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Published Online
on June 19, 2008

Stroke. 2008
Published online before print June 19, 2008, doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.107.504498
A more recent version of this article appeared on August 1, 2008
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Submitted on October 17, 2007
Revised on December 24, 2007
Accepted on January 8, 2008

Associations of Proinflammatory Cytokines With the Risk of Recurrent Stroke

Paul Welsh BSc; Gordon D.O. Lowe DSc*; John Chalmers MD, PhD; Duncan J. Campbell MD, PhD; Ann Rumley PhD; Bruce C. Neal PhD; Stephen W. MacMahon PhD; and Mark Woodward PhD

From the Division of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (P.W., G.D.O.L., A.R., M.W.), University of Glasgow, Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, Scotland; The George Institute for International Health (J.C., B.C.N., S.W.M., M.W.), University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; St. Vincent's Institute of Medical Research and the Department of Medicine (D.J.C.), University of Melbourne, St. Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; and Mount Sinai Medical School (M.W.), New York, NY.

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: g.d.lowe{at}clinmed.gla.ac.uk.

Background and Purpose—There are few reports on proinflammatory cytokines and risk of primary or recurrent stroke. We studied the association of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-18, and tumor necrosis factor-{alpha} (TNF-{alpha}) with recurrent stroke in a nested case-control study derived from the Perindopril Protection Against Recurrent Stroke Study (PROGRESS).

Methods—We performed a nested case-control study of 591 strokes (472 ischemic, 83 hemorrhagic, 36 unknown subtype) occurring during a randomized, placebo-controlled multicenter trial of perindopril-based therapy in 6105 patients with a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack. Controls were matched for age, treatment group, sex, region, and most recent qualifying event at entry to the parent trial.

Results—IL-6 and TNF-{alpha}, but not IL-18, were associated with risk of recurrent ischemic stroke independently of conventional risk markers. Adjusted odds ratios comparing the highest to lowest third of their distributions were 1.33 (95% CI, 1.00 to 1.78) for IL-6 and 1.46 (1.02 to 2.10) for TNF-{alpha}. No inflammatory marker was associated with hemorrhagic stroke risk. In multivariable models, IL-6 and TNF-{alpha} fully explained observed associations of C-reactive protein and fibrinogen with risk of ischemic stroke, but TNF-{alpha} retained borderline significance after full adjustment.

Conclusions—Inflammatory markers associated with the acute-phase response (IL-6, TNF-{alpha}, C-reactive protein, and fibrinogen, but not IL-18) are associated with risk of recurrent stroke. These markers are dependent on each other in multivariable models, and once all were included, only TNF-{alpha} retained a borderline association. Markers of generalized inflammation of the acute-phase response are associated with recurrent stroke, rather than IL-6, C-reactive protein, or fibrinogen in particular.


Key words: stroke • inflammation • acute-phase response • epidemiology




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