynamic point of view:
cross-clamping of a severely stenosed artery will have less influence
on cerebral blood flow than cross-clamping of an artery with a lesser
degree of stenosis. It was not our intention to develop a
prediction model primarily based on preoperative clinical and
angiographic predictors of stroke from CEA, as described
elsewhere.34 35 36 Nevertheless, we did evaluate such a
model, including all available preoperative patient characteristics.
Again, only preoperative cerebral ischemia (excluding AFx) and
70% ipsilateral internal carotid artery stenosis were
associated with outcome with a ROC area of 0.67. Besides preoperative
cerebral symptoms, Rothwell et al34 also found age, female
sex, hypertension, and peripheral vascular disease as
predictors of stroke from CEA. In the present study, age was not
associated with outcome. Female sex was very
heterogeneously distributed over the 2 countries and could
not be analyzed properly, whereas the other 2 variables
were not available for our patients. Also, if we repeated the
analysis of our data starting with the preoperative patient
characteristics, the final model would be the same as model 3
presented in Table 3
.
Given all available evidence, we believe that intraoperative TCD monitoring is useful for early detection of postoperative complications in patients undergoing CEA. If the Doppler signal is made audible in the operating theater, the acoustic feedback to the surgeon can assist in a more careful dissection of the artery and facilitate an early distal clamping of the internal carotid artery. Sustained embolization during wound closure is probably an indication of a residual luminal thrombus and impending postoperative occlusion. In these cases, quality control with intraoperative duplex37 and completion angioscopy38 can modify the surgical technique and reduce the number of cerebral complications. Although it can be argued that the majority of microemboli during shunting and clamp release are microbubbles and are clinically less important, one must not overlook the fact that lengthy showers of presumed gaseous emboli can contain particulate emboli as well. Therefore, it is preferable to minimize embolization at times of shunt opening and flow restoration. With respect to hemodynamic causes of stroke from CEA, TCD monitoring is a very useful modality for the selective use of a shunt and a sensitive tool for the prediction of postoperative hyperperfusion. When a serious event happens despite all these precautions, the best medical treatment and imaging of the brain and carotid arteries can be started without any delay. In several centers, the operative stroke rate from CEA has declined since the introduction of intraoperative TCD monitoring.4 5 37
To appreciate the present results, a few aspects need to be discussed. First, because we have performed a pooled data analysis over 2 countries, differences in definitions and, therefore, in distributions may have occurred. This was likely for emboli during dissection, clamp release, and shunting, as well as for PI increase at clamp release. This could have biased our findings, although the associations of the investigated factors were not heterogeneous across the countries. Moreover, in daily practice, similar differences between countries and medical institutions will be present, and risk estimates should be sufficiently robust to overcome any heterogeneity. Second, in contrast to other studies33 34 35 that evaluated the association of preoperative patient characteristics with stroke from CEA, we evaluated whether clinically relevant intraoperative TCD emboli and velocity variables were associated with outcome, taking into account some always available basic patient characteristics. Third, in both countries, the data are from the first years of carotid surgery with TCD monitoring; thus, the presence of a learning effect will be likely. Particularly with respect to emboli detection, surgeons developed, in the course of time, an understanding of and reliance on the TCD data.
In conclusion, we have determined that TCD-detected microembolism
during dissection and especially during wound closure as well as
90%
MCA velocity decrease at cross-clamping and
100% PI increase at
clamp release were associated with operative stroke and stroke-related
death from CEA. To our knowledge, the association with stroke has not
been demonstrated before, certainly not by using a multivariable
approach that takes into account some basic preoperative patient
characteristics. We believe that TCD monitoring is most useful in
providing an early warning of unpredictable phenomena. It should be
used as a quality control assessment for early detection of microemboli
and MCA velocity changes during surgery to modify the surgical
technique. This would reduce the number of cerebral complications.
Received March 9, 2000; revision received April 5, 2000; accepted April 18, 2000.
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