Does Sex Matter? Thirty-Day Stroke and Death Rates After Carotid Artery Stenting in Women Versus Men
Results From the Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy Versus Stenting Trial (CREST) Lead-in Phase
Background and Purpose— Several carotid endarterectomy randomized, controlled trials and series have reported higher perioperative stroke and death rates for women compared with men. The potential for this same relationship with carotid artery stenting was examined in the lead-in phase of the Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST).
Methods— CREST compares efficacy of carotid endarterectomy and carotid artery stenting in preventing stroke, myocardial infarction, and death in the periprocedural period and ipsilateral stroke over the follow-up period. CREST included a “lead-in” phase of symptomatic (≥50% stenosis) and asymptomatic (≥70% stenosis) patients. Patients were examined by a neurologist preprocedure, at 24 hours, and at 30 days. Review of stroke and death was by an independent events committee. The association of sex with periprocedural stroke and death was examined in 1564 patients undergoing carotid artery stenting (26.5% symptomatic).
Results— Women comprised 37% of the lead-in cohort and did not differ from men by age, symptomatic status, or characteristics of the internal carotid artery. The 30-day stroke and death rate for women was 4.5% (26 of 579; 95% CI, 3.0% to 6.5%) compared with 4.2% (41 of 985; 95% CI, 3.0% to 5.6%) for men. The difference in stroke and death rate was not significant nor were there any significant differences by sex after adjustment for age, arterial characteristics, or cardiovascular risk factors.
Conclusions— These results do not provide evidence that women have a higher carotid artery stenting stroke and death rate compared with men. The potential differential periprocedural risk by sex will be prospectively addressed in the randomized phase of CREST.
Sex has been identified as a factor potentially affecting perioperative stroke and death rates associated with carotid endarterectomy (CEA), the gold standard treatment for severe symptomatic extracranial carotid occlusive disease1 and recommended in highly selected asymptomatic patients.2 The Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study (ACAS) was the first clinical trial of CEA to suggest this increased risk, although the difference between men and women was not statistically different; the perioperative stroke and death rate for women was 3.6% (10 of 281) compared with 1.7% (9 of 544) in men (P=0.12).3,4 This has been confirmed in the Asymptomatic Carotid Surgery Trial (ACST)5 as well as retrospective asymptomatic series.6–8 Of symptomatic trials, the European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST) found a significantly increased periprocedural risk for women compared with men (11.1% versus 6.4%, P=0.002) who underwent CEA.9 Why women should be at greater operative risk than men remains speculative. Rothwell et al suggested it may be because women, on average, have 40% smaller internal carotid arteries than men, thus making CEA technically more difficult.7 The type of closure used in the procedure may also put women more at risk, because primary closure of the arteriotomy (versus patch angioplasty) is more prone to technical error.
The carotid artery stent procedure (CAS) has recently become another option for the management of carotid atherosclerosis, especially for persons who are considered at high surgical risk.1 Case series and clinical trials are beginning to be published, but few reports have described results by sex.
The Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST) is a National Institutes of Health-funded randomized clinical trial designed to contrast the relative efficacy of CAS versus CEA in preventing stroke, myocardial infarction, and death during a 30-day periprocedural period and stroke ipsilateral to the study artery over the follow-up period in patients with symptomatic and asymptomatic extracranial carotid stenosis.10 A lead-in phase was built into CREST. This provided a startup and credentialing period during which each eligible interventionalist applying to participate in the clinical trial phase would perform up to 20 CAS procedures and submit data to the CREST Interventional Management Committee for review and approval to move to the randomized phase.11 This report describes the 30-day complication rate in women compared with men in the lead-in phase.
The lead-in phase of CREST was active from December 2000 to February 2008. During this period, 1564 participants from 97 clinical sites were enrolled. The protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Boards at all participating sites and all participants provided signed informed consent.
For approval to participate in the lead-in, each site had to have at least one CREST-approved interventionalist and neurologist. The interventionalists were required to submit data from their last 10 to 30 CAS procedures performed with any device. These data were reviewed by the CREST Interventional Management Committee. After initial approval, interventionalists who had no experience with the study devices were required to participate in a CREST-specific Carotid Stent Operator Certification Program. Further details on this approval process are described elsewhere.11
The CAS procedures were performed only by CREST-certified interventionalists using local anesthesia and following a standard CAS protocol (see Table 1). Patients were to be treated with aspirin and clopidogrel 48 hours before and for 30 days after the procedure. Patients were treated with the ACCULINK or the RX ACCULINK Carotid Stent System (Abbott Vascular Corporation, Abbott Park, Ill). In September 2001, the protocol was amended to include an embolic protection device, the ACCUNET Embolic Protection System, also manufactured by Abbott and later updated to the RX ACCUNET. The lesion could be predilated at the discretion of the operator. After the stent was deployed, angioplasty was used to reduce stenosis to <30%. Study neurologists evaluated the patients before procedure, 24 to 48 hours postprocedure, and at 1 and 12 months postprocedure.
Inclusion and exclusion criteria for participants are described in Table 2. Participants who were symptomatic (symptoms of amaurosis fugax, transient ischemic attack, or stroke in the distribution of the study artery within the previous 180 days) were required to have ≥50% stenosis by angiography as measured according to the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial criteria.12,13 Asymptomatic patients were those without cerebrovascular symptoms relative to the study artery and had ≥70% stenosis by angiography. Reference diameter (internal carotid distal to the target lesion at point when artery walls return to parallel) was used as a surrogate marker of artery size. Baseline data were collected on the stroke risk factors of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and current smoking status.
The lead-in study end points were stroke, death, or myocardial infarction (MI) during the periprocedural period (30 days after the index procedure) or any stroke ipsilateral to the study artery up to 1 year after the procedure. This report focuses on 30-day strokes and deaths to be comparable to the multicenter CEA trials that did not include MI as an end point. An independent clinical events committee reviewed all deaths and potential strokes and MIs.
The association between sex and the combined periprocedural complications of stroke and death within 30 days of CAS was assessed by univariate logistic methods. Then incremental multivariable methods were applied first adjusting for demographic factors (age and race), then adjusting for characteristics of the study artery (reference diameter and symptomatic status), and further adjusting for major modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, and current cigarette smoking). In each model, 2-way interactions between the potential covariates and sex were assessed to evaluate any potential differential impact of the confounding factor (ie, effect modification).
The study population was 579 (37%) women and 985 men. Women did not differ from men by age, symptomatic status, risk factors, or reference diameter of the internal carotid artery (Table 3). The only difference in risk factors between women and men was in current smoking status; women were more likely to be current smokers (20.9% versus 16.7%, P=0.038).
Table 4 shows the 30-day postprocedural complications of stroke and death by sex and symptomatic status. The overall 30-day stroke and death rate was 4.3% (67 of 1564), 5.8% (24 of 414) in symptomatic patients versus 3.7% (43 of 1150) in asymptomatic patients. The rate for women was 4.5% (26 of 579; 95% CI, 3.0% to 6.5%) compared with 4.2% (41 of 985; 95% CI, 3.0% to 5.6%) for men. When stratifying procedural risk by sex and symptomatic status, the difference in rates between symptomatic and asymptomatic status strata was somewhat smaller for women (5.6% versus 4.1% for a 1.5% difference) than for men (5.9% versus 3.5% for a 2.4% difference). This difference is largely driven by the difference in stroke events. For stroke events, symptomatic and asymptomatic women had a smaller difference (4.9% versus 4.1% for a 0.8% difference) than was observed between symptomatic and asymptomatic men (5.2% versus 3.2% for a 2.0% difference). When MI is included, the overall 30-day event rates are 5.7% for women compared with 4.8% in men, again with a slightly smaller difference between symptomatic and asymptomatic status in women (6.3% versus 5.5% for a 0.8% difference) than in men (5.9% versus 4.4% for a 1.5% difference).
The ORs for sex differences estimated in the series of incremental logistic regression models are shown in Table 5. In univariate analysis, women had only a marginally higher risk of stroke or death (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.66 to 1.79). The potential that the impact of sex could be affected (ie, confounded) by sex differences in demographic factors (age or race), characteristics of the artery (reference diameter, lesion length, percent stenosis, or symptomatic status), or stroke risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, or cigarette smoking) was assessed in a series of incremental logistic regression models (also Table 5). Caution should be applied in interpretation of specific ORs because the number of events (n=67) compared with the number of parameters in the models (3, 7, and 11, respectively) may result in unstable estimates. However, the strength of this approach is to provide estimates of the effect of sex in the presence of all potential confounding factors. Only age would be retained in any of these models had backward stepwise selection methodology been used with a P<0.05 criteria for retention. With these cautions, adjustment for age and race slightly mediated this effect (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.76), and in this model, there was a clearly higher risk of events with increasing age (OR10-year increment, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.65 to 3.25) but little evidence of a race difference (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.38 to 3.05). Tests of interaction between sex and the other covariates documented an age-by-sex interaction that was of marginal significance (P=0.081). However, considering age as 2 strata (≤70 and >70), after adjustment for race, sex was not significant in either strata (OR70 and less, 1.93; 95% CI, 0.42 to 8.88; ORover 70, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.18 to 3.23). This finding suggests that the procedure may be associated with higher risk in younger women compared with younger men but may be associated with lower risk among older women compared with older men. This observation, however, failed to reach traditional levels of statistical significance. Further adjustment for characteristics of the artery (reference diameter and symptomatic status) reversed the direction of the effect for sex (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.56 to 1.67) and only age remained a significant predictor. Further adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and cigarette smoking) had little effect on the impact of sex.
In this report from a large series, 30-day stroke and death rates associated with CAS were similar among 579 women and 985 men. There was also no evidence of a differential sex effect for other outcomes, including death alone, stroke alone, MI alone, or the composite outcome of stroke–MI–death. The lack of a sex difference on any of these outcomes was also observed by symptomatic status strata (ie, no apparent sex difference for either symptomatic or asymptomatic patients).
Adjustment for potential confounding factors had very little impact on the estimated sex difference in the risk of perioperative events. With the exception of one marginally significant interaction (age×sex: P=0.081), there was no evidence of a differential impact of sex across the range of the confounding factors. In the case of this one marginally significant interaction, there was a nonsignificant trend for young women to have a poorer outcome than young men and for older women to have better outcome than older men; however, this finding should be interpreted with caution with its marginally significant probability value and the lack of any adjustment for multiple testing.
In summary, sex has little impact on the risk of events despite looking at multiple outcomes, looking within symptomatic strata, and looking for potential confounding and effect modification effects. As such, unlike CEA clinical trial data that seem to suggest a higher perioperative event rate in women, these registry data provide little evidence of a difference for CAS.
It is possible that a difference does exist but that the CREST lead-in series has an insufficient number of events to detect this true effect. This concern is introduced by the very low event rates observed in this series, specifically 67 stroke–death events among 1564 patients (4.3%). Specifically, given the sample sizes for men (n=985) and women (n=579), and assuming that the true event rate in men was the 4.2% that was observed, then the true event rate in women would have to be 7.6% (1.81 relative risk) to provide 80% power to detect the difference (Pass 2008; Version 8.0.5, Kaysville, Utah). Although it is possible that such a large difference would exist, it seems somewhat unlikely. The power to detect smaller effects is marginal. For example, there is only 16% power to detect a difference of 4.2% versus 5.2% (relative risk, 1.24) or only 43% power to detect a difference of 4.2% versus 6.2% (relative risk, 1.48). In addition, the observed differences are quite small in the estimated stroke and death rate—4.5% in women as compared with 4.2% in men. The power to detect such small differences is naturally quite small (only 6% power), and the increased risk observed between men and women implies that approximately 305 women would have to be treated to result in an additional stroke or death in women that would not have occurred in a similar number of men treated (ie, number needed to harm=304.8) As such, with such a low event rate, a relative risk of approximately 1.8 is required to provide reasonable statistical power. It remains a matter of speculation whether such a large effect may exist for sex.
For both women and men and similar to CEA, procedural risk with CAS was higher for symptomatic than for asymptomatic patients. Table 6 shows the 30-day stroke and death rates in the CEA arm of the major multicenter CEA trials.3–5,9,14 Only the ECST found a significantly increased periprocedural risk for women compared with men (11.1% versus 6.4%, P=0.002). In a secondary analysis, the ECST investigators examined the effect of height, weight, body surface area, and body mass index on the 30-day operative risk of stroke and death in women versus men. Comparing clinical characteristics between the sexes, there were no differences in degree of stenosis or use of carotid patching, but women had significantly lower height, weight, and body surface area and were older.9 As Bond et al point out, most reports of 30-day events in the CEA literature do not provide data stratified by symptomatic status and sex.8
The randomized endarterectomy trials were not powered to test for interaction by sex and except for ACST, subgroup analyses by sex were post hoc and not prespecified, not following the principles for subgroup analyses as set forth by Yusuf et al.15 Women were severely underrepresented in the completed carotid artery stenting versus endarterectomy trials16–20 and it remains to be seen if sufficient enrollment of women will play out in the ongoing trials.21–26 Of the major multicenter trials of CEA versus CAS that have been completed, only the Stent-Protected Angioplasty versus Carotid Endarterectomy in Symptomatic Patients trial has reported 30-day stroke and death rates by sex: 8.2% (14 of 171) in women versus 6.4% (28 of 426) in men (P=0.478), a slightly higher rate in women but not statistically different.16 The other trials all had less than 100 women: 55 (33%) in the Stenting and Angioplasty with Protection in Patients at High Risk for Endarterectomy,17 77 (32%) in the Carotid and Vertebral Transluminal Angioplasty Study,18 72 (28%) in the Endarterectomy versus Angioplasty in Patients with Symptomatic Severe Carotid Stenosis,19 and only 36 women (34%) in the first WALLSTENT (Boston Scientific Corp) trial.20 Given the results of the major randomized clinical trials of endarterectomy, and the burden of disease in women, a priori plans to evaluate the possibility of a differential sex effect are incumbent in trials of the management of carotid atherosclerosis. Enrollment in the clinical trial phase of CREST is complete and 884 (35%) of the 2522 participants are women. The design of CREST included targeted enrollment strategies for women and a test for interaction in the primary end point analyses.
There are some important limitations of this work. Like with all registries, because these are not consecutive patients at all participating sites, these may not be representative of all patients undergoing CAS treated at these sites, and some higher- or lower-risk patients may have been excluded. Additionally, because cerebral angiography was part of the eligibility workup, potential participants who had a major complication associated with the angiogram would not have continued with enrollment so the event rates reported here are for participants who actually had the stent procedure and strictly angiographic complications were not considered (as they were, for example, in ACAS). The randomized phase of CREST collected more data regarding clinical and angiographic risk factors than the lead-in phase, enabling secondary analyses within the randomized, controlled trial to examine other potential predictors of 30-day stroke, death, and MI. A strength of this series is that it includes 97 clinical sites from across North America, representing not only high-volume academic centers, but community medical centers. Approved interventionalists were comprised of multiple specialists, reflecting the respective representative patterns of carotid revascularization regionally.
In conclusion, our results do not provide evidence that women have a higher CAS stroke and death rate compared with men. Following the principles of subgroup analyses in randomized clinical trials, the potential for a differential periprocedural risk by sex will be examined further in the randomized phase of CREST.
The participating centers for the Lead-in Phase of CREST, in order of the number of eligible patients entered, were as follows (with the number of patients entered for each center in parentheses):
St Michael’s Medical Center, Newark, NJ (53); Deaconess Medical Center, Spokane, Wash (51); University of Pittsburgh Medical Center/Shadyside Hospital, Pittsburgh, Pa (40); New York Presbyterian/Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York, NY (38); William Beaumont Hospital, Bingham Farms, Mich (37); St Francis Hospital, Roslyn, NY (37); Emory University, Atlanta, Ga (33); Ochsner Foundation Hospital New Orleans, La (31); University of Toledo Medical Center, Toledo, Ohio (31); Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass (30); Miami Cardiac & Vascular Institute, Miami, Fla (30); Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Fla (30); Carolinas Medical Center/Sanger Clinic, Charlotte, NC (29); University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pa (29); Oregon Health Science University, Portland, Ore (27); Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, Ill (26); Iowa Heart Center, Des Moines, Iowa (26); Washington Adventist Hospital, Takoma Park, Md (26); Southern Illinois School of Medicine, Springfield, Ill (26); Vascular Interventional Project, Inc, Albany, NY (25); Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio (24); Prairie Cardiology, Springfield, Ill (23); University of Rochester, Rochester, NY (23); Parkview Hospital, Ft Wayne, Ind (23); Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn (22); Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Ill (22); Kaiser Permanente Medical Center, San Diego, Calif (21); Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Mass (20); Hahnemann University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pa (20); St Luke’s Hospital, Kansas City, Mo (20); Methodist Hospital, Houston, Texas (20); Orlando Regional Healthcare, Orlando, Fla (20); Alexian Brothers Medical Center, Elkgrove, Ill (20); Swedish Heart Institute, Seattle, Wash (20); Providence Medical Research Center, Spokane, Wash (20); University of South Florida, Tampa, Fla (20); Barrow Neurological Institute, Phoenix, Ariz (20); Hoag Memorial Hospital, Newport Beach, Calif (19); St Joseph’s Medical Center, Stockton, Calif (19); Vancouver General Hospital, Vancouver BC, Canada (18); St Elizabeth’s Hospital, Boston, Mass (16); Butterworth Hospital, Grand Rapids, Mich (16); New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY (15); Cape Cod Hospital, Hyannis, Mass (15); University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Ala (15); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wis (15); St. Joseph’s Hospital of Atlanta, Atlanta, Ga (14); University of Texas, Houston, Texas (14); Millard Fillmore Hospital/SUNY Buffalo, Buffalo, NY (14); Westchester Medical Center, Valhalla, NY (14); Geisinger Medical Center, Danville, Pa (14); University of Southern California, Los Angeles, Calif (13); Central Baptist Hospital, Lexington, Ky (13); University of California, Los Angeles, Calif (13); North Memorial Health Care, Golden Valley, Minn (13); Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI (13); University of Pittsburgh Medical Center/Presbyterian University Hospital, Pittsburgh, Pa (13); St Joseph’s Medical Center, Kansas City, Mo (13); Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC (12); University of Calgary/Foothills Medical Centre, Calgary, Alberta, Canada (12); Thomas Jefferson University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pa (12); Christiana Health Care System, Newark, Del (11); Piedmont Hospital/Fuqua Heart Center, Atlanta, Ga (11); University of Arizona, Tucson, Ariz (11); Peoria Radiology, Peoria, Ill (10); Lutheran Hospital of Indiana, Ft Wayne, Ind (9); Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, NH (9); Midwest Cardiology/Grant Riverside Methodist Hospital, Columbus, Ohio (8); New York Presbyterian/Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY (8); University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Mich (8); Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Ill (8); Rogue Valley Medical Center, Medford, Ore (8); Wake Forest University Health Sciences, Winston Salem, NC (7); London Health Science Centre, London, Ontario, Canada (7); Charleston Area Medical Center, Charleston, W Va (6); University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio (6); Hôpital de l’Enfant-Jésus, Québec City, Quebec, Canada (6); Tri-State Medical Center, Beaver, Pa (6); Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada (6); St John Hospital and Medical Center, Detroit, Mich (5); Lenox Hill Hospital, New York, NY (5); St Patrick’s Hospital, Missoula, Mont (5); Vascular Surgery Associates, Baton Rouge, La (5); Brigham & Women’s Hospital, Boston, Mass (4); Baptist Memorial Hospital of Tennessee, Memphis, Tenn (4); Toronto Western Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (4); University of Maryland, Baltimore, Md (4); Intermountain Medical Center (formerly LDS Hospital); Salt Lake City, Utah (3); Michigan Vascular Research Center, Flint, Mich (3); University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada (3); Central Dupage Hospital, Winfield, Ill (3); South Carolina Heart Center, Columbia, SC (4); Trillium Health Centre, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada (2); Anne Arundel Medical Center, Annapolis, Md (2); Allegheny General Hospital, Pittsburgh, Pa (1); University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC (4); and University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada (1).
We express our thanks to Drs Gary Roubin, Wesley Moore, and George Howard for their review on behalf of the CREST Executive Committee and Publications and Presentations Committee.
Sources of Funding
This study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke grant NS38384. Partial support was provided by Abbott Vascular Corporation.
V.J.H., J.H.V., A.J.S., M.L., J.B.A., and T.G.B. received salary support from the National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke for the CREST grant. M.T. and S.E.H. received salary support from Abbott Vascular Corporation.
- Received November 15, 2008.
- Revision received January 5, 2009.
- Accepted January 7, 2009.
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