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(Stroke. 2007;38:1652.)
© 2007 American Heart Association, Inc.
Emerging Therapies |
From the Department of Neurology and Rehabilitation, University of Illinois College of Medicine at Chicago, Ill.
Correspondence to Philip B. Gorelick, MD, MPH, Department of Neurology and Rehabilitation, University of Illinois College of Medicine at Chicago, 912 South Wood St, Rm 855N, Chicago, Illinois 60612. E-mail pgorelic{at}uic.edu
Marc Fisher MD Kennedy Lees MD Section Editors
Key Words: aspirin bleeding complications warfarin ximelagatran
| Introduction |
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| SPORTIF Trial Design |
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To be eligible for the SPORTIF trials, patients could not require continuous aspirin treatment over 100 mg/d or any other antithrombotic treatment. Aspirin administration was discouraged and was not part of the randomization treatment assignment. Aspirin use was recorded as a concomitant medication and concurrent when taken at least 50% of the time. This post hoc analysis was an on-treatment approach which censored events occurring after 30 continuous days or 60 total days off study treatment except in the case of cardioversion.
A total of 7329 patients were enrolled in SPORTIF III and V. For this analysis, data were available for 7304 patients. Aspirin was administered to 531 patients in the ximelagatran treatment arm and 481 in the warfarin treatment arm. Ximelagatran alone was given to 3120 and warfarin alone to 3172 patients. The average treatment exposure was 16.5 months.3
| SPORTIF Post Hoc Analysis: What Happened When Aspirin Was Added to Ximelagatran or Warfarin? |
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Primary and Secondary Outcomes
Event rates per patient-year did not differ significantly (P<0.05) for the primary outcomes stroke or stroke/systemic embolism in the ximelagatran or ximelagatran plus aspirin treatment groups. Stroke or stroke/systemic embolism ranged from 1.2%–1.4% to 1.6%–1.7% for those taking ximelagatran versus ximelagatran plus aspirin, respectively. The myocardial infarction and death rates did not differ significantly by treatment group either (1.0%–2.3% to 1.4%–3.0%, respectively). For the warfarin versus warfarin plus aspirin treatment groups, the event rates for stroke or stroke/systemic embolism ranged from 1.5%–1.55% to 1.7%–1.7%, respectively, and the event rates for myocardial infarction and death were 1.0%–2.5% to 0.6%–2.6%, respectively. Again, there was no statistically significant difference between the event rates with or without aspirin therapy.
Safety
Major differences began to emerge when safety was considered. Although major bleeding events did not differ between the ximelagatran versus ximelagatran plus aspirin treatment groups (1.9% versus 2.0%, P=0.83), the combination of major/minor bleeds differed with more bleeds occurring in the ximelagatran plus aspirin treatment group (39.4% versus 31.45%, P<0.01). In the warfarin treatment groups, both major (3.9% versus 2.3%, P=0.01) and major/minor bleeds (62.8% versus 36.8%, P<0.01) were more common with warfarin plus aspirin versus warfarin alone. When baseline differences were adjusted for, there was a significant interaction between aspirin and warfarin or ximelagatran with respect to bleeding, which was especially high for warfarin. The increased risk of major bleeding with warfarin plus aspirin showed a hazard ratio of 1.58 (95% CI, 1.02 to 2.49; P=0.05), yet this was not observed with the combination of ximelagatran plus aspirin.
| Discussion |
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One must be cautious, however, when interpreting these efficacy and safety signals because there are several key potential study limitations. For example, the results are based on post hoc analysis. Such analysis is generally believed to be of value to assist in the formulation of hypotheses but not to test them because play of chance may be increased when the comparisons are not randomized, and there may be uncontrolled and uncontrollable confounding.4 In the African American Antiplatelet Stroke Prevention Study (AAASPS), a published subgroup analysis from the Ticlopidine Aspirin Stroke Study (TASS) was used in part to establish AAASPS sample-size calculations.5,6 TASS data suggested that ticlopidine would be substantially more efficacious than aspirin in recurrent stroke prevention.5,6 When the hypothesis was carefully tested in the main phase National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke/National Institutes of Health (NINDS/NIH)-funded clinical trial, this did not turn out to be the case because we found no significant difference between the ticlopidine and aspirin treatment groups for the primary outcome of stroke, myocardial infarction and vascular death in African Americans.5 In addition, AAASPS was stopped prematurely based on futility analyses. Had it been continued to completion, however, there was a 40% to 50% likelihood of aspirin being significantly better in reducing the risk of recurrent fatal or nonfatal stroke.5 Challenges to subgroup analyses such as these3,6 have been reviewed by Lagakos7 and Pfeffer and Jarcho8 in the context of a recent cardiovascular prevention trial which featured combination antiplatelet therapy.
Other potential pitfalls of the post hoc analyses carried out by Flaker et al in the current article of interest3 include imbalances in baseline characteristics, nonrandomized study design in relation to aspirin administration, the relatively small numbers of aspirin users in the study, the relatively small number of outcome events in some of the comparison subgroups, and the fact that study investigators discouraged use of aspirin.
In February 2006, AstraZeneca announced the withdrawal of ximelagatran from the market and termination of its development based on concerns over safety.9 Aspirin, other antiplatelet agents, and oral vitamin K antagonists are available in the US and other countries for cardiovascular disease prevention. Either aspirin or warfarin when given alone and according to standard guidelines is safe and effective for stroke prevention.1,2,10,11 Whereas the combination of aspirin plus warfarin holds theoretical advantages in stroke prevention, this combination therapy cannot be recommended presently for routine use based on available scientific data which do not substantially support its efficacy and raise concerns over its safety. Similar to the combination of aspirin plus clopidogrel, the combination of an antiplatelet agent and an oral anticoagulant in stroke patients seems to increase the risk of intracranial hemorrhage.11 Avoiding these combinations, controlling blood pressure, and maintaining an international normalized ratio at 3.0 or below when warfarin is administered may reduce risk of brain hemorrhage.11 Furthermore, we must keep in mind that certain populations may be at high risk of brain hemorrhage even when these agents are given individually,10–12 and additional study to better understand this phenomenon may prove clinically useful. Aspirin, however, is recommended concurrently for ischemic coronary disease during oral anticoagulant treatment in doses up to 162 mg/d (Class IIa, Level of Evidence A).2
| Acknowledgments |
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Dr Gorelick receives honoraria as a consultant to AstraZeneca, Bayer, and Boehringer Ingelheim, as a study steering committee member for Bayer, and as a lecturer for Boehringer Ingelheim.
| Footnotes |
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2, warfarin is recommended. All nonvalvular AF patients with stroke or transient ischemic attack should be considered for warfarin administration.1 Received February 13, 2007; accepted February 21, 2007.
| References |
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