Stroke. 2005;36:2500-2503
Published online before print October 13, 2005,
doi: 10.1161/01.STR.0000185699.37843.14
(Stroke. 2005;36:2500.)
© 2005 American Heart Association, Inc.
Economic Benefit of Increasing Utilization of Intravenous Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the United States
Bart M. Demaerschalk, MD, MSc, FRCPC
Todd R. Yip, MD, MSc
From the Department of Neurology (B.M.D.), Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Mayo Clinic Arizona, Scottsdale, Ariz; and the Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation (T.R.Y.), University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.
Correspondence to Bart M. Demaerschalk, MD, MSc, FRCPC, Department of Neurology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Mayo Clinic Arizona, 13400 E Shea Blvd, Scottsdale, AZ 85259. E-mail Demaerschalk.bart{at}mayo.edu
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Abstract
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Background and Purpose Health economic analyses of intravenous
tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) in acute ischemic stroke
reveal a substantial cost savings. Unfortunately, tPA is vastly
underused. The purpose of this study was to determine the economic
impact of increasing tPA utilization in the United States.
Methods Annual incidence estimates of ischemic stroke in the United States and individual states were obtained. The proportion of all ischemic stroke patients who receive tPA was derived from published data. Economic analyses that report the expected annual cost savings of tPA were consulted. The analysis was conducted from the perspective of the healthcare system over a time period of 1 year. With incremental increases in the proportion of all ischemic stroke patients treated with tPA, potential cost savings were recalculated. The outcomes are expressed in dollars saved annually.
Results There are 616 000 new ischemic stroke patients annually. A $600 net cost savings is associated with each tPA-treated patient. Currently, an estimated 2% of all ischemic stroke patients receive tPA. If the proportion was increased to 4, 6, 8, 10, 15, or 20%, the realized cost savings would be approximately $15, 22, 30, 37, 55, and 74 million, respectively.
Conclusions If even small manageable increases in the proportion of all ischemic stroke patients who received tPA were achieved, it would result in an enormous realized savings for Americas healthcare system.
Key Words: acute stroke economics TPA
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Introduction
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The US Food and Drug Administration approved tissue plasminogen
activator (tPA) as a therapy for acute ischemic stroke on June
18, 1996. Shortly thereafter, there was early speculation that
the acute costs of thrombolysis could be offset by a greater
likelihood of favorable recovery.
1 This estimation was subsequently
confirmed when Markov modeling was used to demonstrate that
the increased hospitalization costs were offset by a decrease
in rehabilitation costs for a net cost savings to the healthcare
system.
2 It was readily observed that integrated healthcare
systems (acute care, rehabilitation, and nursing home facilities)
have an economic incentive for using tPA in stroke patients.
3 Other authors have supported use of tPA as a strategy for reducing
stroke costs, recognizing it as a treatment associated with
important health gains (4 to 6 quality-adjusted life-years gained
per 100 patients over a lifetime) and cost savings.
46 Unfortunately, the enthusiasm of the late 1990s was dampened
in the early 2000s with the recognition that only a very small
proportion, 2%, of stroke patients were actually being treated
with tPA.
4,7 Over the past 9 years, the overall proportion of
ischemic stroke patients in the United States treated with tPA
has slowly crept up and several urban and nonurban primary stroke
centers report impressive proportions (10% to 20%) of stroke
patients receiving tPA.
811 It appears to be time to revisit
the potential for economic benefit of increasing utilization
of tPA for acute ischemic stroke.
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Purpose
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Our purpose is to estimate the national and state cost savings
in the first year poststroke generated from modest incremental
increases in tPA use for acute ischemic stroke, over a range
of 2% to 20%.
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Methods
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The annual incidence estimate of ischemic stroke in the United
States was derived from the American Stroke Association and
for each individual state based on stroke mortality data from
National Center for Health Statistics.
12 The net cost after
the first year after tPA treatment was estimated, with 90% certainty,
to be (a savings of) $600 (95% confidence interval [CI]
$3481 to $2004) per treated patient (1996 reference year
values) based on a US cost-effectiveness analysis of tPA in
stroke.
2 National and state cost savings in the first year were
calculated as such:
We then used the fifth and ninety-fifth percentiles of cost at 1 year poststroke provided by Fagan et al and performed a basic sensitivity analyses on the best estimates of US cost savings in the first year postischemic stroke by varying proportions of patients that receive intravenous tPA.
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Results
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In 2003, there were an estimated 616 000 ischemic stroke cases
in the United States. Over $7 million would be saved in the
United States for every 2% increase in tPA-treated stroke patients.
Almost $37 million and $74 million would be saved by treating
10 and 20% of ischemic stroke patients, respectively (see
Table 1 
). Individual state cost saving estimates are also listed in
Table 1
.
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TABLE 1. Estimated American National and State Cost Savings in the First Year After Ischemic Stroke by Varying Proportions of Patients Receiving Intravenous tPA
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The results of the sensitivity analysis are portrayed in Table 2. Although the best estimate (with 90% certainty) is for a net cost savings of $7.4 million for every 2% increase in tPA-treated patients, the sensitivity analysis displays that the range includes a maximal potential cost savings of $43 million and the possibility of a loss of $25 million.
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TABLE 2. Best Estimates of US Cost Savings in the First Year After Ischemic Stroke by Varying Proportions of Patients Receiving Intravenous tPA and 95% CIs
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Discussion
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Although national estimates of tPA use for acute ischemic stroke
continue to be low and disappointing (1% to 2%), there are a
number of communities with stroke centers that have demonstrated
striking improvements in proportions of tPA-treated stroke patients
(&20%). This information confirms that under ideal circumstances
a higher proportion of patients can have access to this acute
therapy. Barriers to more uniform and timely access to stroke
center care and tPA continue to exist, but they are being identified
and addressed. We carefully selected the lower (2%) proportion
to reflect the current estimated national average proportion
of stroke patients receiving tPA and the upper (20%) proportion
to reflect what might currently be achievable in a North American
community or setting. There may be a relative ceiling or maximum
achievable proportion in the current era of acute stroke care.
Even if 100% of eligible acute ischemic stroke patients received
tPA in a given stroke center, the overall proportion of ischemic
stroke patients who receive tPA would be far less, perhaps approximately
20% maximum. This ceiling figure, representing the maximal achievable
proportion, is influenced largely by prehospital components
(recognition of stroke symptoms, timeliness of 911 call, emergency
medical services evaluation and transport), and exclusion criteria
for tPA administration (clinical, radiologic, and laboratory).
Estimates of the proportion of stroke patients who present to
hospital within the first 3 hours vary by stroke center and
community, but this figure can be as high as 50% to 62%.
9,13,14,15 Estimates of the proportion of acute ischemic stroke patients
(who present under 3 hours) who are eligible and receive tPA
are as high as 35%.
14,15 Therefore, we propose an estimated
ceiling figure of 22% (0.35%
x62%). We have used this line of
reasoning to justify the upper limit of &20% in our analysis.
This ceiling is not static. It may continue to rise and settle
in the 25% to 35% range optimally, in the future, as public
education and prehospital acute stroke transport improve.
This analysis is simply an illustrative estimate of the anticipated savings that would result from even modest, feasible increases in use of tPA in the United States, assuming an integrated healthcare system existed. It should be noted that the available American cost-effectiveness study for tPA was conducted from the perspective of an integrated healthcare system, although even the authors acknowledge that such a system is rare in the United States.2 A perceived limitation of this analysis is that it failed to include costs associated with interventions aimed at increasing the number of patients eligible for acute stroke therapy. There are certainly costs associated with public education, prehospital emergency medical services care, and the establishment of new primary and comprehensive stroke centers (PSC and CSC). Fagan et al2 elected not to include these costs because they do not, strictly speaking, belong to tPA, but rather to all acute therapies for both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Even before completion of the NINDS rtPA Stroke Trial, the National Stroke Association and American Stroke Association promoted the concept of early evaluation and treatment of acute stroke and enhanced public awareness of stroke symptoms and signs. Brain Attack Coalition (BAC) authors of recommendations for the establishment of primary stroke centers and comprehensive stroke centers emphasize that it is difficult to determine accurate and meaningful costs for a PSC or CSC because of the paucity of published data.16,17 This is also a limitation in determining the costs of public education and prehospital emergency medical services stroke care systems. Estimates of the cost associated with building and staffing a new stroke unit range from $50 000 to $500 000 and the annual operating cost estimates range from $8000 to $200 000. The BAC authors point out that, at the present time, data simply do not exist to project an accurate or meaningful cost analysis or costbenefit analysis for PSC/CSC and similar efforts.
This simple model emphasizes what is already known about tPA for stroke; the therapy is efficacious in clinical trials, effective in the real world, and results in a net cost savings. Given such a favorable economic profile, it behooves us to continue to determine safe, effective means for more widespread use of this therapy.
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Footnotes
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This research was presented in poster form at the International
Stroke Conference February 57, 2004 in San Diego, and
the abstract was published in
Stroke 2004.
Received May 12, 2005;
revision received July 7, 2005;
accepted July 27, 2005.
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