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Stroke. 2007;38:2210-2212
Published online before print June 28, 2007, doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.107.490425
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(Stroke. 2007;38:2210.)
© 2007 American Heart Association, Inc.


Editorials

From Sea to Shining Sea

What Is It About Where You Live and Your Stroke Risk?

Virginia J. Howard, MSPH

From the Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, School of Public Health, Birmingham, Ala; and the Department of Biostatistics, Bioinformatics and Epidemiology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC.

Correspondence to Virginia J. Howard, MSPH, Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1665 University Blvd, Birmingham, AL 35294-0022. E-mail vjhoward{at}uab.edu


Key Words: geography • region • southeastern United States • Stroke Belt • stroke epidemiology

See related article, pages 2221–2227.

Despite clear documentation that the "Stroke Belt" has existed for more than 60 years, we know remarkably little regarding the underlying causes. The US vital statistics system requiring the mandatory reporting of causes of death has provided nearly all of what we know about geographic disparities in stroke with virtually no data available on geographic disparities in stroke incidence. The vital statistics system allows estimates of stroke mortality rates to be made at the national level as well as for specific regions (eg, state and county level) and for specific race/sex groups. Large cohort studies, including Framingham,1 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC),2 Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS),3 and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA),4 provide stroke incidence data; however, these outstanding studies are limited to only a few communities and provide little insight to the geographic variations in incidence. The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) provides incidence data from a larger number of communities; however, even this study is limited in both the number of communities across the United States (only 81) and a sample size of only approximately 6000 individuals of ages where stroke is more prevalent.5 Although most readers of Stroke are likely aware of the Stroke Belt, they may not be aware of the paucity of data to address the next logical questions such as "Is the Stroke Belt caused by a higher incidence of stroke or a higher case fatality following stroke?"

The lack of data describing the geographic disparities in stroke incidence underscores the substantial contribution of the article by Rich et al based on up to 22.5 years of follow up of a national cohort that provides a description of regional variations in stroke incidence.6 This important contribution is among the first to provide evidence that a higher stroke incidence rate in the southeastern United States is a substantial contributor to the Stroke Belt, something we may have all thought but had few data to actually assess. Rich and his colleagues should be complimented on their substantial contribution to the understanding of the Stroke Belt.

On May 21, 2007, Dr Darwin Labarthe (CDC HDSP), Dr Janet Collins (CDC NCCDPHP), Dr Ed Sondik (CDC NCHS), and others presented a report to Assistant Secretary for Health ADM John O. Agwunobi on the nation’s progress toward achieving the Healthy People 2010 Focus Area 12: Heart Disease and Stroke goals and objectives.7 They reported that target reductions in stroke deaths, coronary heart disease deaths, and high blood cholesterol levels were met or exceeded. Although control of blood pressure has improved, it is still approximately 50% below target and the prevalence of high blood pressure has increased. The progress report also showed that the race/ethnicity, sex, and geographical disparities in cardiovascular deaths and associated risk factors remain.7 Although it is good news that we may be living longer and healthier (cardiovascular) lives, it is unfortunate that geographic (and racial) disparities in stroke mortality have been so persistent. However, the poor state of knowledge of the causes (or even mechanisms) of the Stroke Belt is underscored by the lack of information addressing even fundamental issues such as whether the higher stroke mortality in the Southeast is a product of higher incidence or higher case-fatality in the region. It could be argued that because we have such a poor understanding of the causes of these disparities, it would be surprising if we can be effective at reducing them.

These results by Rich et al from the Physicians’ Health Study are consistent with mortality data that document the existence of the Stroke Belt, traditionally defined as the 8-state region (North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Louisiana) within the Southeast that has stroke mortality approximately 30% to 40% higher than the rest of the United States.8 Rich and colleagues note a crude stroke incidence approximately 15% higher in the Southeast than the rest of the nation.6 Although on the surface this seems to suggest that incidence contributes only approximately half of the effect of the Stroke Belt, the US census definitions of geographic regions were used in their report, categorizing the "Southeast" to include several states with lower stroke mortality (ie, Delaware, Maryland, Washington, DC, Virginia, West Virginia, Kentucky, and Florida) that are not included in the usual definition of the Stroke Belt, and several states normally included in definitions of the Stroke Belt were included in the "Midwest" (ie, Arkansas and Louisiana.) That the regions in the report of Rich et al do not align with the traditional definition of the Stroke Belt would tend to attenuate differences between regions and makes their findings even more striking.

A strength of the cohort used in this analysis is its national scope and a structure that is not tied to specific communities such as longitudinal cohort studies that use clinical centers or the primary sampling units used by NHANES. This geographic heterogeneity, including individuals in a broad spectrum of communities, strengthens the findings. In addition, the participants (physicians) in the cohort have obvious ready access to healthcare facilities, and hospital-based programs have the advantage of access to hospital data to quantify stroke subtype and severity (but require hospitalization for the stroke to detect events). The other cohort studies also provide less precise estimates of incidence as a result of limitations of sample size.

As Rich and coauthors acknowledge, a major limitation of this study is that it includes only upper-middle to high socioeconomic class, highly educated, primarily white men. Clearly, it is potentially problematic to suggest that these findings can be generalized to the general US population. In this weakness, however, also lies a great strength of the report. There are as many as 10 hypothesized causes of the Stroke Belt,9 many of which have strong advocates. Among these, it has been hypothesized that regional differences in socioeconomic status could contribute to the Stroke Belt through a large number of mechanisms, including that the disadvantaged have poorer access to health care and healthy lifestyle, poorer lifestyle choices (diet, exercise, and so on), less control of risk factors, and less access to medications. The regional differences in stroke incidence in this relatively homogeneous physician population make the contribution of socioeconomic status seem less likely.

Stroke prevalence data by state are now available for 2005 based on participant self-report from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) survey.10 Across all 50 states plus the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, the overall prevalence of stroke in 2005 was 2.6% (95% CI, 2.5 to 2.7). The average prevalence of stroke in the 8 Stroke Belt states was 3.2%, ranging from a high of 4.3% in Mississippi (the highest among all regions) to 2.8% in North Carolina.10 It is noteworthy that not only is the average Stroke Belt prevalence 23% above the national average, but the Stroke Belt state with the lowest prevalence was even above the national average. The same forces that drive disparities in mortality, and that Rich and colleagues report may be driving disparities in incidence, are also potentially driving disparities in prevalence. These higher stroke prevalence rates in the Southeast are likely directly related to higher public health and personal burden among this larger group of stroke survivors from the region.

What is it about where you live that impacts your cardiovascular risk? Is it the culture of the area? Is it environmental factors? Is it differences in the proportion of the population making healthy lifestyle choices? Can the findings of Rich and colleagues be generalized to the nonphysician populations? If you live the first part of your life in one area of the country but move later in life to another area with a different stroke risk, does your personal risk of stroke change? How do we reconcile the reports of geographic differences in risk factors seen in some studies11,12 but not seen in the report of Rich et al? Are these potential differences in risk factor profile contributing to the Stroke Belt? There is still so little that we understand regarding the Stroke Belt, and without this understanding, making changes to reduce the geographic disparity is simply "shooting in the dark."

Other studies are coming online that have been designed to address these issues, including the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke.13 This is a national, population-based longitudinal study planned to enroll 30 000 participants, half black and half women by design, and half from the Stroke Belt states. As this cohort of individuals from 1000s of communities across the United States matures, additional insights to the causes of the Stroke Belt will be provided. Other government-funded efforts completed or underway to further the understanding and reduction of the Stroke Belt include National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute pilot projects funded in 1991 in the 11 states in the Southeast that had stroke mortality rates that were more than 10% higher than the 1980 US average age-adjusted mortality rates. Project accomplishments and lessons learned from these projects are available on the Internet.14 With a focus on community-based initiatives to reduce the burden of stroke, in 2004, a request for proposal from the Secretary of Health and Human Services (entitled the Stroke Belt Elimination Initiative) was released to award funding to three Stroke Belt states to: (1) increase community awareness and knowledge of hypertension and stroke, (2) enhance early detection of high blood pressure and stroke with early referral to care, (3) increase the community’s adoption and use of lifestyle behaviors toward prevention and control of hypertension and stroke, and (4) increase blood pressure control rates among community persons who are known to have hypertension and see healthcare providers.15 The Centers for Disease Control has supported the Tri-State Stroke Consortium (1997; www.tristatestrokenetwork.org) and the Delta States Stroke Consortium16 (2002), comprising the traditional 8 Stroke Belt States, to bring together public health professionals across regions to share resources and experiences. Although not in the Stroke Belt region, recently the Great Lakes Regional Stroke Network was funded (2004) to also coordinate stroke awareness, prevention, and treatment activities in the Great Lakes states of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin.17

Although not supported by government funds, the Stroke Belt Consortium (www.strokebelt.org) is a self-sustaining group that has been in existence since 1994 under the leadership of Dr Mark J. Alberts. Comprised of over 350 members from diverse organizations and disciplines, the overall goal of the Stroke Belt Consortium is to "improve both public and professional education on stroke for people who live in the Stroke Belt." Besides supporting annual educational events, this consortium has also worked with individual state-based initiatives and funded small pilot grants and demonstration projects.

Collectively, these efforts should provide additional information to further the understanding of the causes of the Stroke Belt, and with this understanding, interventions to reduce these disparities can be better directed. For example, REGARDS is approaching completion of recruitment of the cohort, but accrual of enough stroke events to assess differences in incidence by relatively rare risk factors will require the continued follow up of the cohort for a number of years. Today, however, the Physicians’ Health Study has up to 22.5 years of follow up on a cohort of over 20,000 individuals, and using this remarkable resource, Rich and colleagues have provided great insights to the mechanism of the Stroke Belt. Congratulations and thanks to these authors for the insights made possible through this report.

Acknowledgments

Disclosures

None.

Footnotes

The opinions in this editorial are not necessarily those of the editors or of the American Heart Association.

References

  1. Kannel WB. The Framingham Study: its 50-year legacy and future promise. J Atheroscler Thromb. 2000; 6: 60–66.[Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  2. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study: design and objectives. The ARIC Investigators. Am J Epidemiol. 1989; 129: 687–702.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  3. Fried LP, Borhani NO, Enright P, Furberg CD, Gardin JM, Kronmal RA, Kuller LH, Manolio TA, Mittelmark MB, Newman A. The Cardiovascular Health Study: design and rationale. Ann Epidemiol. 1991; 1: 263–276.[Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  4. Bild DE, Bluemke DA, Burke GL, Detrano R, Diez Roux AV, Folsom AR, Greenland P, Jacob DR Jr, Kronmal R, Liu K, Nelson JC, O’Leary D, Saad MF, Shea S, Szklo M, Tracy RP. Multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis: objectives and design. Am J Epidemiol. 2002; 156: 871–881.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  5. US Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS). National Center for Health Statistics. Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–1994, NHANES III Healthy Eating Index Data File (Series 11, No. 6A). Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 1999.
  6. Rich DQ, Gaziano JM, Kurth T. Geographic patterns in overall and specific cardiovascular disease incidence in apparently healthy US men. Stroke. 2007; 38: 2221–2227.
  7. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Healthy people 2010 focus area 12: heart disease and stroke. Progress review, May 21, 2007. Available at: www.cdc.gov/nchs/hphome.htm. Accessed May 30, 2007.
  8. Borhani NO. Changes and geographic distribution of mortality from cerebrovascular disease. Am J Public Health. 1965; 55: 673–681.[Free Full Text]
  9. Howard G. Why do we have a stroke belt in the southeastern United States? A review of unlikely and uninvestigated potential causes. Am J Med Sci. 1999; 317: 160–167.[CrossRef][Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  10. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Prevalence of stroke—United States, 2005. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2007; 56: 469–474.[Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  11. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in multiple risk factors for heart disease and stroke. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2005; 54: 113–117.[Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  12. Hall WD, Ferraro CM, Moore MA, Hall JE, Flack JM, Cooper W, Simmons JD, Egan BM, Lackland DT, Perry M Jr, Rocella EJ. Hypertension-related morbidity and mortality in the southeastern United States. Am J Med Sci. 1997; 313: 195–209.[CrossRef][Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  13. Howard VJ, Cushman M, Pulley L, Gomez C, Go R, Prineas RJ, Graham A, Moy CS, Howard G. The REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) Study: objectives and design. Neuroepidemiology. 2005; 25: 135–143.[CrossRef][Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
  14. NHLBI Stroke Belt Initiative: Project accomplishments and lessons learned. Available at: www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/prof/heart/other/sb_spec.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2007.
  15. Department of HHS, Office of the Secretary: Community-focused initiative to reduce the burden of stroke. Federal Register. 2004; 69: 21536.
  16. Howard VJ, Acker J, Gomez CR, Griffies AH, Magers W, Michael M III, Orr SR, Phillips M, Raczynski JM, Searcy JE, Zweifler RM, Howard G, for the Delta States Stroke Consortium. An approach to coordinate efforts to reduce the public health burden of stroke: the Delta States Stroke Consortium. Prev Chron Dis. Oct 2004. Available at: www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2004/oct/03_0037.htm. Accessed May 29, 2007.
  17. Hedworth AG, Smith CS. The Great Lakes Regional Stroke Network experience. Prev Chron Dis. Oct 2006. Available at: www.cdc/pcd/issues/2006/oct/06_0026.htm. Accessed May 29, 2007.

Related Article:

Geographic Patterns in Overall and Specific Cardiovascular Disease Incidence in Apparently Healthy Men in the United States
David Q. Rich, J. Michael Gaziano, and Tobias Kurth
Stroke 2007 38: 2221-2227. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]



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