Donate Help Contact The AHA Sign In Home
American Heart Association
Stroke
Search: search_blue_button Advanced Search
Published Online
on April 24, 2008

Stroke. 2008
Published online before print April 24, 2008, doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.107.504688
A more recent version of this article appeared on July 1, 2008
This Article
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow All Versions of this Article:
39/7/1938    most recent
STROKEAHA.107.504688v1
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a friend
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Similar articles in PubMed
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrowRequest Permissions
Citing Articles
Right arrow Citing Articles via Google Scholar
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Tang, J.
Right arrow Articles by Bailey, J. E.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
PubMed
Right arrow PubMed Citation
Right arrow Articles by Tang, J.
Right arrow Articles by Bailey, J. E.
Related Collections
Right arrow Health policy and outcome research
Right arrow Compliance/Adherence
Right arrow Cerebrovascular disease/stroke
Right arrow Other Treatment
Right arrow Epidemiology

Submitted on September 25, 2007
Revised on November 9, 2007
Accepted on November 28, 2007

Performance of Comorbidity Measures to Predict Stroke and Death in a Community-Dwelling, Hypertensive Medicaid Population

Jun Tang MS; Jim Y. Wan PhD; and James E. Bailey MD, MPH*

From the Department of Preventive Medicine (J.T., J.Y.W.) and the Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine (J.E.B.), University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, Tenn.

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: jeb{at}utmem.edu.

Background and Purpose—The Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidities are widely used to control for differences in comorbidity in epidemiological studies but have not been validated for outpatient studies of hypertension. This study sought that validation using death and stroke outcomes.

Methods—Using Cox models in a retrospective cohort study of 49 479 hypertensive patients, Modified Charlson Index was compared with 6 alternative approaches to assessing comorbidity: individual Charlson comorbidities, Elixhauser comorbidities, prior major cardiovascular disease event, traditional risk factors for cerebrovascular accident, healthcare utilization, and antihypertensive medication utilization. Comorbidity measures were calculated at baseline and for a period before occurrence of the study outcome of interest or study conclusion.

Results—The Charlson comorbidities had the smallest Akaike information criterion value for both the stroke and death outcomes when baseline data were used. The Elixhauser comorbidities had the smallest Akaike information criterion value for both the stroke and death outcomes when follow-up data were used. Modified Charlson Index also predicted stroke and death, but alternative models were more robust.

Conclusion—This study indicates that both the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidities are valid prediction tools that could enable clinicians and health systems to better assess risk for stroke and death in patients with hypertension. However, the Charlson comorbidities perform better when comorbidities are assessed using baseline data, whereas the Elixhauser comorbidities perform better for short follow-up periods when comorbidities are assessed proximal to events of interest.


Key words: hypertension • mortality • outcome • outcome assessment • stroke