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(Stroke. 2001;32:461.)
© 2001 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions |
From the Departments of Neurology (J.H., M.V., M.L.), Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (R.J. de H.), and Medical Informatics (M.L.), Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam (Netherlands).
Correspondence to M. Limburg, PO Box 22700, 1100 DE, Amsterdam, Netherlands. E-mail m.limburg{at}amc.uva.nl
| Abstract |
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MethodsIn this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, treatment was started by general practitioners or neurologists within 6 hours after stroke onset (oral nimodipine 30 mg QID or identical placebo, for 10 days). Main analyses included comparisons of the primary end point (poor outcome, defined as death or dependency after 3 months) and secondary end points (neurological status and blood pressure 24 hours after inclusion, mortality after 10 days, and adverse events) between treatment groups. Subgroup analyses (on final diagnosis and based on the per-protocol data set) were performed.
ResultsAt trial termination, after inclusion of 454 patients (225 nimodipine, 229 placebo), no effect of nimodipine was found. After 3 months of follow-up, 32% (n=71) of patients in the nimodipine group had a poor outcome compared with 27% (n=62) in the placebo group (relative risk, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.9 to 1.6). A treatment effect was not found for secondary outcomes and in the subgroup analyses.
ConclusionsThe results of VENUS do not support the hypothesis of a beneficial effect of early nimodipine in stroke patients.
Key Words: calcium channel blockers cerebrovascular disorders nimodipine randomized controlled trials
| Introduction |
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| Subjects and Methods |
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Exclusion Criteria
Exclusion criteria included ability to raise arm or
leg >10 seconds against gravity; inability to start treatment within 6
hours; age <18 or >85 years; previous participation in this trial;
pregnancy; impaired consciousness (did not obey orders and did not open
eyes on painful stimuli); other diseases likely to cause death within 1
year; previous stroke, resulting in serious handicap (Modified Rankin
Scale11 score >3);
dysphagia, excluding oral medication at trial onset; systolic
blood pressure <130 mm Hg; heart rate <50 bpm; and
3 of the
following 4 conditions: severe headache, vomiting, hypertension
(systolic blood pressure >220 mm Hg), and use of oral
anticoagulants.
Intervention
Trial medication consisted of tablets containing 30
mg oral nimodipine or placebo, administered every 6 hours for 10 days.
Medication was provided by Bayer AG. Any other concomitant medication,
except nimodipine, was allowed. Medication was randomized in equal
blocks of 10, according to computer-generated lists. Numbered boxes
contained one complete treatment or identical placebo course and were
sequentially distributed among participating general
practitioners and neurologists.
Outcome Assessment
The primary end point was poor outcome, defined as
all-cause mortality or dependency in daily life (Modified Rankin Scale
score >3.11 ) 3 months after
inclusion. This cutoff point for the Modified Rankin Scale was chosen
because patients with a Rankin score of 4 or 5 almost certainly cannot
live independently.12
Secondary end points were neurological status and blood pressure 24
hours after inclusion, mortality after 10 days, and adverse events.
Outcome was assessed in telephone interview by a trained data manager
nurse, blinded for treatment allocation. We attempted to interview the
patient; when this was impossible, the primary caregiver was
interviewed. Assessment of functional outcome after stroke by telephone
interview was established to be
reliable.13 14
Data Collection
The following data were collected at inclusion: sex,
age, comorbidity (previous stroke, cardiac disease, other diseases),
level of activities of daily life before stroke (independent, in need
of some help, dependent), severity of hemiparesis (raise arm or leg for
10 seconds against gravity), level of consciousness, aphasia, and
whether the patient was admitted to a hospital for the present
stroke. After 24 hours the following data were recorded:
neurological status (improved, unchanged, or deteriorated as judged by
the treating physician) and systolic and diastolic
blood pressures. Ten days after inclusion, data on mortality and
adverse events were collected. The following data were collected at the
end of follow-up (3 months): diagnosis (ischemic stroke,
hemorrhagic stroke, no radiological investigation, other diagnosis),
mortality, level of dependency (assessed with the Modified Rankin
Scale11 ), and adverse
events.
Interobserver Variability on Primary Outcome
Assessment and External Validity
To assess interobserver agreement on the Modified
Rankin Scale at the end of follow-up, 116 consecutive patients were
called again (1 day later) by a second trial nurse. Since a large group
of general practitioners participated, it was impossible to
perform on-site audits. However, we closely followed 117 randomly
selected general practitioners during 6 months to assess
external validity. Each general practitioner was contacted
monthly to assess the number of encountered and included stroke
patients and reasons for not including patients (exclusion criteria or
other reasons).
Group Size
We planned to include 1500 patients on the basis of
the following assumptions: 80% power, 2-tailed significance level of
5%, reduction of poor outcome from 40% (placebo group) to 32%
(treatment group), leading to 575 patients in each treatment arm.
Because prehospital trial inclusion by general
practitioners was likely to lead to inaccurate diagnosis
and drug noncompliance, we substantially raised the estimated sample
size by 30%.
After inclusion of 454 patients the trial was terminated early. In our Cochrane Collaboration review on calcium antagonists for ischemic stroke, the positive effects of the early administration of nimodipine could not be confirmed,15 which led to an interim analysis by an independent committee. The data of the systematic review and this trial showed that the assumptions on which the sample size was calculated were unrealistic. Inclusion was stopped, and results thus far are presented here.
Statistical Analysis
Analysis was by intention to treat. The main
analyses focused on comparisons of the primary end point (poor
outcome) and secondary end points (neurological status and blood
pressure 24 hours after inclusion, mortality after 10 days, and adverse
events) between the trial medication groups. Subgroup analyses
addressed the effect of nimodipine on poor outcome in patients with
definite ischemic strokes (CT scan exclusion of
hemorrhage), hemorrhagic strokes (CT scan confirmation of
intracranial hemorrhage), patients in whom no CT scan was made,
and per-protocol analysis. Effect sizes were expressed in
relative risk (RR) estimates with 95% CIs with the exception of
differences in blood pressures (unpaired
t test), neurological status,
and adverse events (
2 tests).
Interobserver agreement of the outcome assessment was calculated with
statistics.16
| Results |
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Main Analyses: Primary and Secondary
Outcomes
The results of the outcome assessments are
presented in
Table 2
. After 3 months, 71 patients (32%) in the
nimodipine-treated group had a poor outcome compared with 62 (27%) in
the placebo-treated group. This yielded an RR of 1.2 (95% CI, 0.9 to
1.6). In both treatment arms, functional outcome could not be assessed
in 3 patients.
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Twenty-four hours after randomization, no significant differences in neurological status or blood pressure readings were present between the 2 treatment groups. After 10 days, 14 patients (6%) had died in the nimodipine group compared with 20 (9%) in the placebo group. This difference was not statistically significant (RR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.4 to 1.4). Adverse reactions were reported by 31 patients. Trial medication was stopped in 15 patients (7 nimodipine, 8 placebo); treatment allocation was never broken.
Subgroup Analyses
In patients with definite ischemic strokes
(n=261), a borderline significant adverse effect of nimodipine on poor
outcome was present (RR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.0 to 2.1), whereas in
patients with intracranial hemorrhages (n=35) and patients
without radiological investigations (n=150), no differences could be
demonstrated. In the per-protocol analysis (n=345), RR for poor
outcome was 1.2 (95% CI, 0.8 to 1.6). These data are
presented in
Table 3
.
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Interobserver Agreement on Primary Outcome
Assessments and External Validity
Interobserver agreement was determined in 116 patients.
The agreement was almost perfect (
=0.94). The 117 general
practitioners whom we closely monitored for assessment of
external validity encountered 73 stroke patients during a 6-month
period. Six of these 73 (8%) were entered into the study. Of the
remaining 67 patients, 44 were not included because of exclusion
criteria (paresis not severe enough [n=16], existence of symptoms >6
hours [n=14], age >85 years [n=12], and other [n=2]). In 23
cases the general practitioners simply forgot VENUS or were
uncertain.
Discussion
The possibility that agents reducing influx of calcium
ions through voltage-sensitive calcium channels may improve outcome
after ischemic stroke has led to clinical trials in which at
least 7665 patients have been
included.15 Although
nimodipine has never been used on a large scale in Western countries,
reported beneficial effects led to the introduction of nimodipine in
clinical practice in some other countries. For instance, in China 88%
of physicians caring for stroke patients reported the use of nimodipine
occasionally or
routinely.17
VENUS was started to test the hypothesis that early administration of nimodipine is effective, as suggested in a subgroup analysis of a previous meta-analysis.9 In this subgroup analysis, data of 616 patients (from 6 hospital-based trials) treated within 12 hours after stroke onset yielded a statistically significant beneficial effect of nimodipine for neurological outcome (odds ratio, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.87). Similar findings were reported for functional outcome. This positive result could not be reproduced in our systematic review, in which (before the VENUS data were added) data of 825 patients from 10 trials were included (odds ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.68 to 1.21). This interim analysis of VENUS results was performed by an independent interim committee. This committee reported that on the basis of data from our systematic review and the results of VENUS thus far, the assumptions on which the sample size was calculated were unrealistic; the committee therefore advised that inclusion be stopped. The steering committee decided to terminate the trial; by that time 454 patients were included. This small number of patients increases the risk of a type II error. However, the results of this trial are in concordance with the results from our Cochrane review, in which an RR of poor outcome after early treatment with nimodipine of 1.0 was found (95% CI, 0.9 to 1.2).15
The VENUS trial did not show a beneficial effect of oral nimodipine administered within 6 hours of stroke. In contrast to previous nimodipine trials, VENUS was performed in a primary care setting. The safety profile of nimodipine allows treatment immediately after stroke onset, before hospital admission. An effective neuroprotective agent could hypothetically be beneficial for patients with parenchymal cerebral hemorrhage, since the area surrounding the hemorrhage is ischemic because of increased pressure.18 However, trials with general practitioners have their limitations. The design must be simple and straightforward, and inclusion is performed by relatively inexperienced physicians. By excluding patients who were able to raise their arm or leg >10 seconds against gravity, we tried to prevent inclusion of patients who had no stroke. This may have led to a selection bias, including mainly patients with severe stroke and excluding patients with small lacunar (sensory stroke) or cerebellar infarctions. Most specific stroke scales cannot be assessed by untrained general practitioners and were therefore not used in VENUS. We encouraged the participating general practitioners to refer included patients to a neurologist for diagnostic investigations. A CT or MRI scan was made in only 68% of all included patients. The diagnosis of stroke was correct in 98% of patients in which diagnosis was established by CT or MRI scan. Participating general practitioners included 8% of stroke patients for whom they were consulted. Most patients were excluded correctly, according to predefined exclusion criteria, but in a considerable number of stroke patients (32%), the general practitioner forgot about the trial or was uncertain about the diagnosis. A comparable trial with prehospital thrombolysis of patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction had a significantly higher inclusion rate (60%).19 No other prehospital stroke trials exist with which to compare our data, but in the American Nimodipine Trial (an acute stroke trial in a hospital setting) the inclusion rate was similar (7.9%).5 The relative inexperience of general practitioners and acute stroke trials may affect the inclusion rate negatively. Furthermore, even general practitioners will not see all stroke patients within 6 hours after onset of symptoms. Patients delay definitely seems to play a role.
Other promising neuroprotective agents have recently been reported to be ineffective in improving outcome after ischemic stroke.20 21 22 Despite the limitations caused by the trial design of VENUS and the small number of patients, the results do not support the hypothesis of beneficial early treatment with nimodipine. We conclude that the scientific data that are currently available do not support routine administration of nimodipine or any other voltage-sensitive calcium channel antagonist in patients with ischemic stroke.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received July 20, 2000; revision received October 13, 2000; accepted October 19, 2000.
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