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(Stroke. 2007;38:2438.)
© 2007 American Heart Association, Inc.
Original Contributions |
From the Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine (L.R.M., B.D.M.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Md; the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (W.G.), Atlanta, Ga; the VA Maryland Health Care System (J.C., M.W., S.J.K.), Baltimore, Md; the Department of Neurology (J.C., M.W., B.S., S.J.K.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Md; and the Department of Medicine (B.D.M.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Md.
Correspondence to Steven J. Kittner, Department of Neurology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Bressler Research Building, Room 12–006, 655 W Baltimore St, Baltimore MD 21201. E-mail skittner{at}som.umaryland.edu
| Abstract |
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Methods— Using data from a population-based, case-control study, we studied 386 women ages 15 to 49 years with first ischemic stroke and 614 age- and ethnicity-matched controls. Based on their responses to a questionnaire on headache symptoms, subjects were classified as having no migraine, probable migraine without visual aura, or probable migraine with visual aura (PMVA).
Results— Women with PMVA had 1.5 greater odds of ischemic stroke (95% CI, 1.1 to 2.0); the risk was highest in those with no history of hypertension, diabetes, or myocardial infarction compared to women with no migraine. Women with PMVA who were current cigarette smokers and current users of oral contraceptives had 7.0-fold higher odds of stroke (95% CI, 1.3 to 22.8) than did women with PMVA who were nonsmokers and non–oral contraceptive users. Women with onset of PMVA within the previous year had 6.9-fold higher adjusted odds of stroke (95% CI, 2.3 to 21.2) compared to women with no history of migraine.
Conclusions— PMVA was associated with an increased risk of stroke, particularly among women without other medical conditions associated with stroke. Behavioral risk factors, specifically smoking and oral contraceptive use, markedly increased the risk of PMVA, as did recent onset of PMVA.
Key Words: migraine stroke transient ischemic attack aura
| Introduction |
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Clarifying in more detail the clinical features of the relation between migraine and stroke may provide useful insights into the basis for the migraine-stroke association. There is some evidence that the increased risk of stroke associated with migraine may not be uniform across all migraine or stroke subgroups. For example, the association between migraine and ischemic stroke is reported to be stronger for strokes occurring among younger (ie, <50 years) than older individuals and for women than men.8–10,16,17 Recent evidence also suggests that migraine with aura may elevate the risk for stroke more than migraine without aura,18–20 and some11,16,21 but not all20,22 studies suggest that the association between migraine and stroke may be elevated among women who smoke or use oral contraceptives (OCs).
The effects of migraine frequency, lifetime duration of migraine, and time of migraine onset on stroke risk are also unclear. An association between a higher frequency (>12 per year) and a longer duration (>12 years) of migraine with ischemic stroke has been reported in at least 1 study,22 and an association between higher migraine frequency and subclinical infarcts has been reported in another.17 There is some evidence that migrainous infarction preferentially affects the occipital lobes23 and that a history of migraine with aura may increase the risk of subclinical posterior infarct.17,23 However, it is not known whether clinically recognized stroke events associated with a history of migraine have a specific anatomic predilection. The contribution of PFO to the risk of migraine-associated ischemic stroke is also uncertain. PFO is a risk factor for young-onset stroke24 and is more common among migraineurs compared with nonmigraineurs25; however, prior epidemiologic studies of migraine and stroke have lacked information about PFO.
We sought to address many of these issues by evaluating the association between prior migraine and ischemic stroke on data from a population-based, case-control study of young white and African-American women. In our analyses, we considered traditional vascular risk factors as well as clinical and anatomic features of the association.
| Methods |
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Control subjects were women with no history of stroke identified by random-digit dialing and were matched to cases by age (within 10 years) and geographic region of residence in both waves and additionally matched for race in SPYW-2. SPYW-1 included cases age 15 to 44 years recruited within 1 year of stroke and was designed with a 1:2 case-to-control ratio. SPYW-2 included cases age 15 to 49 years recruited within 3 years of stroke and was designed with a 1:1 case-to-control ratio. For both study periods, additional cases were recruited after completion of control recruitment.
Lifetime headache history was collected from case and control subjects by standardized questionnaire. Subjects were classified as having probable migraine with visual aura (PMVA) if they (1) reported ever seeing spots, lines, or flashing lights around the time of their probable migraine or (2) if they reported ever experiencing loss of vision and also reported a frequency of PMVA of at least twice per year. Subjects were identified as having probable migraine without visual aura if they reported no history of visual aura and reported nausea, vomiting, or sensitivity to light during a probable migraine and probable migraine frequency of at least 5 times per year. Our questionnaire-based definitions for probable migraine with and without visual aura are less specific than the International Headache Society (IHS) criteria for definite or probable migraine with or without aura. These definitions differ from IHS criteria in that they do not refer to phonophobia, they do not specify the untreated duration of migraine or migraine features, nor do they specify the time criteria of aura symptoms (IHS 1.6).12
To evaluate the impact of lifetime duration of probable migraine on stroke risk and to assess the possibility that reported PMVA was due to an unrecognized transient ischemic attack, we classified stroke patients with probable migraine into 3 groups according to the duration of exposure for subanalyses: (1) first probable migraine occurred within 1 year of stroke onset; (2) first probable migraine occurred >1 but <12 years before stroke onset; and (3) first probable migraine occurred >12 years before stroke onset. Frequency and duration of probable migraine were collected by subject report during the interview process. Probable migraine severity was assessed by responses to the questions, "How often are you unable to work, parent, or go to school for all or part of the day due to your headaches?" and "How often do you require bedrest?" If the subject responded "more than half the time" to either question, the probable migraines were classified as severe.
Traditional stroke risk factors and other study variables, including age, ethnicity, and history of hypertension, diabetes, myocardial infarction (MI), current smoking status, and current OC use (both defined as use within 1 month of an event for cases and at the time of interview for controls), were also collected during the standardized interview and were included as covariates in our analyses.
Of 491 adjudicated cases and 617 controls, 25 subjects (23 cases and 3 controls) were excluded because they had proxy or assisted interviews, and 82 cases were excluded because they lacked definitive evidence of stroke-related abnormalities on computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging scans, leaving 386 cases and 614 controls. A pair of neurologists determined ischemic stroke subtype and vascular distribution. Stroke subtype categories were as follows: (1) large-artery atherosclerosis, (2) cardioembolism, (3) lacunar stroke, (4) stroke of other determined cause, and (5) stroke of undetermined cause.26,28 Probable migrainous infarction29 was categorized as stroke of undetermined cause. Based on both clinical and neuroimaging data, lesion location was classified into (1) anterior circulation, (2) posterior circulation, (3) both, or (4) unknown. For the subset of cases (n=163) with an air contrast transthoracic or transesophageal echocardiogram, the presence or absence of a PFO was recorded.
We compared risk factor distributions between cases and controls by t tests for continuous variables and
2 tests for categorical variables. We used multivariate logistic regression to evaluate the relation between history of PMVA and ischemic stroke; to assess a 3-way interaction between PMVA, smoking, and OC use; and to adjust for covariates. Two-tailed probability values of <0.05 were considered statistically significant. All statistical analyses were performed with SAS version 8.2 software.30
This study was approved by institutional review boards at the University of Maryland, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and at all participating hospitals. Each patient gave written, informed consent before enrollment.
| Results |
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There were no statistically significant interactions between age, race, geographic region, and study period and the reported associations; therefore, the minimally adjusted model controlled for these factors. Women with PMVA had 1.5-fold greater odds of having a stroke compared with women with no migraine (95% CI, 1.1 to 2.0). There was no association between stroke and probable migraine without visual aura (odds ratio [OR], 1.0; 95% CI, 0.6 to 1.5). Subsequent analyses were therefore focused on assessing the clinical and anatomic characteristics of the PMVA-stroke association.
Figure 1 shows adjusted ORs for stroke among women with PMVA compared with women without migraine, stratified by hypertension, diabetes, and MI. PMVA was a significant risk factor for stroke among women without a history of hypertension (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2 to 2.4), without a history of diabetes (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.0), and among women without a history of MI (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2 to 2.2) compared with women with no migraine. Statistical tests for effect modification were significant for a history of MI or angina (P=0.01) and a history of diabetes (P=0.03) but not for a history of hypertension (P=0.23). Additional analyses indicated that there was no association between stroke and probable migraine without visual aura in any of these strata (data not shown).
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The risk of stroke associated with PMVA, stratified by smoking and OC use, is shown in Figure 2. PMVA was a significant risk factor for stroke among smokers (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.3). The point estimate for PMVA was similar among OC users and nonusers, but the association among nonusers attained statistical significance owing to a larger sample size (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.1). Neither current smoking nor OC use was an independent effect modifier of the association between PMVA and stroke (P=0.45 and P=0.87, respectively). To evaluate the combined effect of smoking and use of OCs among women with PMVA on stroke risk, we included a 3-way interaction term for these covariates in our model. After controlling for age, race, geographic region, and study period, women with PMVA who smoked and used OCs had 7.0-fold higher odds of stroke (95% CI, 1.4 to 22.8) compared with women with PMVA who were nonsmokers and non-OC users (Figure 3). When compared with women with no migraine history who were nonsmokers and non-OC users, women with PMVA who smoked and used OCs had 10.0-fold higher odds of stroke (95% CI, 1.4 to 73.7).
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ORs of probable migraine-associated stroke, stratified by stroke subtype, are shown in Table 2. Results are shown for the minimally adjusted model and for a full model additionally adjusted for vascular risk factors. In the risk factor–adjusted model, women with PMVA had 1.3 greater adjusted odds of all ischemic strokes than women with no migraine (95% CI, 0.9 to 1.8) and odds of 1.5 for stroke of undetermined cause (95% CI, 1.0 to 2.2). The adjusted OR for lacunar stroke was also 1.5, but this failed to achieve statistical significance owing to a smaller sample size. PMVA was not associated with large-artery atherosclerosis or cardioembolic stroke.
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ORs of probable migraine-associated stroke, stratified by frequency, severity, and duration, are shown in Table 3. Results are shown for the minimally adjusted model and for a full model additionally adjusted for vascular risk factors. In the risk factor–adjusted model, women experiencing a higher frequency of PMVA (>12 per year) had 1.7-fold higher odds of stroke (95% CI, 1.1 to 2.8), and women having severe PMVA (requiring bed rest or absence from work) had 1.3-fold higher odds of stroke (95% CI, 0.8 to 1.9) compared with women with no history of migraine, although this was not statistically significant. Compared with women who had no history of migraine, women with a lifetime duration of PMVA of >12 years had 1.2-fold higher odds of stroke (95% CI, 0.8 to 1.9), whereas women who experienced their first PMVA onset within a year of the index date (stroke date for cases, within 1 week of the interview date for controls) had 8.3 (2.6 to 25.7)-fold higher odds of stroke.
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We found no evidence for a differential association between PMVA and stroke with posterior (OR 1.1; 95% CI, 0.6 to 1.8) or anterior (OR 1.4; 95% CI, 0.9 to 2.0) circulation involvement. Similarly, there was no evidence for a stronger association between PMVA and stroke in the small subgroup (n=21) with known PFO (OR 2.1; 95% CI, 0.8 to 5.3) compared with the small subgroup (n=142) whose air contrast echocardiograms had shown no evidence of PFO (OR 1.5; 95% CI, 1.0 to 2.2).
After exclusion of 7 cases with clinically diagnosed migrainous infarction, the risk factor–adjusted OR for women with PMVA was 1.2 (95% CI, 0.9 to 1.7) and, in the subset of women who experienced their first PMVA onset within a year of the index date, the risk factor–adjusted OR was 6.0 (95% CI, 1.9 to 18.6).
| Discussion |
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Subgroup analyses of our data indicated that women without a history of hypertension, diabetes, and MI were at greatest risk for PMVA-associated stroke. This is consistent with previous findings among younger women10 and middle-aged and older19 women suggesting that PMVA may contribute to the etiology of ischemic stroke independently of atherogenic risk factors. Although smoking or OC use did not independently modify the effect of PMVA on stroke risk, these factors had a multiplicative effect on the risk of stroke. Our data support previous studies that reported an increase in stroke risk associated with smoking and the use of OCs among young women11,16,18,21 and clinical recommendations to modify these risk factors in the presence of migraine with aura.32,33
There were 145 ischemic stroke patients among women with PMVA. When we stratified our analyses by ischemic stroke subtype, we found that PMVA was associated with strokes of undetermined origin and showed a strong trend toward an association with lacunar stroke, which is more a descriptive than an etiologic category. Associations were not present for subtypes with a clear etiology, such as atherosclerotic and cardioembolic strokes.
Our data suggest that women who reported a frequency of PMVA of >12 episodes per year have an increased risk of stroke compared with women who reported no migraine history. These findings are consistent with previous reports of increased migraine frequency as a risk factor for clinically recognized stroke22 and subclinical infarcts.17 In contrast, the Womens Health Study recently reported that high migraine frequency within the previous year was not associated with increased ischemic stroke risk.19
In the 22 participants whose onset of PMVA occurred within the previous year, we observed a strong association with ischemic stroke, with an adjusted OR of 8.3 (2.6 to 25.7) compared with women with no migraine. It is possible that unrecognized acute cerebral ischemia could have clinical features of PMVA and thus, could confound the association between PMVA and stroke. Prior case-control studies have not addressed this issue. The prospective Womens Health Study,19 which found an association between migraine with aura and ischemic stroke in women under age 55, constructed time-varying models that updated information about migraine attacks in the previous year, analyzed their data with different follow-up time periods, and found no evidence for an increased association for specific follow-up periods. Furthermore, consistent with at least 1 other case-control study,22 we observed a trend toward an association between longstanding PMVA and stroke. We also considered the possibility that the strong association between recent-onset PMVA and stroke was due to migrainous infarction. However, of 7 cases adjudicated as having migrainous infarction, only 1 reported onset of PMVA in the year before study enrollment, and exclusion of this case did not materially change the findings.
With regard to location of the infarct, there is some evidence of increased posterior circulation involvement for clinically recognized migrainous infarction23 and for subclinical infarcts17 associated with migraine, whereas other studies have reported no evidence for anatomic predilection among stroke cases with migraine compared with stroke cases without migraine.19 In our data, we found no appreciable difference in risk of stroke between the anterior and posterior regions in relation to PMVA.
PFO has been implicated as a possible mechanism for the association between migraine and stroke because it is a risk factor for young-onset stroke2 and is associated with migraine prevalence3,34 and frequency.35 In our study, there was no evidence for a substantially stronger association between PMVA and ischemic stroke among the small subset of women with known PFO compared with women without evidence of a PFO. However, we had limited ability to address this issue, because there were PFO data for only 163 women, some of whom might have been misclassified as having no PFO owing to the limited sensitivity of air contrast transthoracic echocardiograms as a diagnostic tool for PFO. It should be noted that the presence of a PFO does not explain recent findings of an association between migraine with aura and cardiovascular events other than stroke.20
There are several strengths of our study. We used a population-based design, which is optimal for studying early-onset stroke owing to the low incidence of stroke in this age range. Cases selected by this approach are likely to be more representative of young stroke cases from the defined study area than are cases selected from tertiary care referral centers only. We included both white and African-American women; few studies have examined migraine and stroke risk among African-Americans. Our study population consisted of young women, the group that has had the greatest risk of migraine-associated stroke in previous studies.8–11,18–20 Finally, the large number of strokes allowed examination of risk stratified by ischemic stroke subtype.
Limitations of our study include self-reported migraine history, which did not include data on untreated duration of headache or headache features, phonophobia, or time and duration of aura symptoms, and therefore, was not sufficient to classify migraine status according to IHS criteria.12 Lipton and colleagues36 performed a validation study of migraine classification wherein subjects were considered to have migraine if they reported at least 1 severe probable migraine in the previous 12 months with unilateral or pulsatile pain and either nausea, vomiting, or phonophobia with photophobia, or visual or sensory aura before probable migraine. These criteria differed from those of IHS, which specify an attack duration of 4 to 72 hours for untreated attack and a lifetime number of attacks of at least 5. Nevertheless, the criteria used by Lipton et al36 were 100% specific for migraine as validated by follow-up assessment and definitive diagnosis by a physician with expertise in probable migraine. Probable migraine with aura (probable migraine that lasted at least 4 hours but did not satisfy all other IHS criteria for migraine) has also been associated with stroke in a prospective analysis.31 Because the only other headache disorder besides migraine that may be preceded by aura is cluster headache, which is rare,37 these were likely undiagnosed migraines or transient ischemic attacks.38 Similarly, the PMVAs reported by women in our study likely represent migraine with aura.
The proportion of subjects who reported PMVA was high in our study compared with the prevalence of migraine with aura in the general population.39 This was likely due in part to misclassification of migraine status. However, this misclassification is an unlikely explanation for the significant associations found in our study. Nondifferential misclassification of probable migraine would tend to underestimate the true association between migraine and stroke. We note that our ORs were weaker than risk estimates reported from other studies of migraine and stroke18,20,31 and may be underestimated for this reason.
The potential for recall bias between case and control subjects is also a study limitation. It is possible that case patients more frequently recalled migraine history due to the experience of their stroke event. Finally, we did not control for factors such as medication use, cholesterol, alcohol consumption, and physical activity in our model, which may have resulted in unmeasured or residual confounding of our risk estimates.
In summary, we found an association between PMVA and ischemic stroke of undetermined cause. The association of smoking, OC use, and PMVA with ischemic stroke indicates a high-risk population for which appropriate management strategies are warranted.
| Acknowledgments |
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The authors appreciate the following individuals who sponsored the SPYW at their institutions: Clifford Andrew, MD, PhD; Brian Avin, MD; Merrill Ansher, MD; Harjit Bajaj, MD; Robert Baumann, MD; Christopher Bever, MD; David Buchholz, MD; Nicholas Buendia, MD; Young Ja Cho, MD; James Christensen, MD; Kevin Crutchfield, MD; Remzi Demir, MD; Terry Detrich, MD; Mohammed Dughly, MD; Boyd Dwyer, MD; Christopher Earley, MD; John Eckholdt, MD (deceased); Nirmala Fernback, MD (deceased); Jerold Fleishman, MD; Benjamin Frishberg, MD; Stuart Goodman, MD, PhD; Adrian Goldszmidt, MD; Kalpana Hari Hall, MD; Norman Hershkowitz, MD, PhD; Aleem Iqbal, MD; Constance Johnson, MD; Luke Kao, MD, PhD; Walid Kamsheh, MD; John Kelly, MD; Andrew Keenan, MD; Harry Kerasidis, MD; Mehrullah Khan, MD; Ramesh Khurana, MD; Ruediger Kratz MD; John Kurtzke, MD; Somchai Laowattana, MD; William Leahy, MD; Alan Levitt, MD; William Lightfoote II, MD; Bruce Lobar, MD; Paul Melnick, MD; Michael Miller, MD, PhD; Harshad Mody, MBBS; Marvin Mordes, MD; Seth Morgan, MD; Howard Moses, MD; Francis Mwaisela, MD; Sivarama Nandipati, MD; Mark Ozer, MD; Roger Packer, MD; Maciej Poltorak, MD; Thaddeus Pula, MD; Phillip Pulaski, MD; Naghbushan Rao, MD; Marc Raphaelson, MD; Neelupali Reddy, MD; Perry Richardson, MD; Solomon Robbins, MD; David Satinsky, MD; Elijah Saunders, MD; Michael Sellman, MD, PhD; Arthur Siebens, MD (deceased); Barney Stern, MD; Harold Stevens, MD, PhD; Jack Syme, MD; Richard Taylor, MD; Dean Tippett, MD; Roger Weir, MD; Michael Weinrich, MD; Richard Weisman, MD; Laurence Whicker, MD; Robert Wityk, MD; Don Wood, MD (deceased); Robert Varipapa, MD; James Yan, MD; Mohammed Yaseen, MD; and Manuel Yepes.
In addition, the study could not have been completed without the support from the administration and medical records staff at the following institutions: in Maryland, Anne Arundel Medical Center, Bon Secours Hospital, Calvert Memorial Hospital, Carroll Hospital, Chester River Hospital, Civista Medical Center, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Baltimore, Doctors Community Hospital, Dorchester Hospital, Franklin Square Hospital Center, Frederick Memorial Hospital, Good Samaritan Hospital, Greater Baltimore Medical Center, Harbor Hospital Center, Hartford Memorial Hospital, Holy Cross Hospital, Johns Hopkins Bayview, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Howard County General Hospital, Kernan Hospital, Laurel Regional Hospital, Maryland General Hospital, McCready Memorial Hospital, Memorial Hospital at Easton, Mercy Medical Center, Montgomery General Hospital, North Arundel Hospital, Northwest Hospital Center, Peninsula Regional Medical Center, Prince Georges Hospital Center, Saint Agnes Hospital, Saint Joseph Medical Center, Saint Marys Hospital, Shady Grove Adventist Hospital, Sinai Hospital of Baltimore, Southern Maryland Hospital Center, Suburban Hospital, The Union Memorial Hospital, Union Hospital Cecil County, University of Maryland Medical System, Upper Chesapeake Medical Center, Washington Adventist Hospital and Washington County Hospital; in Washington, DC: George Washington University Medical Center, Georgetown University Hospital, Hadley Memorial Hospital, Howard University Hospital, National Rehabilitation Hospital, Providence Hospital, Sibley Memorial Hospital, Veterans Affairs Medical Center; and the Washington Hospital Center; in Pennsylvania: Gettysburg Hospital.
Sources of Funding
This material is based on work supported in part by the Office of Research and Development, Medical Research Service, and the Research Enhancement Award Program in Stroke, the Geriatrics Research, Education, and Clinical Center, Department of Veterans Affairs; a cooperative agreement with the Cardiovascular Health Branch, Division of Adult and Community Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke and the National Institutes of Health Office of Research on Womens Health R01 NS45012; the National Institute on Aging Pepper Center grant P60 12583; and the University of Maryland General Clinical Research Center Grant M01 RR 165001, General Clinical Research Centers Program, National Center for Research Resources, National Institutes of Health.
Disclosures
None.
Received March 15, 2007; revision received May 1, 2007; accepted May 3, 2007.
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